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Poll addicts-Updated!!!

chess9

Elite member
Apr 15, 2000
7,748
0
0
http://www.electoral-vote.com/pred/index.html

Kerry wins, much to my surprise.

We'll see....

I read a research paper yesterday that said 72% of undecideds vote for the challenger. Most of the polls are using a 2-1 ratio, which means support for Kerry is about .1% higher than predicted. Young voters are the big question mark. Will they vote or get laid on November 2, or will they MULTITASK? :)

-Robert
 

phillyTIM

Golden Member
Jan 12, 2001
1,942
10
81
Its my feeling that this map is pretty accurate and the way things will go.
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
Funny how it contrasts so much with today...10-26

As mentioned many times previously, EV is horribly flawed, and the website has taken down the link to the projected final vote from it's main page. Oops, my bad, it's back...

1 week left:D
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Well there is a lot more Kerry stickers on cars here in Louisiana than there has been till now.

Louisiana will still likely go Bush because of the Radical Religious and Rich Elites but if the showing is like this around the Country it will certainly be close enough to be interesting.
 

chess9

Elite member
Apr 15, 2000
7,748
0
0
Aimster:

My old training partner tells me that Northern Virginia will go Kerry, while the rest of the state will go Bush. He thinks it unlikely Viriginia will swing to Kerry, but it IS remotely possible. For Bush to lose a Southern state (other than FL., which really isn't the South) would be a major statement to our elected officials.

But, Ohio is the state I can't get over. Imagine Ohio going to Kerry? The mind boggles....

-Robert
 

OneOfTheseDays

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2000
7,052
0
0
we're seeing EV shift so often because of both Ohio and Florida. The race is so close there that it is either slight Kerry or slight Bush depending on which poll you take. Nobody will know until election day though.

I will note one thing, Kerry has an advantage with undecided voters and with young voters. Large turnout, Kerry beats bush. Mediocre turnout, Bush squeezes by. Based on the absentee and early voting results, I'd say we're gonna have a large turnout but who knows.
 

chess9

Elite member
Apr 15, 2000
7,748
0
0
Yup, it APPEARS close.

The Bushies must be sweating bullets. To think Bush would have been a shoo-in if he hadn't invaded Iraq.

-Robert
 

Aimster

Lifer
Jan 5, 2003
16,129
2
0
Originally posted by: chess9
Aimster:

My old training partner tells me that Northern Virginia will go Kerry, while the rest of the state will go Bush. He thinks it unlikely Viriginia will swing to Kerry, but it IS remotely possible. For Bush to lose a Southern state (other than FL., which really isn't the South) would be a major statement to our elected officials.

But, Ohio is the state I can't get over. Imagine Ohio going to Kerry? The mind boggles....

-Robert

I know Bush will win, but this year I think it'll be by only 1-3%. In 2008 Virginia will probably be a swing state IMO. You're friend is right about how NO-VA is most likely going for Kerry (where I'm from) and the south is going all out for Bush.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
It's the Mason-Dixon Line all over again.

If Bush wins I predict it will be the start of Civil War II because the U.S. has a good chance of not surviving another 4 years of this Regime.
 

Gravity

Diamond Member
Mar 21, 2003
5,685
0
0
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
It's the Mason-Dixon Line all over again.

If Bush wins I predict it will be the start of Civil War II because the U.S. has a good chance of not surviving another 4 years of this Regime.

Seems extreme Dave. BTW, I'm packin heat!!
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
Originally posted by: Gravity
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
It's the Mason-Dixon Line all over again.

If Bush wins I predict it will be the start of Civil War II because the U.S. has a good chance of not surviving another 4 years of this Regime.

Seems extreme Dave. BTW, I'm packin heat!!

Me too...
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Gravity
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
It's the Mason-Dixon Line all over again.

If Bush wins I predict it will be the start of Civil War II because the U.S. has a good chance of not surviving another 4 years of this Regime.

Seems extreme Dave. BTW, I'm packin heat!!

Depends on how bad it gets, how many more people get directly affected by the downfall.

 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: Pliablemoose
Originally posted by: Gravity
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
It's the Mason-Dixon Line all over again.

If Bush wins I predict it will be the start of Civil War II because the U.S. has a good chance of not surviving another 4 years of this Regime.

Seems extreme Dave. BTW, I'm packin heat!!

Me too...

Quite a stash.

Won't do any good when you're seriously outnumbered by desperate people.


 

cmdavid

Diamond Member
May 23, 2001
4,114
0
0
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
It's the Mason-Dixon Line all over again.

If Bush wins I predict it will be the start of Civil War II because the U.S. has a good chance of not surviving another 4 years of this Regime.

civil war? do you really believe that?
 

phynet

Member
Oct 26, 2004
30
0
0
Quite off topic, but in reply to dmcowen674 that is plenty of stash.

