So why did Donald Trump win? Flipside to the Clinton/lose thread

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Feb 4, 2009
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I.

So maybe you're right and it isn't all doom and gloom for us. I have no problem at all being served by a 52 year old that his food and drink knowledge up to the best.

I need to point out, I'd bet you wouldn't be happy of a 52 year old waiter who you have to tip $30 minimum to so he can earn 60k per year. I'd also bet its unlikely you're going to travel to a restaurant that has a similar high minimum tip that's also located in an old mining town.
This is ignoring the guy wants to mine, not serve high end food & wine.
 

sxr7171

Diamond Member
Jun 21, 2002
5,079
40
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I need to point out, I'd bet you wouldn't be happy of a 52 year old waiter who you have to tip $30 minimum to so he can earn 60k per year. I'd also bet its unlikely you're going to travel to a restaurant that has a similar high minimum tip that's also located in an old mining town.
This is ignoring the guy wants to mine, not serve high end food & wine.

No doubt. But actually I wouldn't mind paying them more as I believe "charity" begins at home.

I'd much rather give more to the people who take care of me even for an hour than have it sucked out and given to anybody for any reason.

I do think $60k is well above a living wage and someone who just had to peruse a cocktails book for a week shouldn't get the same as an engineer who for 4 years spent every waking moment behind a textbook and acquired a $150k note along with that and the sacrifice of one's years of youth wilting away. A single person I suppose could live on $35k or even a bit less.

This isn't a solution to catapault the unemployable to a new socio economic status but just to treat them with dignity until they pass. It would be nice to give everyone $75k a year but if we did why would the budding engineer bother? He or she would just serve cocktails.
 

Maxima1

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2013
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Some people would argue that China going from less than 1/6 the manufacturing of the US to surpassing the US in a few decades could have had an impact. It is useful to note that China's manufacturing R&D research is rising at a far higher rate than the United States. The state of the art will eventually migrate to Asia. Without engineering or manufacturing, a country can no longer pretend to be relevant.

We benefit from countries exporting to us, especially when they aritifically devalue their currency, since that reduces purchasing power of their own citizens to the benefit of foreigners like us. The US still is strong in manufacturing, btw. It's just that output per person is way higher. Manufacturing shoes, etc. with many people doesn't give a country an advantage. It's not needed. We only need to worry about distribution effects from trade and globalization. Republicans are not friendly to workers here. The productivity gains here could be distributed much more effectively here, but the top has the power and influence to keep it that way.This also harms the economy here because capitalism runs on sales (people need to make money) and capitalism doesn't care about employment levels (there's no reason for employment to be less than full at anytime with good macroecon policy).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Q8c9Z7Dexs
 

agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
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My argument is that they did nothing to begin with to address their concerns. I think Obama put in many policies to address their issues, but they didn't work or haven't worked fast enough. Whether or not it was republicans bitching and whining and blocking all his efforts, nothing has made their lives substantively better. Either you accept that and keep going to MI and WI and tell these people that we now want to solve what hasn't worked and do this and that in a different way--we understand that "shit is real bad now and everything" but we're going to try something new--or you continue to ignore that policies haven't addressed their problems fast enough, assume they will vote for you anyway, and go to other states and deal with their problems.
That's hilarious, the only reason half those rubes in the region still have jobs is due to the auto bailout. The problem is they're clearly too stupid to realize the reality of things, and doing even more for them won't change this. Part of that liberal brain defect is reliance on carrot instead of stick approaches, which is why the right considers you cucks.

Complain about that all you want, but Hillary ignored the heart of her base and it kicked her in the ass. Part of the problem, obviously, is that a lot of those voters probably attach her to NAFTA and various other "coal-killing" policies so it would be very difficult for someone like her to resonate with them, but continuing the same "the 1% will pay for your problems" mantra from the dems, that obviously hasn't worked in 20 years, is plain stupid.
Their existence is already well subsidized by the rich. In particular from the coasts inwards. Personally I think it's time to cut them off, and not just to teach a lesson.

What actually resonated them was a campaign predicated on hating minorities, just like all the research on the matter showed it should. I suggest following your own previous suggestions to avoid cognitive dissonance.

