very well said. perf/watt is the determining factor for how much perf you can stuff into a high end flagship GPU which typically draws 250-300w. perf/sq mm determines the GPU die size required to provide that perf. The goal of any GPU architecture should be to maximize perf/watt and perf/sqmm.
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Polaris 10 and 11 confirmed to be GDDR5 based
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very well said. perf/watt is the determining factor for how much perf you can stuff into a high end flagship GPU which typically draws 250-300w. perf/sq mm determines the GPU die size required to provide that perf. The goal of any GPU architecture should be to maximize perf/watt and perf/sqmm.
exactly. AMD's GCN architecture has not changed for roughly 4.5 years inspite of slight enhancements like color compression (Tonga). The architectural bottlenecks was one of the reasons that Fiji encountered significant perf scaling problems wrt smaller GPUs like Tahiti and Hawaii. Hawaii did not improve perf/transistor wrt Tahiti and perf/transistor actually regressed with Fiji wrt Hawaii. Polaris is a significant redesign to address many of the bottlenecks and inefficiencies in the current GCN architecture. So it would not be surprising if we see Polaris 10 match 980 Ti/Fury X as its basically coming after 2 GPU generations as the average GPU generation lasted 24 months.
gamervivek
Senior member
The shader core is the same as Tonga/Fiji.
https://www.forum-3dcenter.org/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=10980597&postcount=1966
The improvements would be front-end and ROPs. Much would depend on how well they can clock it.
And Baffin XT samples are around 60% the price of Fury X on zauba. So Ellsmere isn't going to be cheap.
https://www.forum-3dcenter.org/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=10980597&postcount=1966
The improvements would be front-end and ROPs. Much would depend on how well they can clock it.
And Baffin XT samples are around 60% the price of Fury X on zauba. So Ellsmere isn't going to be cheap.
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According to some random german guy in a forum...
Blitzvogel
Platinum Member
Sucks to hear that Polaris 10 & 11 will be GDDR5, but that means we won't have to eat the cost of HBM. If I can get 2.5 to 3x the performance of my R9 270 in the same kind of overall package for under $200, I think I'll be happy.
As cool as 4K would be, right now, I think it's just best for me to focus on "perfecting" my 1080p experience (60+ FPS maxed out). However, that might mean going even higher up on the graphics card totem pole......
As cool as 4K would be, right now, I think it's just best for me to focus on "perfecting" my 1080p experience (60+ FPS maxed out). However, that might mean going even higher up on the graphics card totem pole......
I would say there's absolutely 0 chance of that happening. 2.5 - 3 times the performance of your 270 would be more than a 390X, and we're not getting that for $200 any time soon.
Snarf Snarf
Senior member
It's hard to say where a cut down Polaris 10 would slide in the pricing scheme. If you believe what Raja and Huddy have been saying is that they are going straight for the VR recommended specs at a lower price point, it's reasonable to think they could get 390x at around $250.
poofyhairguy
Lifer
That would be amazing.
Blitzvogel
Platinum Member
I think $250 is absolutely doable for a 4 GB product, considering the 14nm die size savings, the smaller memory bus (if it really is 256 or 192 bit), maturity of dense GDDR5 modules and less substantial PCB, power, and cooling hardware than would be needed for an R9 390/R9 390X graphics card.
exar333
Diamond Member
Hopefully you are being sarcastic? Considering hot deals for 290s and 970s have hit this mark. If you couldn't get 390x performance for at or around that next gen, it will be a total failure.
A 390X is still a $400 card even after MIRs that consumes a good bit of power and is quite large. A 14nm version with similar performance at launch with consume much less power, be smaller, include much better codec support and HDMI2.0, etc, etc. It would also include all the architectural advantages that will create and widen a performance gap over time. Nothing but advantages. You're not going to get all that and a $200 price drop. Even $250 isn't likely to happen.
Case in point, when the 7850 and 7870 were launched they were about 5-10% faster than the outgoing 6950 and 6970. They were also $10 more expensive. When the 6970 first launched, it was a good 20% or so faster than the 5870, but it launched at $370 at a time when you could pick up a 5870 for $250. In recent history, you don't see a big jump in perf/$ from the new generation compared to the outgoing sale prices on the existing generation. We might get lucky and see P10 come in at the $300 mark, but I would be surprised. A cut down P10 might hit that level. Either way, it's still a pretty massive increase in perf/$ relative to the launch price of Hawaii at $550.
poofyhairguy
Lifer
A 390x for $250 that uses WAY WAY less power than a current 390x? Sign me up. That would leave me PSU room to get another in the future and crossfire it, something I couldn't do with a 390x.
I don't consider the 970 on the same level as a 390x, it certainly hasn't aged as well.
Silverforce11
Lifer
So all the talk about bringing VR down in cost and giving gamers a lot of perf/$ isn't just hype. Ofc as soon as Raja said that, it should have been plain obvious that Polaris is meant to be cheap and hence, only GDDR5.
I think I understand what's going on when they demo Hitman 1440p, outside looking into the boat scene with a ton of NPCs hidden.
