Well the USA has very little credibility. They said that Saddam had nukes ready to launch against London and Paris within hours and now they're saying this.
I do not ever recall anyone stating that Saddam had nukes. Saddam was thought to be trying to acquire nuke technology. He was known to have mated chemical weapons onto the Scuds. There was never any talk of missile technology that could reach London. They have lost the Afghan war and are looking to put all blame on us. 10 years and Afghanistan is worse than it was to begin with.
Afghanistan had two concepts. 1) Remove the Taliban who were supporting AQ. (Succeeded) 2) Standup a new government that would replace the Taliban. (Questionable results). The Taliban were not completely defeated as a political force and by retreating into the hills, made it difficult to eliminate. The ability of the people to accept a new government was overestimated
The problem for the USA today is that it's not irreplaceable. Senator Mccain has said the USA will not isolate Pakistan like they did in the past. The USA is still the biggest investor in Pakistan but China will overtake them by 2015. They are still our main export market but that is set to change to as we develop stronger trade relations with our neighbors. Besides, the American market is shrinking with their economy struggling. We, on the other hand are out of immediate economic and financial collapse and we won't be needing an IMF loan and we won't have a problem paying them back either.
We no longer need to depend on the USA for our military needs either.
The problem with military is that you are still dependent on the US for parts. Iran has had serious problems because their advanced F14 planes are grounded. One of the best weapon platforms in the world for 20 years; and completely grounded. Without spares, a military is forced to cannibalize which reduces its effectiveness. Our main enemy in the region is India. However, I don't think we will be able to afford a conventional arms race with them and I think our generals agree with that. We are still aggressively upgrading our conventional arsenal but the strategic focus has shifted towards WMDs. I do think that since Kargil, our approach towards India has shifted to a more defensive approach.
As for the Afghan war, it's over for America. Their only potential sphere of influence in Pakistan has plans of its own. Once the USA leaves, Afghanistan will be another battle zone between the regional powers including Russia, China, Iran and India.
And to those that think that American aid is actually significant: you are getting a great deal. You are getting to use our resources and even have CIA operatives here. The few million in "aid" that we are getting is nowhere near the $70 billion we have suffered in economic losses.
Your economic losses are due to your own countries policies Most of your aid is used in fighting militants.
The US does not cause those militants to attack Pakistan. This is the result of the government's actions with respect to the population and the rise of radical Islam There is some aid that has been used for development but it's peanuts compared to what needs to be done. You refuse to grant us better market access. You refuse to give us access to civilian nuclear tech. You refuse to let us build gas pipelines to Iran. You really think you are helping?
The refusals have been because of what has been learned of how Pakistan has "cooperated" with our needs and what they have done with respect to nuclear technology. As more information has been obtained about what Pakistan has done; a resulting backlash has occurred. Pakistan has previously opted for the short term gain at the expense of long term growth. Now the results of such attitudes are being felt. For to long, Pakistan has acted as if the fact that they have nukes means they do not have to answer for their actions feeling that it gives them leverage.
The absolute worst that will happen is unilateral military sanctions.
As previously stated, there is no justification at this time, nor talk of an absolute arms embargo against Pakistani. The restriction of US products shows displeasure at what the Pakistani government is doing may be justified. The attitude of the government has changed forcing the US to then change it attitudes. The US also has the authority to restrict what companies are allowed to work with the US for civilian development; again this is based on the actions of the Pakistani government. Pakistan has the same right - to choose what companies it allows to work on projects under its control. I don't think the USA will be successful in imposing an outright arms embargo on us and that could be dangerous. The solution is simple: the USA needs to stop acting like world police.
The problem with the "world police" is that other smaller countries realize that they are unable to perform functions that they desire. Many feel it is safer to request help from the US vs China or Russia. Very few times does the US go acting as the police alone; it is usally with other groups of countries. Prior to the fall of the Soviets, it may have been a different story. Then everyone was meddling - just that when the Soviets did it, it was not allowed to be reported. It needs to realize that all is lost in Afghanistan. They need to declare victory, get out and let everybody else figure out what to do with Afghanistan.
Then there is another version: America is blaming Pakistan in public to save face for it's imminent defeat while the situation is different behind closed doors.
We have already realized when the Russians did previously. Afghanistan. The place is not ready to have a central government that meets the standards of that of a third world country. This is a defeat of our original attempt of standing up a strong central government; however the actions (right or wrong) of the perceived deception and slight of hand that is continually being displayed by Pakistan that is affecting the American public. Pakistan is stating one thing and then being shown to do another which is opposite of their original stated intentions.
- The prime example is Bin Laden. For years Pakistan states that they are an ally against AQ and are trying to help the US locate him in the wilderness. Then the US locates him living comfortably next to a large military base. Pakistan claims that they have no knowledge of such. Then they hand over access to China the copter wreckage in retaliation for the US doing what Pakistan should have been expected to do. [*]Camps for weapon manufacture are located and kept under observation for days. After that info is past to Pakistan; those camps suddenly are closed up and moved. Multiple times. This is what is being shown to the world on how Pakistan operates. For some countries that think and operate the same, it is no big deal. To others that are trying to eliminate terrorism, it is.
Pakistan is being continually hit by attacks and suicide bombers, this is because of it's policies; right or wrong. Pakistan is having problems in that regard; assistance might be available, but at this point, few countries want to step in to help even if Pakistan asked.