I doubt these people are as populist, looking for free money, blaming their problems on everything else, outright ignorant, that both parties have classically made them out to be when "they don't get their way." I think they just want opportunities for decent jobs and a chance to restore their communities out from the meth-addled shit holes that they have fallen to. Now, I think it's largely true that those old jobs aren't coming back, free trade and globalism are an unavoidable necessity in the progress of humanity, but trying to convince these people of that and encouraging them to reinvent themselves is a non-starter. I don't think they see great enemies such much as they see a lack of leadership in those that treat them as the unfortunate data points in a system that balances out to be "good" for everyone as a whole.

When you realize that you are that unfortunate data point, how do you react? Someone comes in and has, as simple and threatening as it may sound, an idea to demand that factories stay in town and in this country unless they want to be priced out of the market, that resonates. It doesn't matter if it works in the end or if that is something that Trump can actually do, what matters is that it is a pretty clear idea that--if it does magically work--could indeed mean instant salvation for their problems. The dems keep pushing more and more, "we'll let the 1% pay for programs to help you guys" which, in their minds, not only sound a lot like welfare, it sounds that it is going to take a long time for anything to happen.

I actually think they're aware those jobs aren't coming back, which is why they answer in the affirmative to "are minorities getting ahead at expense of whites" questions, because they know the pie there is zero sum.

And also aware to some extent that they're subsidized by the coasts, which is actual why they seethe with hatred at that dependency. And why they stfu real quick when you outline terms for divorce.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
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No they didn't, in fact this was explicitly brought up during the debates. It was mentioned that his solution was unconstitutional and logistically impossible to do, not to mention the fact that the percentage of immigrants that cause any problems are vanishingly small. The left repeatedly said literally ALL OF THOSE THINGS. You can use the internet and find endless analyses of the constitutionality and practicality of this Muslim ban. Somehow you've ignored it and continue to say that they just called him racist. Why?

Oh and what was the Trump campaign's response? They said he never claimed that and that's not their position. Again, a nonexistent position.

Again, mainly in media that people in the middle and right do not watch. The discussions people were having was simply he was racist. Check this thread for the type of thing I am talking about. Question was would he make it, and look at the responses. I'm not going to pretend that I too was not in on thinking Trump was a joke. Point is, people talking were insulting, and not debating.



Again this is ludicrously false. I can link you to half a dozen pieces as to why the wall was a bad idea in addition to being racist. Hell, John Oliver devoted almost twenty full minutes of air time to examining the feasibility of the wall, and in broadcast time that is an eternity.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2016/03/21/john-oliver-slams-donald-trumps-u-s-mexico-border-wall-for-18-brutal-minutes/

You keep missing it. Read this quote by Oliver.

“Instead of mocking it or dismissing it out of hand, tonight, let’s take a serious proposal by a serious presidential candidate seriously,”

Why would he make that statement if that was not being done by the Left. Your own link is showing you what happened.



I think you may not be understanding my terminology here. He would say something, which people took as having a position. They would then attack that position on the merits, at which point he would declare that wasn't his position. So he was not only attacked on the merits of his positions while they existed, he then withdrew them, making them not exist.

No. What would happen is that he would say that the immigrants that are coming over are not their best. That implies there are good people in Mexico, but the ones coming over illegally were not. Instead of pushing for evidence that the illegal immigrants coming over are more likely to be criminals vs legal or current us citizens, he was called racist and hating Mexicans. His response in that context was that he was not anti-Mexican. The Left then said he was trying to waffle. He was talking about illegal immigrants and not Mexican people. How do we know, because he clearly said they are not sending their best. The Left, including you, could not let go of him meaning all Mexicans coming to the US.



I think you're substituting anecdotal evidence for what can be easily verified.

Of course. I am not a political scientist. I am telling you that this is what I saw and the conclusion I came too. I also feel like I have reasons to support my stance.



Again, your position on Trump is irrelevant. You have formed a narrative in your head where Trump was only attacked personally and not on the issues. There's lots and lots of evidence out there that clearly shows this is wrong, but you're ignoring it. It's not because you favor Trump, it's because you favor the position you already have. That's confirmation bias.

Except there isint. I told you that Trump got lots of IND votes to go for him. I gave you the data. I said those on the left were attacking him personally. Oliver even started his vid by saying that it was going to take it seriously. My argument is that those in the middle and right grew to ignore the Left because of how the left was acting.

My position on Trump is important, because it shows I did not want to buy into his shit. What he said was shit, but what the Left made it out to be was a mountain of shit instead of a small hill. That type of thing is what made people tune out the Left.



