Originally posted by: joohang
Originally posted by: Mnementh
Originally posted by: joohang
Time to assess Group B now:
The group is wide-open and any country could advance or be knocked out.
1) France vs. Switzerland
If France wins: France advances and Switzerland is out regardless of the outcome of the other match.
If France and Switzerland tie: France advances and Switzerland is out regardless of the outcome of the other match.
If Switzerland wins and...
-> if England wins: England and Switzerland advance.
-> if England and Croatia tie: Switzerland and France advance.
-> if Croatia wins: Croatia and Switzerland advance.
2) England vs. Croatia
If England wins: England advances and Croatia is out regardless of the outcome of the other match.
If England and Croatia tie and...
-> if France wins: France and England advance.
-> if France and Switzerland tie: France and England advance.
-> if Switzerland wins: Switzerland and France advance.
If Croatia wins and...
-> if France wins: France and Croatia advance.
-> if France and Switzerland tie: France and Croatia advance.
-> if Switzerland wins: Croatia and Switzerland advance.
It's awfully complicated so I hope I got them right.
So here is the summary of the current situation for each country:
France: Win or draw is enough. If not, hope that England and Croatia draw.
England: Win guarantees advancement. Or draw and hope that France wins or draws.
Croatia: Must win.
Switzerland: Must win.
After playing with these, Switzerland is not so much in bad shape as I first thought. At first, I thought that they need to gamble a specific outcome from the England vs. Croatia match, but they will actually advance regardless of the other outcome. However, they must get ALL 3 POINTS from the defending champs.
England only need a draw to be guaranteed of going through due to the complications of the scoring situation as we have conceded less goals than France while scoring the same amount. If Switzerland beat France and we draw then it will be Switzerland and England who go through.
Mnementh
Ok, now this is weird.
The logic I used was that France beat England, so in case there is a tie situation, France should be placed above England regardless of the goal difference.
Is this not the case in Euro?
Originally posted by: Achtung
No, this year head-to-head is the first tiebraker, followed by goal difference and goals scored.
Originally posted by: Achtung
It would be hilarious to see Switzerland beat France, but damned unlikely at this point.
Originally posted by: Achtung
No, this year head-to-head is the first tiebraker, followed by goal difference and goals scored.
Originally posted by: Mnementh
Originally posted by: Achtung
No, this year head-to-head is the first tiebraker, followed by goal difference and goals scored.
Wrong. Head to Head is not the first tiebreaker, the situation is really complicated this year, if France Lose to Switzerland then they are out regardless.
Mnementh
If England and Croatia draw, Switzerland need to beat France by at least three goals to advance. If England or Croatia win, a victory by any margin will do for the Swiss.
Should a three way tie unfold with France, England and Switzerland all on four points, England will have a superior goal difference (+2) over France (now +1 but to decrease after projected defeat against Switzerland).
Originally posted by: Achtung
Indeed, if France, England, and the Swiss end up on 4 points each:
France: 3 pts vs others (beat England, lost to Swiss)
England: 3 pts vs others (beat Swiss, lost to France)
Swiss: 3 pts vs others (beat France, lost to England)
So then it would come down to goal differential.
Originally posted by: BCYL
What's the tiebreaker in Euro 2004? If 2 teams end up with the same amount of points in the standing, do they then go with goal-differential or what?
