I will balance out the ledger here, I'm a lifelong Duke basketball fan. The team really overachieved this year and they really have a chance to win the whole thing. Any team does now, even Butler with home court advantage. Of course they got some breaks along the way, but they made the big shots when it counted and played consist, exceptional defense throughout the season. Their rebounding is a key as well; the past two years they lacked depth and size in the front court and were manhandled by bigger teams. Nolan Smith is really stepping up and becoming a star.
The biggest break that Duke has gotten (along with all the remaining teams left) is that this really is a down year in college basketball talent wise. The last two years the heavyweights dominated and won the tourney. This year I thought was going to be a rebuilding year for Duke and next year would be their year (when they get top recruit PG Kyle Irving) to make it to the Final Four and compete for a title.
WVU should be a tough game; Da'Sean Butler is a beast.
Yep, Duke certainly overachieved and were handed a gift of a #1 seed when the only top 25 team they beat all year was UMD. WVU should have easily gotten it over them (4 top 25 wins, some of the twice!) but we know how much the committee loves to suck coach K's %$## just like CBS did with Kentucky all day Saturday. Granted, Duke HAD never been tested by a truly good team aside from UMD. They were given a cupcake of a bracket until Baylor and stood up to the challenge, despite getting dominated in the paint. They have a good shot at winning if they can crack the 1-3-1 underneath b/c WVU isn't giving them free passes at the arc like they did with Kentucky b/c Duke has bonafide hustlers from behind the arc.
Yep for WVU Butler is a beast and may go to the NBA as a late pick. Devin Ebanks is a stud who can do it all: score from anywhere, run the court, rebound and block shots. Look for him to go in the first round next year once he develops a little more. Kevin Jones is extremely underrated and is their 2nd best scorer and rebounder (and can block shots too). Truck Bryant and Joe Mazzulla are both solid guards who are perimeter threats and have good passing/court vision. Kilicli gives them great size with agility in conjunction with smarts at Center/Forward to clog the lane off the bench. Wellington Smith is a solid defender off the bench and can pop the 3. Jonathan Flowers gives them good D with size off the bench, can score within the arc (although popped a rare 3 vs UK) and dish the rock.
It will pretty much come down to offensive rebounding and 3 point shooting in my opinion. Both teams excel at interior defense and both teams rebound well. The only team that outrebounded WVU in the past 10 wins were Georgetown and Kentucky and WVU still won both. Most of the close games WVU lost, they were either outrebounded or about even. The only team in Duke's past 10 was GT and Duke still won that. Whoever holds the rebounding edge will be a telling indicator of which team will most likely win.
All in all a great matchup that will probably be the game to watch of the tourney.