How on earth are those conflicting things? Just because the left attacked him on the issues doesn't mean that was the most effective way to attack.

Now we are going in circles. You said Trump never took positions, and then said that his positions were attacked a lot. You cant attack something is does not exist to attack.

I'm not happy with the outcome, and I know you are not either. I really do think you are too upset right now to see this through. I'm not saying that the Left is mainly responsible for Trump's win. I am saying that they did not do themselves any good when they responded the way they did. Their response made people believe that Trump was better than he actually was.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
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Again, mainly in media that people in the middle and right do not watch. The discussions people were having was simply he was racist. Check this thread for the type of thing I am talking about. Question was would he make it, and look at the responses. I'm not going to pretend that I too was not in on thinking Trump was a joke. Point is, people talking were insulting, and not debating.

Media that people in the middle and the right don't watch like presidential debates? You have to be joking.

Regardless, now you're contradicting yourself. You complained that liberals only insulted Trump and didn't engage with his policies and now you're saying that although liberals WERE criticizing his policies they needed to make these criticisms in areas where they didn't control what was put out. This is illogical.

You keep missing it. Read this quote by Oliver.

“Instead of mocking it or dismissing it out of hand, tonight, let’s take a serious proposal by a serious presidential candidate seriously,”

Why would he make that statement if that was not being done by the Left. Your own link is showing you what happened.

So now your argument is that a 20 minute piece doing exactly what you said wasn't done, criticizing him on the merits of his policy, is proof that people didn't criticize him on the merits of his policies. That is self evidently ridiculous.

Again, I can provide you with reams of criticisms on the merits. You can find them yourself. How much more do you need before you admit you're wrong? Genuine question. Give me a number.

No. What would happen is that he would say that the immigrants that are coming over are not their best. That implies there are good people in Mexico, but the ones coming over illegally were not. Instead of pushing for evidence that the illegal immigrants coming over are more likely to be criminals vs legal or current us citizens, he was called racist and hating Mexicans. His response in that context was that he was not anti-Mexican. The Left then said he was trying to waffle. He was talking about illegal immigrants and not Mexican people. How do we know, because he clearly said they are not sending their best. The Left, including you, could not let go of him meaning all Mexicans coming to the US.

This is again, proveably false. You can even go back and read my posts on the issue. Your attempt to whitewash his statement aside, saying that illegal immigrants from Mexico are rapists is in fact a racist statement.

If you genuinely believe that people pointing out Trump's racism from that statement was a negative and that they should have instead been pointing to differential immigrant crime rates please provide me with literally any empirical research or scientific polling that indicates this.

Of course. I am not a political scientist. I am telling you that this is what I saw and the conclusion I came too. I also feel like I have reasons to support my stance.

Right, but anecdotal evidence is almost meaningless. You're basically ignoring the data stating you in the face.

Except there isint. I told you that Trump got lots of IND votes to go for him. I gave you the data. I said those on the left were attacking him personally. Oliver even started his vid by saying that it was going to take it seriously. My argument is that those in the middle and right grew to ignore the Left because of how the left was acting.

I strongly encourage you to do more research on independents. Most self identified independents are actually closet partisans and they lean disproportionately conservative. You're chasing a red herring.

My argument is that the claims you are making are easily disproven by even a simple google search. You have confused the sensationalism of the mainstream media for the behavior of liberals. I'm sure it's an honest mistake, but it's an obvious mistake.

My position on Trump is important, because it shows I did not want to buy into his shit. What he said was shit, but what the Left made it out to be was a mountain of shit instead of a small hill. That type of thing is what made people tune out the Left.

No, your view is not important. You're just making up a narrative and doggedly sticking to it in the face of contrary evidence.

Now we are going in circles. You said Trump never took positions, and then said that his positions were attacked a lot. You cant attack something is does not exist to attack.

I'm not happy with the outcome, and I know you are not either. I really do think you are too upset right now to see this through. I'm not saying that the Left is mainly responsible for Trump's win. I am saying that they did not do themselves any good when they responded the way they did. Their response made people believe that Trump was better than he actually was.

This is the second time you've tried to dodge my argument by saying I'm making it because I'm angry. That is a stupid and immature way to discuss things and I would hope you are better than that going forward. If you can't rebut my arguments then just say so, don't try to concoct a world where people are just saying you're wrong because they are mad.

