yeah about that....another interesting article
For 32 years, the National Retail Federation (NRF) — the lobbying group representing major retailers in the United States — has produced the "National Retail Security Survey." The survey, widely cited by media outlets, attempts to estimate the total retail "shrink" in the industry by collecting...
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~The 2023 release, which covers data from retailers about
2022, found that total shrink in the industry amounted to 1.6% of sales. 36% of that shrink was attributable to external theft or shoplifting. That is identical to the total shrink in the industry the survey found in
2019. The survey has found shrink has been at roughly the same levels for decades. In
2011, for example, the survey found shrink amounted to 1.5% of total retail sales. In
2005, it was 1.6%. The percentage of shrink due to shoplifting has also remained steady.
~The new NRF report also contradicts outside estimates of shoplifting trends between 2019 and 2023. The Council on Criminal Justice (CCJ), a non-partisan think tank, found that the shoplifting rate in 2023 was
10% lower than in 2019. The CCJ's data is consistent with data collected from police departments by the
Real Time Crime Index, which shows theft (which includes shoplifting and other property crimes) in 2023 was below 2019 levels.
FBI data also shows property crime decreasing between 2019 and 2023.
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