Potomac Tuesday: What's your prediction?

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Legend

Platinum Member
Apr 21, 2005
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Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: techs
Obama will sweep and pull into the delegate lead.
However, on March 4 when Clinton wins Texas and Ohio and regains the lead, Obama's momentum will be over and in April Clinton will win Pennsyvania guaranteeing her more delegates than Obama.
This actually will make people think Clinton fought back and won and do wonders for her chances against old man McCain.

is this the bargaining stage?

Text :laugh:

No, it's the sandwich making phase.









...sorry, I just had to
 

Pabster

Lifer
Apr 15, 2001
16,986
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Originally posted by: yowolabi
That's impossible. A well informed poster said that Obama couldn't even win California in the general election because he can't win the Latino vote. Others say that Texas is impossible for him to win against Hillary for the same reason.

Do you have a link to where you got this information?

It's on the front page of Drudge.
 

mflacy

Golden Member
Aug 8, 2001
1,910
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Voting was extended in Maryland by 90 minutes due to bad weather. Looks like the polls will close in a little over an hour.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
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Originally posted by: Moonbeam
Originally posted by: loki8481
I, for one, look forward to 4 years of mediocrity and masturbatory speeches :thumbsup: hopefully Obama manages to get rid of "don't ask, don't tell" in between being blindsided by the fact that people won't do what you tell them to just because you're a nice guy.

Ah, the anger phase, or is it resignation?

Hibbert: Now, a little death anxiety is normal. You can expect to go through five stages. The first is denial.
Homer: No way! Because I'm not dying!
Hibbert: The second is anger.
Homer: Why you little!
Hibbert: After that comes fear.
Homer: What's after fear? What's after fear?
Hibbert: Bargaining.
Homer: Doc, you gotta get me out of this! I'll make it worth your while!
Hibbert: Finally, acceptance.
Homer: Well, we all gotta go sometime.
Hibbert: Mr. Simpson, your progress astounds me.
 

yowolabi

Diamond Member
Jun 29, 2001
4,183
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Huckabee's going to lose to McCain by a small margin in Virginia. Imagine if he had been the front runner, or not close to mathematically eliminated.
 

Pabster

Lifer
Apr 15, 2001
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Yeah, it clearly shows McCain is in trouble. He'll win the nomination, but his support amongst the heart and soul of the Republican Party is dismal.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
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Originally posted by: yowolabi
Originally posted by: Pabster
Exits show Obama won the Latino vote 55-45!

EDIT: This is Virginia.

That's impossible. A well informed poster said that Obama couldn't even win California in the general election because he can't win the Latino vote. Others say that Texas is impossible for him to win against Hillary for the same reason.

Do you have a link to where you got this information?

People keep glossing over Texas.

There are plenty of things working against Clinton in Texas.

First, delegate approtionment. It favors Obama.
Second, yes Texas does have a large population of latino voters, however the majority are younger. Obama wins the 40 and under Latino vote by large margins.

Clinton may be able to run up the popular vote in South and West Texas, but Obama will net the most delegates. Save this thread, I'm calling it now.
 

glugglug

Diamond Member
Jun 9, 2002
5,340
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How come on CNN it shows this for Maryland?
1st place Obama 33%
2nd place Clinton 50%

WTF?

And they are calling it for McCain with 0% of precinct data?
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
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Originally posted by: glugglug
How come on CNN it shows this for Maryland?
1st place Obama 33%
2nd place Clinton 50%

WTF?

And they are calling it for McCain with 0% of precinct data?

Did you look at the vote tallies? 69 to 104.


edit: and they're calling the races based on the overwhelming poll data.
 

dbk

Lifer
Apr 23, 2004
17,685
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CNN shows Obama winning the +65 year old, and the rural vote in MD. Obama also won the female and the Latino vote in Virginia.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
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Originally posted by: loki8481
Originally posted by: glugglug
How come on CNN it shows this for Maryland?
1st place Obama 33%
2nd place Clinton 50%

clearly, it's more pro Clinton bias :roll:

See my post above.

Here's CNN's exit poll: Text

I don't care whose effect you'll cite next, that's way outside any margin of error.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,549
1,130
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Originally posted by: dbk
CNN shows Obama winning the +65 year old, and the rural vote in MD. Obama also won the female and the Latino vote in Virginia.

Obama poached Clinton's base from her in Maryland and Virginia.

He won every income bracket.
He won latinos.
He won women.

He won every single demographic in Virigina except the white vote where he lost narrowly, and the white woman vote where he lost by about 10%.

 

Fenixgoon

Lifer
Jun 30, 2003
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i dont see how the republicans can win the GE.. my impression of the general public is that they're tired of old white guys.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
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Originally posted by: Fenixgoon
i dont see how the republicans can win the GE.. my impression of the general public is that they're tired of old white guys.

Bush is one of the most disliked presidents in history... and Dems still managed to lose to him in '04.

I think it's still way too early to really map out how McCain v Obama is going to turn out and whether months of hammering on Obama's lack of experience by someone with actual combat and foreign policy experience will play out.