As I said earlier you complained that liberals did not engage Trump on his policies. I've told you that he functionally had no policies but the few he did articulate were engaged with on the merits. If you disagree, please tell me what evidence you will accept that will make you change your mind.
 

jackstar7

Lifer
Jun 26, 2009
11,679
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The muslim ban isn't on the website... so either he doesn't think he needs to say it openly, or they're backing away from it.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,246
55,794
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The muslim ban isn't on the website... so either he doesn't think he needs to say it openly, or they're backing away from it.

They discreetly scrubbed it sometime in the last few days. I am sure they will pretend it never happened.
 
Feb 4, 2009
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Fsky we lost. That's it. Blaming the media or Trump being being mean or racists is just a distraction. We were undoubtedly beaten. No House, no Senate, no Presidency and minimal local elections. This is not a sustainable strategy. Now is the time to reflect and redirect to things that do work.
 

BurnItDwn

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
26,371
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I like to hope that Trumps stance on globalization ruining the american way of life has been the biggest factor in his victory.
Otherwise, I'd also add that the intenal party corruption by the democrats against Bernie certainly did them no favors.

I'm hoping most of the rest of the negative rhetoric was merely rhetoric ....
 

sxr7171

Diamond Member
Jun 21, 2002
5,079
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That's hilarious, the only reason half those rubes in the region still have jobs is due to the auto bailout. The problem is they're clearly too stupid to realize the reality of things, and doing even more for them won't change this. Part of that liberal brain defect is reliance on carrot instead of stick approaches, which is why the right considers you cucks.


Their existence is already well subsidized by the rich. In particular from the coasts inwards. Personally I think it's time to cut them off, and not just to teach a lesson.

What actually resonated them was a campaign predicated on hating minorities, just like all the research on the matter showed it should. I suggest following your own previous suggestions to avoid cognitive dissonance.



I actually think they're aware those jobs aren't coming back, which is why they answer in the affirmative to "are minorities getting ahead at expense of whites" questions, because they know the pie there is zero sum.

And also aware to some extent that they're subsidized by the coasts, which is actual why they seethe with hatred at that dependency. And why they stfu real quick when you outline terms for divorce.

You have a quite pessimistic view of these people. Some of what you say I think is true. Some of it I find hard to agree with.

I do spend some time in such an area. When asked mostly they were honest about supporting Trump to me even though I am one of those "minorities". I appreciated the candor. I would even go so far as to suggest that candor is indicative that they don't really see him as racist or they would have lied to me about it.

The number one reason I hear they want Trump is that many of them had good healthcare before Obamacare. Their employers were paying for it. Now their premiums are shooting through the roof.

Other reasons I've heard are from straight admiration of a non establishment candidate.

The big one I heard against Hillary was the late term abortion issue. They still care about stuff like that. I personally don't see why they would care about that stuff when they can't even get their house in order.

I don't think many of them know their lives are subsidized by the rich or by the coasts. They couldn't imagine it.

They are a very proud people and hate the idea of handouts but like all people they obviously won't turn it away.

They really do think that Trump can bring their old glorious lifestyle back.

I've surprisingly never gotten any racist vibe from any of them. If you've come down and seen how much they interbreed between races you'd believe it too. The poverty keeps them together no matter what race.

Having said that they definitely want no more "minorities" coming in. Heck even 19% of Hispanics voted for Trump. It's more of an insider/outsider problem. Once you're in why would care for more of your people to come in?

They actually do think that they might be a victim of a terror attack completely forgetting that their utter and total irrelevance to anything makes them a very poor target. It's the same as city liberals thinking that a Trump presidency would mean all gays and minorities would rounded up and dropped in the ocean. They think their world will stop so they cry as if that will help.

Both sides are so simplistic in their thinking that they are all fair game for the next messiah.


But they voted for Trump mostly for economic reasons. The minorities were thrown in for symbolic reasons but it was more symbolic than actual racism.
 
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buckshot24

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2009
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The muslim ban isn't on the website... so either he doesn't think he needs to say it openly, or they're backing away from it.
That's been covered during the campaign. President Trump will explain to you the rest in good time, believe me.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
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Media that people in the middle and the right don't watch like presidential debates? You have to be joking.

No. Even though the debates were record breaking, its still very far away from something like the Super Bowl. Now, I think we had somewhere like 120 million votes, and something like 60-80 million watching the debate. Assuming that huge chunks of the viewers were already on a side, that leaves a lot who did not watch. Guess where they got their ideas of the debate from...

