Slew Foot
Lifer
- Sep 22, 2005
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Originally posted by: Greenman
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: Greenman
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: cKGunslinger
Originally posted by: Pliablemoose
You're in Dallas, right? I didn't think we were getting hit that hard by the subprime mess...
In short, I spent more time researching my last video card purchase than I did my 30-year-mortgaged house.![]()
And that's why the bubble will pop hard. If an average ATOT member (who I think is overall a bit smarter than the average American) spends that little time thinking about the biggest purchase in their life, how much are they really absorbing all the nuances of home ownership? That why you hear all these idiots saying they didnt know their payments were going to rise, they just signed away the mortgage contract like a blind moron.
I think that's only partially correct. Most people that got into sub prime loans were speculating. They assumed that they would sell in five years and make a tidy profit using none of their own money, and a lot of them pulled it off.
The reality is that everyone needs a place to live, most would rather own than rent, and most of those would like to own in a nice area.
I'm betting sales start to increase next summer, and prices start climbing again, in fact I'm thinking about buying a rental around that time.
Most people already have a home, the people who dont for the most part, are subprime and cant qualify for a loan, have good credit and cant afford a house at current prices, recently foreclosed and are shunned by banks, investors who are smart enough not to buy cash flow negative in depreciative environment. 7 million units for sale in a country where a typical year sells 2-3 million? That's an oversupply thatll push prices down until two things happen, rents and comes in line with monthly carry, and prices come in line with incomes.
Do you have a link to where those inventory and sales numbers came from? I'd like to read a bit more about it, but I can't find stats that are anything close to what you stated. The very worst report I've found states an 11 month inventory at todays reduced sales figures.
I'm not trying to put you on the spot, I'm trying to determine if I've been operating on incorrect data. I'm a builder, it matters to me.
It was an article in the Sacramento Bee and LA Times a few weeks ago. Housing is a big concern in the CA central valley with prices plummeting while foreclosures soar. Ill see if I can dig it up.