The End of Oil?

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Tom

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
13,293
1
76
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Tom
I'm not seeing where "MIT acknowledges Peak oil" ?

"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "

Reading comprehension problems???


Which of the people is the official spokesperson for MIT on this issue ?

That's my point, not what the article says..

 

CycloWizard

Lifer
Sep 10, 2001
12,348
1
81
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "
The author should add 'that is harvestable using current technologies'. Currently, if it's under more than 3,000 feet of water it's pretty much off-limits due to offshore platform construction limitations.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: CycloWizard
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "
The author should add 'that is harvestable using current technologies'. Currently, if it's under more than 3,000 feet of water it's pretty much off-limits due to offshore platform construction limitations.

Originally posted by: Tom
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Tom
I'm not seeing where "MIT acknowledges Peak oil" ?

"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "

Reading comprehension problems???


Which of the people is the official spokesperson for MIT on this issue ?

That's my point, not what the article says..

Of course (AOA) America's Oil Apologists know better, what was I thinking??? :confused:
 

nergee

Senior member
Jan 25, 2000
843
0
0
I read somewhere that there are semisubmersibles that can drill up to 35000 feet in water depths up to 10000 feet............
 

CycloWizard

Lifer
Sep 10, 2001
12,348
1
81
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Of course (AOA) America's Oil Apologists know better, what was I thinking??? :confused:
We know better than you, that's all.
Originally posted by: nergee
I read somewhere that there are semisubmersibles that can drill up to 35000 feet in water depths up to 10000 feet............
Yes, but then the oil has to be pumped from there to a platform. The platform can't be in >3,000 feet of water currently.
 

MisterCornell

Banned
Dec 30, 2004
1,095
0
0
MIT is a big name in the academic world, but what makes them an expert on oil?

I'd be more inclined to believe a geologist who works for an oil company, who actually knows something about how much of the stuff there is, how much there likely is that we haven't discovered, and how much we can likely extract, because his job depends on it.
 

Tom

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
13,293
1
76
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: CycloWizard
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "
The author should add 'that is harvestable using current technologies'. Currently, if it's under more than 3,000 feet of water it's pretty much off-limits due to offshore platform construction limitations.

Originally posted by: Tom
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Tom
I'm not seeing where "MIT acknowledges Peak oil" ?

"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "

Reading comprehension problems???


Which of the people is the official spokesperson for MIT on this issue ?

That's my point, not what the article says..

Of course (AOA) America's Oil Apologists know better, what was I thinking??? :confused:


Hey, all I am saying is something shouldn't be attributed to a person or organization, unless they actually said it.

I want to know if it is the official position of MIT that this is the current state of affairs, and who at MIT has the authority to represent that as being the case ?

My question has notrhing to do with the merits of the article, just whether it's correct to attribute it to MIT..

Because part of the import of this thread, is it claims a new level of validity because the position is endorsed by MIT.

 

CycloWizard

Lifer
Sep 10, 2001
12,348
1
81
Originally posted by: nergee
"Yes, but then the oil has to be pumped from there to a platform. The platform can't be in >3,000 feet of water currently."

It appears that they are already in operation.....http://www.noblecorp.com/rig/gulffrX.html
You can have a freefloating structure in the Gulf, sure. Not in the oceans though. You'll note that the deeper stuff in the oceans are drilling ships, which don't have nearly the capabilities of platforms and so on, while some of the others are underwater pumping stations. The reason there's a depth limit currently is because at that depth, the steel supports currently used to anchor platforms start to collapse under their own weight. I was offered a research project to scale up carbon fiber cables that could be used to anchor them to depths of about 30,000 feet. That's the only reason I have any idea about these things. :p
 

0marTheZealot

Golden Member
Apr 5, 2004
1,692
0
0
Oil is never going to run out. This is because a significant fractions (usually above 70%) always remains in every resouviour :)
 

GrGr

Diamond Member
Sep 25, 2003
3,204
0
76
Originally posted by: Tom
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: CycloWizard
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "
The author should add 'that is harvestable using current technologies'. Currently, if it's under more than 3,000 feet of water it's pretty much off-limits due to offshore platform construction limitations.

Originally posted by: Tom
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Tom
I'm not seeing where "MIT acknowledges Peak oil" ?

"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "

Reading comprehension problems???


Which of the people is the official spokesperson for MIT on this issue ?

That's my point, not what the article says..

Of course (AOA) America's Oil Apologists know better, what was I thinking??? :confused:


Hey, all I am saying is something shouldn't be attributed to a person or organization, unless they actually said it.

I want to know if it is the official position of MIT that this is the current state of affairs, and who at MIT has the authority to represent that as being the case ?

My question has notrhing to do with the merits of the article, just whether it's correct to attribute it to MIT..