Regardless, now you're contradicting yourself. You complained that liberals only insulted Trump and didn't engage with his policies and now you're saying that although liberals WERE criticizing his policies they needed to make these criticisms in areas where they didn't control what was put out. This is illogical.

No. I said that liberals were not debating ideas, but attacking the person. I also clearly said that those on the right and middle were not watching news. They were getting their ideas from talking to people. Those on the right were going to support trump. Those on the left were not going to support trump. Those on the left made Trump out to be something far worse than what he actually was.

I also did not complain. I said it was what I thought happened to get people to miss that Trump was bad. I said liberals were attacking him and not debating his ideas. You were the one who said they were attacking his ideas and also that he did not have any ideas.

So now your argument is that a 20 minute piece doing exactly what you said wasn't done, criticizing him on the merits of his policy, is proof that people didn't criticize him on the merits of his policies. That is self evidently ridiculous.

Again, I told you that those in the middle and right are not looking to Oliver for information. Oliver has a great show and I enjoy it. He does not have a show that appeals to those in the middle and right as a new source. HBO is not a very conservative network. Stop and think about your stance. All the outlets that were attacking his positions were mainstream media. We both know how republicans feel about that. You are a hard left guy, so you dont see how those in the middle get their information.



Again, I can provide you with reams of criticisms on the merits. You can find them yourself. How much more do you need before you admit you're wrong? Genuine question. Give me a number.

You are asking for a number from something that I have already explained. The question is how did he win. He won because those who wanted change found it in him. They tuned out the opposition voice because that voice exaggerated.

Spy, what do I have to gain by taking this position. Why do you think I am talking to you? Its not because I want to gloat, because I'm unhappy with the outcome. Look at your responses to me vs how I'm talking to you. You are too upset right now to hear me out.


This is again, proveably false. You can even go back and read my posts on the issue. Your attempt to whitewash his statement aside, saying that illegal immigrants from Mexico are rapists is in fact a racist statement.

They are rapists, just as Americans are rapists, and Canadians are rapists. He was not saying all. You only feel that way because you hate him so much. I just dislike him and think he is unfit for the job.



If you genuinely believe that people pointing out Trump's racism from that statement was a negative and that they should have instead been pointing to differential immigrant crime rates please provide me with literally any empirical research or scientific polling that indicates this.

I did at the time actually. Im not going to dig through the forum for this right now, but I did. I told you then that we did not have much data on illegal immigration and crime, but what data we did have from Texas was higher. I also said that its 100% true that legal immigrants commit less crime than avg.

My best friend is Mexican. He hated Trump. When he brought up how Trump thinks all Mexicans are bad, I asked if he had seen the speech or quote. He said no. When I showed it to him, and explained the data, he still did not like that Trump was talking out of his ass, but even he could admit that it alone did not show he was racist.


Right, but anecdotal evidence is almost meaningless. You're basically ignoring the data stating you in the face.

What data. You have news articles and videos from sources that the Right was never going to watch, and that many in the middle consider biased. Again, you are not in the middle so you dont see how they gather information. Its not by watching fox news or any other single media outlet. They get it by talking.




I strongly encourage you to do more research on independents. Most self identified independents are actually closet partisans and they lean disproportionately conservative. You're chasing a red herring.


Then your stance is that American is mainly conservative. Thus, you have your answer. Trump won because the majority of the US is republican. Weird that Obama won twice when R's had much better options than Trump. Weird that many groups that voted for Obama started bleeding over to Trump.




My argument is that the claims you are making are easily disproven by even a simple google search. You have confused the sensationalism of the mainstream media for the behavior of liberals. I'm sure it's an honest mistake, but it's an obvious mistake.

They are not, and you keep saying this. I understand that I have put forward something is is almost impossible if not impossible to disprove. In no way will news articles or videos prove that people were or were not talking to other people.



No, your view is not important. You're just making up a narrative and doggedly sticking to it in the face of contrary evidence.

Why? Give a reason as to why I would do that. I literally stand nothing to gain here. Ask yourself why I would do this and how its not you doing this.




This is the second time you've tried to dodge my argument by saying I'm making it because I'm angry. That is a stupid and immature way to discuss things and I would hope you are better than that going forward. If you can't rebut my arguments then just say so, don't try to concoct a world where people are just saying you're wrong because they are mad.


Dude, you literally give me a video where Oliver said he was not going to do the thing that I said was happening. The reason he said that was because he knew it was happening. Not sure what else to say here.