That people, is the Primitive Discard Accelerator in action. On 390X, that scene will drop below 60 fps easy (I know, I have the game). But Polaris doesn't even take in those geometry into it's pipeline to process and then Z-cull, it discards it before rendering even occurs. This results is huge improvements to minimum FPS when the scene complexity is bottlenecking the engine.
It may well only be 390X class performance normally, but it will perform better at MIN FPS in GPU bound scenarios. That's what they played, those tricksters at AMD...
Just like their perf/w comparison at 60 fps vsync lock. They would have massively improved power gating and so if the GPU isn't running max load, power usage drop a lot.
However the curious thing is why there's so few SP, 232mm2 Polaris 10 with 14ff density can easily fit much more than that unless they have really changed the design so that each SP takes many more transistors.
I think I understand what's going on when they demo Hitman 1440p, outside looking into the boat scene with a ton of NPCs hidden.
That people, is the Primitive Discard Accelerator in action. On 390X, that scene will drop below 60 fps easy (I know, I have the game). But Polaris doesn't even take in those geometry into it's pipeline to process and then Z-cull, it discards it before rendering even occurs. This results is huge improvements to minimum FPS when the scene complexity is bottlenecking the engine.
It may well only be 390X class performance normally, but it will perform better at MIN FPS in GPU bound scenarios. That's what they played, those tricksters at AMD...
Just like their perf/w comparison at 60 fps vsync lock. They would have massively improved power gating and so if the GPU isn't running max load, power usage drop a lot.
However the curious thing is why there's so few SP, 232mm2 Polaris 10 with 14ff density can easily fit much more than that unless they have really changed the design so that each SP takes many more transistors.
Those are deals for 18(+ for the 390) month old cards! This stuff will be cheap eventually but when it first launches they will also be essentially AMD's only graphics cards.
(There's far, far too large of a jump from the die shrink to keep their old cards on sale in any sane sense.).
So there will be premiums on it, especially the larger ones. How much/where depends will of course rather depend on what NV do/how everything compares etc.
its cutdown version.
Full have 2560 or 2668SP.
That must be why they demoed Hitman at 1440p - it's probally got higher clocks and more ROPs to improve the fill rate. Between that and the architecture improvements will have to be enough to make up the difference. The performance at 1080p is probably relatively lower.
Either way do not expect any favors on pricing. It'll just have to settle in where nVidia goes.
If AMD's going to get a decent amount for RTG they are going to need Polaris to be a 'hit' (meaning reclaiming the share they've lost over the 2 years). For that they need OEM deals, and to get OEM deals they need less wattage.
Either way do not expect any favors on pricing. It'll just have to settle in where nVidia goes.
If AMD's going to get a decent amount for RTG they are going to need Polaris to be a 'hit' (meaning reclaiming the share they've lost over the 2 years). For that they need OEM deals, and to get OEM deals they need less wattage.
why not just buy a bigger psu? is the cost of wattage that prohibited?
Silverforce11
Lifer
Probably the heat too. 2x 390X is going to warm your room up, and unless you live in cold places, it's not exactly a pro.
2x Polaris 10 would make for an awesome high perf and low power build.
poofyhairguy
Lifer
Exactly. I live in Texas.
stuff_me_good
Senior member
I don't get it, according to every "GPU specialist" in this forum, all seems to indicate that AMD is bringing with polaris only current gen performance with massive power reduction. Surely I don't think that they are all so stupid at AMD that think gamers will upgrade only to have same performance with less power draw?
Come on, surely not all here are also so stupid that all those new cards will not have any performance benefits from improved architecture?
Come on, surely not all here are also so stupid that all those new cards will not have any performance benefits from improved architecture?
Silverforce11
Lifer
Folks on the high end aren't the target for Polaris 10 to upgrade. It's a very small two chip, 120mm2 and 232mm2, these classes are entry level and low-midrange.
Typically in the past, mid-range chips were ~300mm2 or even larger.
Folks on high-end 28nm, will have Vega 10 and 11 to look forward to.
Vega 11 should be the upper-midrange, ~400mm2 (my guess). Vega 10 the biggest one.
Silverforce11
Lifer
Btw, that Sisoft Sandra result, where does that stack up vs 390/X?
http://ranker.sisoftware.net/show_r...efdce4d6e4d1e1c7b588b89efb9ea393b5c6fbc3&l=en
OpenCL
Single-float GP Compute 2267.37Mpix/s
Double-float GP Compute 885.87Mpix/s
Looks like Polaris has 1/3 FP64. That's really high for an entry/mid-range chip.
http://ranker.sisoftware.net/show_r...efdce4d6e4d1e1c7b588b89efb9ea393b5c6fbc3&l=en
OpenCL
Single-float GP Compute 2267.37Mpix/s
Double-float GP Compute 885.87Mpix/s
Looks like Polaris has 1/3 FP64. That's really high for an entry/mid-range chip.
A lot of people don't seem to realise that 28nm was a very different node compared to all others in the past.
Historically you would expect a new node to be up against cards like the 780 Ti or GTX 580. But look at 28nm - what other node in history lasted so long and saw both companies push the die size to 600mm2, one completely new arch (Maxwell) while the other introduced a completely new type of memory?
If AMD or Nvidia can beat the current generation with their midrange it'll be because we're seeing their A-game and then some.
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