You're making the same mistake neocons are, going through the economic cycle backwards.
CONSUMER SPENDING creates the demand for loans. The availability of loans DOES NOT create consumer spending.
You have to give the money to the working guy FIRST before he can buy cars and houses. It all starts with the lower and middle class. Trickle up.
Trickle down is going through the economic process backwards and most of the money spent on it get's wasted.
Give some rich guy tax cuts so he can invest the money overseas? That's where a lot of rich are investing now. Yeah that makes sense.
Um for one thing, I believe the neocon ideology primarily refers to a foreign policy outlook and is not rooted in economics. Not sure it's particularly helpful to refer to neocons when discussing economic policy.
While I agree that Washington often gets the economic cycle wrong. E.g., providing exapanded write-off's for expansion of equip etc (section 179 deduction) when there is no demand. If no demand, who wants to expand?
However, this:
CONSUMER SPENDING creates the demand for loans. The availability of loans DOES NOT create consumer spending.
If there are no loans available to the consumer, they cannot express their demand by additional spending. There are no funds available to them.
So, to the extent we have people (including small businesses) that would like to spend but cannot obtain loans to fund it, that lack of loans actually suppresses demand. I believe we have this problem now to some extent, particularly for small businesses.
Many small businesses have closed. Their competitor(s), still in business, would like to grab up those customers now available. But if you can't get loans to go after that business you have a problem, and self-funding is a b!tch.
Theoretically at least, it is possible that the lack of loans/capital can prevent an economic turnaround. If no one can get money to go after/handle those customers, no one gets hired. The demand that could be there will die of starvation.
The current group in charge (Admin, Fed, Congress) seems to think that by flooding banks with money some of it will find it's way into new loans. A 'trickle down theory' for capital, if you will. So far it is not working. I think we have a situation where everybody is waiting for someone else 'to go first'. And small business is getting killed. The gov needs to use the SBA to get money flowing to them.
Fern