As I said earlier you complained that liberals did not engage Trump on his policies. I've told you that he functionally had no policies but the few he did articulate were engaged with on the merits. If you disagree, please tell me what evidence you will accept that will make you change your mind.

I did not complain, I gave my opinion. When I said people did not engage Trump policies, I was not saying that people needed to talk to Trump directly. That would be silly. I am saying that people did not argue against Trumps positions. I spent a lot of time around west cost and college liberals. None of them knew anything about Trump's positions and actual comments. They just knew he was bad.

You are not them. You try to stay informed. I am telling you, that you do not realize how others were. Try talking to people around you that you find to be in the middle and see what they know about Trump. You will be very shocked to see they know very little about him.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,246
55,794
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I'm from Pennsylvania. I grew up around a lot of people that almost certainly voted for Trump. I spent seven years in the military. My guess is I've spent a lot more time around possible Trump voters than you have.

What you're doing here is saying that you believe liberals turned off independents and conservatives by personally attacking Trump and not his policies. You dismiss all actual verifiable evidence to the contrary and base it on your personal experiences. That's simply not a smart way to do things.

I'll ask one more time: what evidence will you accept that says you're wrong?
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
I'm from Pennsylvania. I grew up around a lot of people that almost certainly voted for Trump. I spent seven years in the military. My guess is I've spent a lot more time around possible Trump voters than you have.

What you're doing here is saying that you believe liberals turned off independents and conservatives by personally attacking Trump and not his policies. You dismiss all actual verifiable evidence to the contrary and base it on your personal experiences. That's simply not a smart way to do things.

I'll ask one more time: what evidence will you accept that says you're wrong?


Giving me a few links to articles dies not establish anything. Im talking about people talking. How would news articles prove anything?

Also, what evidence did you provide to show that the left did not turn off people. All you posted was a Washington Post article that had a vid of John Oliver addressing actual points. How would that mean anything to my point?
 

buckshot24

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2009
9,916
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So I'm looking into turnout by state, here are the states that saw increases. Some states didn't have data in the spreadsheet I downloaded so it isn't complete.


Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
Colorado
Connecticut
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Massachusetts
Michigan
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wyoming

Here are the states that saw decreases.

California
District of Columbia
Hawaii
Iowa
Kansas
Maryland
Minnesota
New Jersey
Ohio
Utah
Wisconsin

I also realize that votes are still being counted so this could change.

California is down 1.7 million votes so far, Ohio is about 130k short ATM
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
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For some reason, this picture just cracks me up :

1478801948051.jpg
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,583
24,770
136
No. What would happen is that he would say that the immigrants that are coming over are not their best. That implies there are good people in Mexico, but the ones coming over illegally were not. Instead of pushing for evidence that the illegal immigrants coming over are more likely to be criminals vs legal or current us citizens, he was called racist and hating Mexicans. His response in that context was that he was not anti-Mexican. The Left then said he was trying to waffle. He was talking about illegal immigrants and not Mexican people. How do we know, because he clearly said they are not sending their best. The Left, including you, could not let go of him meaning all Mexicans coming to the US.

First off, Mexico isn't sending anyone over here - so his whole statement about them not sending their best is questionable at best. Illegal immigrants are people that risk their lives to make the journey willingly of their own free will. The vast majority do so for jobs. The way he worded his statement was that most Mexican immigrants were of the criminal sort, and a minority, or 'some', were good people. Like if I said about a restaurant 'the food there is not really good but some is ok'. Yeah a minority of it is good.

He just brushed with a very very broad stroke calling the majority of illegals as criminals. And the data doesn't back it up at all. The vast majority of illegal immigrant crime is that of being an illegal. Besides that there is no evidence that illegals commit other crimes at higher rates than Americans. Why would he say that? He was pandering to what he knows is a segment of the population that blames illegals for many of their problems. It was code to white nationalists. It was a call to blame a group of people that look different for our problems. Call most of them terrible criminals and rally up the base.

Why not blame businesses for hiring illegals? You'd be blaming a lot of white business owners, that's why. It's them, after all, who create the demand that creates the supply. Mexicans would not take that harrowing journey if there wasn't a lot of opportunity available for them. But you can't blame white folk, it's easier to rile up hate against the brown folk.

