Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Originally posted by: sirjonk
Originally posted by: Wreckem
If Obama wins more states and more elected delegates, but loses the nomination. There would be HELL to pay. Whole voting blocs would be furious. It could be quite a contentious convention.
Agreed on elected delegates, but the number of states he wins is totally irrelevant. In the general election, if the D wins FL/CA/NY/IL and the R wins 20 smaller states that still don't equal the elector count (as usually happens), they have nothing to complain about. That's the system. Same here.
If Obama has an overwhelming lead among states and has a narrow lead in the elected delegates states do matter.
If Obama wins an "overwhelming lead among states", he won't be holding a narrow lead i n pledged delegates. The only thing that matters is the delegates. If he wins 30 small states, but ends up with fewer delegates, then there's no controversy. This is how most dems win the general election, by carrying fewer larger population states. In both 2000 and 2004, Bush carried 30/31 states, and Gore/Kerry won 20, yet the dem was only one state's electoral votes away from winning in each case.
If however Obama wins more delegates, and loses because of the supers, there will be problems.