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Official 3/4 Democratic Primary Results Thread

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nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
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Originally posted by: Farang
Originally posted by: loki8481
seems like only yesterday that the Obamites were bitching about the whole super delegate system.

Just because I bitch about it doesn't mean I'm not happy to see him get some. It doesn't mean I want him to opt out of getting any endorsements. I don't see your point here, I'll still bitch about it because without superdelegates Obama would be cruising to the nomination.

I just think it's funny that every candidate sites whichever means of logic works best for them and ignores everything else :p

personally, I :heart: the idea of a brokered convension, and I think Hillary and Obama will both have decent arguments to make for themselves, esp. if Hill wins TX and PA

it's like the nicest change ever after the coronation of '04.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,547
1,127
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Originally posted by: lupi
Texas approaching 2/3 reported with over a 50k lead for Hillary. If that doesn't start to go down soon I'd be worried for Obama's chances.

Travis, Dallas, Harris, Jefferson, Smith, Tarrant.

The first four Obama should win by 25%. Tarrant by 15%.

Denton is at 0% as well. Its a moderately pro-obama area, probably will fall in line with Tarrant.

You have 5-6 Obama treasure troves left.
You have 2 Clinton treasure troves left.

Its going to be close.

80% of the final 1/3rd will come from Travis, Dallas, Harris, Jefferson, Smith, Tarrant, and Denton. The remaining will come from small rural counties and El Paso.
 

Aegeon

Golden Member
Nov 2, 2004
1,809
125
106
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Travis, Dallas, Harris, Jefferson, Smith, Tarrant.

The first four Obama should win by 25%. Tarrant by 15%.

Denton is at 0% as well. Its a moderately pro-obama area, probably will fall in line with Tarrant.

You have 5-6 Obama treasure troves left.
You have 2 Clinton treasure troves left.

Its going to be close.
Another glaring area where I would expect Obama to pick up votes is Bell County, which still is stuck at zero percent with no data reported.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
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is it just me or has Clinton typically been winning areas usually won by the republicans in the GE while Obama's been snapping up the liberal, urban strongholds?

just seems kinda weird, but it could be the 90% black vote for Obama.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,547
1,127
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Originally posted by: Aegeon
Originally posted by: Wreckem
Travis, Dallas, Harris, Jefferson, Smith, Tarrant.

The first four Obama should win by 25%. Tarrant by 15%.

Denton is at 0% as well. Its a moderately pro-obama area, probably will fall in line with Tarrant.

You have 5-6 Obama treasure troves left.
You have 2 Clinton treasure troves left.

Its going to be close.
Another glaring area where I would expect Obama to pick up votes is Bell County, which still is stuck at zero percent with no data reported.

Clinton has two large areas out. El Paso and Webb.The rest are relatively insignificant. It is going to be close.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,547
1,127
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Just a little oddity.

Hansford County TX. Population 5500. 100% reporting. No votes for Clinton or Obama.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,547
1,127
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Clinton is still probably going to win. The Delegate count from the primary looks 64-62 Clinton. This isnt likely to change.
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,547
1,127
126
Clinton will net 20 delegates from tonight.

Meaning she still trails by 140 in the elected, and 80 overall.

After Wyoming and Mississippi, it will pretty much be close to a wash. From before today until PA, she'll have gained 10 delegates on Obama.
 

miketheidiot

Lifer
Sep 3, 2004
11,060
1
0
Originally posted by: rchiu
If Hillary win Texas popular vote, the super delegate will have to look at her seriously because she won almost all big states and most of the battleground state.

Minnesota, Iowa, Virginia, Maryland, Wisconsin all went for hillary huh? New York, California Massachusetts and Illinois aren't going anywhere

 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
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what's the DNC's strategy, though, if Obama's doublespeak on nafta puts Ohio into play, national security concerns put NJ/NY into play, and Crist carries FL for McCain?
 

Midnight Rambler

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
4,200
0
0
But we've got 0% in Hamilton County, 0% in Montgomery County, next to nothing in Toledo, and - of course - o% in Cuyahoga County. So hold your horses before you start calling this either way. And looks like Cuyahoga County won't be reporting till about 4:30am. I know - great news

And isn't it "convenient" how Obama's lawyers were able to get extensions for the areas in which the voters are predominantly AA ?

If Hills had requested such a thing for say, areas of southeastern Ohio, people would be all over her a$$ (and yes, it is quite large :D).
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
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I think Hillary should really get down on her knees and thank Tina Fay like she was a white house intern, though.

Originally posted by: Wreckem

Heres to a brokered DNC in August. :beer::beer::beer:

:thumbsup:

and I thought I'd never see one in my lifetime. it's like catnip for a political hack like me :p
 

Farang

Lifer
Jul 7, 2003
10,913
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Originally posted by: loki8481
what's the DNC's strategy, though, if Obama's doublespeak on nafta puts Ohio into play, national security concerns put NJ/NY into play, and Crist carries FL for McCain?

There is no possible way that New York is in play. I am almost as absolutely doubtful about Jersey.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
Originally posted by: Farang
Originally posted by: loki8481
what's the DNC's strategy, though, if Obama's doublespeak on nafta puts Ohio into play, national security concerns put NJ/NY into play, and Crist carries FL for McCain?

There is no possible way that New York is in play. I am almost as absolutely doubtful about Jersey.

it's really a long ways away, but there's deep dissatisfaction in both states about our democratic governors (rightly or wrongly, Corzine's taking a lot of heat for things that, imo, aren't his fault) and it could project itself into the polls.

I think a social moderate, fiscal conservative, national security hawk might find fertile ground here.