And then questioning a Judge's ability to perform his job due to his Mexican heritage. That's textbook racism, as per Paul Ryan. That merely puts his Mexican criminal statement into context. He believes it's their Mexican-ness that makes them flawed.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,583
24,770
136
Then your stance is that American is mainly conservative. Thus, you have your answer. Trump won because the majority of the US is republican. Weird that Obama won twice when R's had much better options than Trump. Weird that many groups that voted for Obama started bleeding over to Trump.

Polls show that is not correct. from 2014-2016 the majority of the time people identified as Democrat slightly more than Republicans. And independents generally leaned more to Democrats than Republicans

http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

Keep in mind Hillary still won the popular vote as well. Not by a lot but by enough. And she was a candidate that had too much baggage so that enough Dems didn't get out and vote.

Because Trump won then stating the majority of the US is Republican is dubious at best. I am quite confident if the Dems put forward a candidate with less baggage than Hillary we wouldn't be having this conversation at all.
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
LMAO!!! As if the popular vote means anything. Trump won by the system that was in place, get over it and move on.

Shhh.... Don't tell them about Obama's Legacy.

"Under President Obama, Democrats have lost 900+ state legislature seats, 12 governors, 69 House seats, 13 Senate seats."
 
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MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,583
24,770
136
LMAO!!! As if the popular vote means anything. Trump won by the system that was in place, get over it and move on.

you are an idiot. I didn't complain about the electoral college or say anything to do with Trump winning or not. That was not the discussion us adults were having. The entire statement I made was as to the one which stated the majority of the US is Republican. Data such as popular vote is relevant in this discussion.

again you are an idiot.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,246
55,794
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Giving me a few links to articles dies not establish anything. Im talking about people talking. How would news articles prove anything?

Also, what evidence did you provide to show that the left did not turn off people. All you posted was a Washington Post article that had a vid of John Oliver addressing actual points. How would that mean anything to my point?

You claimed the left did not engage on the merits and I showed you explicitly that it did. You have changed your argument to 'random people I talked to behaved a certain way which I assume is indicative of the nationwide discourse'.

Basically what you're saying here is that no evidence that anyone can supply can change your mind. I'm sorry but I wish you had just said that to begin with because this has been pointless. If you're immune to contrary evidence then why bother discussing it?
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
Didn't read the thread, but a few things.

Fact is HRC was flawed, which was definitely a part of the reason she lost, but I'd say maybe only a quarter of the reason she lost was her deficiencies (based on turnout numbers and her margins, which weren't really that far off from Obama 2012).

So the biggest reasons for her loss still center around the fact that people vote simplistically or just for poor reasons generally. On the right, blue collar Trump voters in the Rust Belt voted for some pretty bad reasons, such as being unable to fathom who can fix DC so they tell themselves Trump will blow up the system since "DC is broken". Two, they voted Trump as "revenge" against a media that has (arguably rightfully) ignored them. Three, they voted Trump based on his xenophobic message on immigrants and prejudiced rhetoric on black neighborhoods and women. And four, they voted Trump based on what they (wrongfully) believe to be the evils of globalism that "took their jobs". Ironically, instead of taking personal responsibility (a maxim of the right) a lot of these folks, several I know personally, can't come to grips with the reality that they hold the keys to their own destiny, and instead enmesh themselves in realities that don't actually, well, represent objective reality (talk radio, Fox News, etc.). I have no doubt many are good people, which goes without saying, and that they feel real pain. Unfortunately they've focused it on all the wrong people and ideas, and let out quite the primal scream this election cycle.

This is the same, but also a bit different, on the left, which is mostly centered around the notion that the media is too conservative or that ALL right-wingers are racist/xenophobic or that we're just five big government programs away from equality or some such nonsense.

Overall, the election was lost by 1% in the rust belt states of WI, MI & PA, so it was very close and he also will end up losing the popular vote to Clinton by up to 1M votes. With a candidate as unpredictable as Trump and given how unpopular HRC was, it's not hard to envision a far clearer and likely path to victory for Dems in 2020. See this excellent RCP article here: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/11/10/trumps_first_term_and_perhaps_a_second.html
 

flexy

Diamond Member
Sep 28, 2001
8,464
155
106
LMAO!!! As if the popular vote means anything. Trump won by the system that was in place, get over it and move on.

Yes, it means something!

It means that the real majority of Americans is NOT crazy, do NOT want a fascist leader, are not Islamophobic, DON'T want an idiot in office.

To me, this is significant.