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Trump Approval Rating Watch thread.

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woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
11,835
6,293
136
ftfy, i also believe that the average is declining due to all the legal issues this past month.
Could be, but there's been other months like this. One would think that of everything that's happened this year, Helsinki would have been the event that hurt Trump the most, but he saw no decline at all from that. Which is bizarre.

Anyway, if these numbers hold, most probable outcome is the dems pick up 30 in HoR and retake the majority, while in the Senate they net 0-1 seats and do not regain majority. If we want a landslide in the HoR and a good chance to retake the Senate we're going to need another 2 point blue shift on both Trump's approval and the generic ballot. So he'll need to be around 38 with the generic around +11, as opposed to 40 and +9 which is where it is today. Unfortunately the GOP has a +2 structural advantage due to gerrymandering for the House races.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,991
1,656
126
Could be, but there's been other months like this. One would think that of everything that's happened this year, Helsinki would have been the event that hurt Trump the most, but he saw no decline at all from that. Which is bizarre.
Trump's supporters do not give a shit about the Russia stuff, so not surprising to me that Helsinki wouldn't move the needle. If I had to guess I'd say that negotiating new trade deals with Mexico and Canada is costing him a little bit.
 

alien42

Lifer
Nov 28, 2004
11,857
1,803
126
Trump's average approval rating, as tracked by 538, dipped below 40% for the first time since Feb 4, 2019, around the time when the gov't shutdown ended.

 

UNCjigga

Lifer
Dec 12, 2000
22,531
4,699
136
Trump's average approval rating, as tracked by 538, dipped below 40% for the first time since Feb 4, 2019, around the time when the gov't shutdown ended.

That’s still too high for me to have confidence in our country’s future. Vote like they’re gonna steal a second term, because they probably will!
 

alien42

Lifer
Nov 28, 2004
11,857
1,803
126
That’s still too high for me to have confidence in our country’s future. Vote like they’re gonna steal a second term, because they probably will!
it's definitely far higher than it should be, but i still hold tight to the belief that we will set modern voter turn out records in November, and it won't be in support of Hair Fuhrer.
 

Maxima1

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2013
3,268
635
126
Yeah, the generic ballot is up to about +9 blue now as well. It's been around +7 for several months. I have no idea why we've seen a 2 point blue shift over this past month. One could point to any number of things which have happened in that time, but the same is true of any other one month period during this administration. His approvals didn't seem to decline after Helsinki so who knows why they're declining now. Let's just hope it holds for another 2 months.
Shit economy and coronavirus.response.

$200 a week might be a necessary evil to get Senate majority. McConnell is shitting his pants with the dilemma and trying to find out the line where that happens. Can't help ordinary folks too much but also can't lose the Senate.
 

K1052

Lifer
Aug 21, 2003
35,157
8,464
136
So strange that his low approvals on a range of issues are now being reflected in his overall approval.

Fake news suppression polls at it again. Impossible that he's grown deeply unpopular for fucking things up royally.
 
Feb 4, 2009
27,898
8,371
136
Shit economy and coronavirus.response.

$200 a week might be a necessary evil to get Senate majority. McConnell is shitting his pants with the dilemma and trying to find out the line where that happens. Can't help ordinary folks too much but also can't lose the Senate.
Wait until Corona Virus (Kung Flu to make our deplorables happy) hospital bills start visiting thousands upon thousands of people. Particularly TX and FL
 

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
25,073
9,946
136
Trump's lowest 538 was right after Charlottesville. @alien42 is right, he should be loser to 30 then 40.

Given the EXACT same circumstances Obama would be 30. However we all Obama is a little more compotant then Count Trumpula
 

MtnMan

Diamond Member
Jul 27, 2004
4,299
2,248
136
That’s still too high for me to have confidence in our country’s future. Vote like they’re gonna steal a second term, because they probably will!
Why it is not single digit range is beyond me. I know there are those that would love to overthrow the government, and the mentally ill, but surely that can't account for the 40%.
 

fleshconsumed

Diamond Member
Feb 21, 2002
5,914
1,205
136
Why it is not single digit range is beyond me. I know there are those that would love to overthrow the government, and the mentally ill, but surely that can't account for the 40%.
A lot of his supporters understand what an abysmal job he's doing, however they're convinced that democrats are worse.
 

MtnMan

Diamond Member
Jul 27, 2004
4,299
2,248
136
A lot of his supporters understand what an abysmal job he's doing, however they're convinced that democrats are worse.
His supporters that really piss me off, are fucking veterans. But I have to admit that most I know that fit this category were career, or as most referred to them as "lifers", as they likely couldn't survive in the private sector where they actually had to exhibit competency in their job.
 

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