Because part of the import of this thread, is it claims a new level of validity because the position is endorsed by MIT.

My point in pointing out that MIT wrote about Peak Oil is that the concept of Peak Oil is getting increased attention. Soon maybe we will see even "mainstream" media (like FOX News :) ) discuss Peak Oil as a concept influencing US foreign and domestic policies. ;)



 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: Bowfinger
Originally posted by: charrison
[ ... ]
The stone age did not end because we ran out of stones....
(I like that. Something you coined, or is it an old saying I've somehow managed to never hear before?)


Re. the OP, I am confident we will eventually come up to alternatives for geologic oil, if only because we are forced to. I am concerned the transition may be disastrous to our economy, and perhaps even our culture, if we wait until our backs are against the wall. We have not only developed wasteful habits, but we are reinforcing them, making the inevitable transition that much more difficult.
Yeah, it will definitely happen, but if oil supplies dwindle quickly, or it's REALLY HARD to come up with these other technologies at a good price, they may not be viable until oil is very expensive. Money, afterall, runs all of this. Our entire society now could run on nuclear power and electric cars (running from nuclear plants), solar power, wind, etc. The problem is they are a pain in the ass and/or too expensive. Only when gas hits a high enough level will we resort to it, so the question is: How high will oil be before it's no longer the cheapest and best thing? The lower, the better for us. If it's high there will be many growing pains.

 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: Tom
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Tom
I'm not seeing where "MIT acknowledges Peak oil" ?

"Globally, according to some geologists? estimates, we have discovered 94 percent of all available oil. "

Reading comprehension problems???


Which of the people is the official spokesperson for MIT on this issue ?

That's my point, not what the article says..

Of course (AOA) America's Oil Apologists know better, what was I thinking??? :confused:
He asked here there was a reference to MIT, and instead of providing one, you're insulting him. There was no reference to MIT. Admit it.

 

cquark

Golden Member
Apr 4, 2004
1,741
0
0
Originally posted by: OS
Originally posted by: SuperTool
I am guessing we'll still be using oil for plastics and things like that even if we find some other source of fuel.

We also need petroleum products to produce synthetic fertilizers to grow food. Even without reductions in petroleum use, world food production has declined in recent years, due to suburban sprawl in the West, urbanization in China, and so forth.

Oil can still be synthesized even if it's not drilled from the ground. The article alludes to this, but basically the germans made oil from coal during WW2.

Pulling numbers from my ass, I figure at $6 or $7 a gallon, synthetic gasoline is commercially viable.

I've seen large scale coal liquefaction estimates for the cost of producing a barrel of oil lower than $50/barrel and production of oil from CO2 + H20 using nuclear power below $100/barrel, so it should be economic well below $6 a gallon, though it will take some time to build enough production plants to do so.
 

imported_Reck

Golden Member
Jun 24, 2004
1,695
1
0
The main problem with alterntive fuels like hydrogen is they require a significant amount of oil to manufacturer. So it won't be saving oil at all. Hydrogen fuel cars are a pipe dream.
 

piasabird

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
17,168
60
91
I did an experiment in the 7th grade where we separated oxygen and hydrogen from water with just a little elctricity and a silver dime. I have seen some articles where a solar panel can be used for the power source to separate hydrogen from water. This is the type of technology that is used to make a Fuel Cell in reverse. Sounds simple but you may end up with both Oxygen and Hydrogen. Oxygen is a bit flamable.

However some person decided that supercooling hydrogen was the best way to create a usable fuel for a hydrogen based automobile. This takes a bit of doing. It is not a simple process. The concept is simple, but the application is not that easy. Takes a lot of power to complete the process.
 

Darkhawk28

Diamond Member
Dec 22, 2000
6,759
0
0
Oil DEPENDANCY should be our #1 national security concern.

Frankly, I don't give a sh*t if we're running out of oil or not. We need to get off oil to get out from under the OPEC thumb. PERIOD.
 

imported_tss4

Golden Member
Jun 30, 2004
1,607
0
0
Does anybody know how much the price of gas has to increase in order for coal liquification to be profitable? It would give us an idea of the upper end of gas price increases (even under the worst case scenario- all oil runs out). In some ways, running out of oil may be a good thing for us. We will still have coal and can export it.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: Reck
The main problem with alterntive fuels like hydrogen is they require a significant amount of oil to manufacturer. So it won't be saving oil at all. Hydrogen fuel cars are a pipe dream.
No, they require a significant amount of ENERGY to manufacture. That energy source does not need to be oil.

 

StormRider

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2000
8,324
2
0
Is there any way to use vegetable oil as fuel? We have tons of corn that can produce vegetable oil....
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: StormRider
Is there any way to use vegetable oil as fuel? We have tons of corn that can produce vegetable oil....
Yeah, you can at the least throw it into diesel cars with little in the way of mods.