Honestly he could be out numbered by 'desperate' individuals, but whos willing to be the first man blasted in the face from an M16 or shotty?

When Bush is re-elected its not like liberals will turn into zombies.
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
Originally posted by: phynet
Quite off topic, but in reply to dmcowen674 that is plenty of stash.

When Bush is re-elected liberals will turn into zombies.

<---Responds from airtight garage/bomb shelter in voice muffled by gas mask...

"I'm counting on just exactly that."

Pops "Dawn of the Dead" in DVD player, patting ammo box;)

(slips into serious mode)

Seriously though, guns are tools, different tools for different jobs, I have a collection of hammers too. Neither hammers or guns have turned me into a murdering lunatic.

I can actually track down to the freaking day I turned into a neocon. Was a card carrying liberal till I got assaulted one day in my yard, called 911 right away, but got assaulted, bad guys drove off, police showed up 5 minutes later, caught the bad guys 4 hours later, they went to jail.

Pliablemoose thought to himself, why oh why did I sell all my guns when I was in college, had the bad guys intended to kill me or rape my wife/children, or rob us, they would have done so before the police got here, damage would already have been done...

Since my conversion to gun toting neocon, I've stopped 2 robberies with handguns, and another assault. Bad guys went to jail each time.

A neocon is born... August 20th, 1994.





 

nakedfrog

No Lifer
Apr 3, 2001
62,838
19,058
136
Originally posted by: Pliablemoose
Originally posted by: phynet
Quite off topic, but in reply to dmcowen674 that is plenty of stash.

When Bush is re-elected liberals will turn into zombies.

<---Responds from airtight garage/bomb shelter in voice muffled by gas mask...

"I'm counting on just exactly that."

Pops "Dawn of the Dead" in DVD player, patting ammo box;)

(slips into serious mode)

Seriously though, guns are tools, different tools for different jobs, I have a collection of hammers too. Neither hammers or guns have turned me into a murdering lunatic.

I can actually track down to the freaking day I turned into a neocon. Was a card carrying liberal till I got assaulted one day in my yard, called 911 right away, but got assaulted, bad guys drove off, police showed up 5 minutes later, caught the bad guys 4 hours later, they went to jail.

Pliablemoose thought to himself, why oh why did I sell all my guns when I was in college, had the bad guys intended to kill me or rape my wife/children, or rob us, they would have done so before the police got here, damage would already have been done...

Since my conversion to gun toting neocon, I've stopped 2 robberies with handguns, and another assault. Bad guys went to jail each time.

A neocon is born... August 20th, 1994.

Uh... I don't get it. How did that turn you into a neocon? You couldn't support the 2nd amendment or stop robberies if you were a liberal?
 

raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,892
572
126
Originally posted by: Aimster
Virginia for Kerry!

no way. but Pennsylvania might go for Kerry, Minnesota has a bigger chance even. heck, New Mexico might even go for Bush, remember that Gore only won NM by about 500 votes.
 

0marTheZealot

Golden Member
Apr 5, 2004
1,692
0
0
Most of these polls are fishing for results. When you do enough statistically tests, you'll get one that pops up by sheer chance.
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
Originally posted by: nakedfrog


Uh... I don't get it. How did that turn you into a neocon? You couldn't support the 2nd amendment or stop robberies if you were a liberal?

Not the kind of liberal I was, plus I started making a bit of $, plus I started running into the liberal family court system &amp; won. Am one of the 1% of men awarded custody of a child under the age of 10 in a disputed custody case. that &amp; seeing EEO @ work for a decade or so:|

Of course I'm Batman now &amp; above simple politics.
 

Garuda

Banned
Jun 15, 2004
444
0
0
Originally posted by: Pliablemoose
Funny how it contrasts so much with today...10-26

As mentioned many times previously, EV is horribly flawed, and the website has taken down the link to the projected final vote from it's main page. Oops, my bad, it's back...

1 week left:D

The guy who runs EV.com is a liberal, democratic partisan hack.

Up until a week or two ago, his "Final Projection" consistently showed a massive blowout in favor of Bush. He didn't like that, so he pulled a new method out of his ass that shows Kerry winning. It's meaningless.
 

Chadder007

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
7,560
0
0
Originally posted by: Pliablemoose
Originally posted by: nakedfrog


Uh... I don't get it. How did that turn you into a neocon? You couldn't support the 2nd amendment or stop robberies if you were a liberal?

Not the kind of liberal I was, plus I started making a bit of $, plus I started running into the liberal family court system &amp; won. Am one of the 1% of men awarded custody of a child under the age of 10 in a disputed custody case. that &amp; seeing EEO @ work for a decade or so:|

Of course I'm Batman now &amp; above simple politics.

You are teh Cool! :)

What is "EEO" @ work?:confused: