Perhaps the Surge is Working

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jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: tomywishbone
Perhaps it's not working.

80 die today

So your metric for success in a war strategy would be no deaths? I'm skeptical the surge is working too, but this isn't proof of anything.
 

SickBeast

Lifer
Jul 21, 2000
14,377
19
81
Why doesn't the US just pull out of Iraq and see what happens? If all hell breaks loose, you guys can always just go back and try again. All of this fortune telling from the same people who said they had WMDs...
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: SickBeast
Why doesn't the US just pull out of Iraq and see what happens? If all hell breaks loose, you guys can always just go back and try again. All of this fortune telling from the same people who said they had WMDs...

I think there is a problem with that strategy because after the will of the people (the US people) dictates pull out, moving around 140,000 troops, the hundreds of thousand civilian contractors, the hardware (humvees, tanks, planes, etc) will take quite an effort.And if things fell apart in Iraq, it would take another monumental effort ot motivate the will of the people (the US) to demand our leaders send our troops back.

If they pull out, they're not gonna jump right back in. Not for years anyway.
 

tomywishbone

Golden Member
Oct 24, 2006
1,401
0
0
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: tomywishbone
Perhaps it's not working.

80 die today

So your metric for success in a war strategy would be no deaths? I'm skeptical the surge is working too, but this isn't proof of anything.

It's proof of one thing; 80 Iraqis were killed today, in a civil war, started by the United States of America. It's proof of that.
 

SickBeast

Lifer
Jul 21, 2000
14,377
19
81
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: SickBeast
Why doesn't the US just pull out of Iraq and see what happens? If all hell breaks loose, you guys can always just go back and try again. All of this fortune telling from the same people who said they had WMDs...

I think there is a problem with that strategy because after the will of the people (the US people) dictates pull out, moving around 140,000 troops, the hundreds of thousand civilian contractors, the hardware (humvees, tanks, planes, etc) will take quite an effort.And if things fell apart in Iraq, it would take another monumental effort ot motivate the will of the people (the US) to demand our leaders send our troops back.

If they pull out, they're not gonna jump right back in. Not for years anyway.
They could always park the aircraft carriers in Dubai, give the troops a nice rest and vacation, see what happens, and go back if necessary. :light:
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: tomywishbone
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: tomywishbone
Perhaps it's not working.

80 die today

So your metric for success in a war strategy would be no deaths? I'm skeptical the surge is working too, but this isn't proof of anything.

It's proof of one thing; 80 Iraqis were killed today, in a civil war, started by the United States of America. It's proof of that.

I didn't mean to trivialize the loss of life. I was merely pointing out that casualty counts alone do not show whether a strategy is effective. In the first few hours on D Day, thousands of allied soldiers were gunned down trying to storm the beaches. Thousands, in a couple of hours. The military didn't say, hey, we have to change plans. Let's pack it up and get out of here. At the battle of the bulge, 80,000 troops died.

Casualties are part of war, and of course they play a part in determining strategy. But you can't point to one car bomb going off as proof that a military strategy isn't working. Or even 10 car bombs. It's an appeal to emotion, and effective on that level, but not very useful as an overall argument.

 

palehorse

Lifer
Dec 21, 2005
11,521
0
76
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: tomywishbone
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: tomywishbone
Perhaps it's not working.

80 die today

So your metric for success in a war strategy would be no deaths? I'm skeptical the surge is working too, but this isn't proof of anything.

It's proof of one thing; 80 Iraqis were killed today, in a civil war, started by the United States of America. It's proof of that.

I didn't mean to trivialize the loss of life. I was merely pointing out that casualty counts alone do not show whether a strategy is effective. In the first few hours on D Day, thousands of allied soldiers were gunned down trying to storm the beaches. Thousands, in a couple of hours. The military didn't say, hey, we have to change plans. Let's pack it up and get out of here. At the battle of the bulge, 80,000 troops died.

Casualties are part of war, and of course they play a part in determining strategy. But you can't point to one car bomb going off as proof that a military strategy isn't working. Or even 10 car bombs. It's an appeal to emotion, and effective on that level, but not very useful as an overall argument.
VERY...WELL...SAID!
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Well it seems now they're considering a "greater surge" after September's report is inevitably a bad one. Big surprise there. I predicted, as anybody with a brain did, that this surge would be inadequate/ineffective.
 

GrGr

Diamond Member
Sep 25, 2003
3,204
1
76
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Well it seems now they're considering a "greater surge" after September's report is inevitably a bad one. Big surprise there. I predicted, as anybody with a brain did, that this surge would be inadequate/ineffective.

Yep. More parallels to Vietnam. The Generals to the Politicians: "Send more troops".



 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
Originally posted by: SickBeast
Why doesn't the US just pull out of Iraq and see what happens?

If all hell breaks loose, you guys can always just go back and try again.

All of this fortune telling from the same people who said they had WMDs...

Can't do that because would lose control of the oil.

That is the only reason we are there and ever there to begin with.