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Discussion ***Official*** 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

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YTD I am at 37% and 117% over two account (different taxation rules, therefor two accounts).

The 117% one is driven by catching a rocket.

Tech has been explosive.

Of course, it all depends on getting out about the right time ... Juuust before it all goes tits up.

I have a feeling it's all(tech) about to resonate towards the top (AI, power for AI) before exploding in a high pitch scream.

And as it's all climbing towards that epic climax over the next quarter or two ... there's going to be money to be made.
 
AdamK47 said:
Haven't really been checking my overall YTD recently.

Across all 6 my Fidelity accounts it shows a 19.7% rate of return.

I linked all of my external accounts to Fidelity a couple years ago for tracking purposes. Their Planning section shows a YTD increase of 49.66%. Pretty shocking when I saw it. This includes all the inflows and outflows for all accounts. Income grew greatly while my monthly expenditures haven't really changed much for a long time.
2025 is going to be one of the best years for me if everything holds steady throughout the rest of the year.
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Have you begun transitioning towards value at all?
 
cytg111 said:
Have you begun transitioning towards value at all?
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I don't do any direct investing into value.
Some new income gets automatically invested into an account I don't want to touch. Total market and bonds. Four open 401Ks (will eventually rollover) and my Rollover IRA are target date. Roth IRA is all VTI. Got quite a bit in money market.

My Fidelity brokerage was supposed to be just for fun spending money when I opened it years ago, but it has grown to a point where it is part of my overall long-term portfolio. currently 63% VGT / 37% VOO outside of money market.

No individual companies.
 
Let's see..

* Longest government shut down ever on the table

* Starving Americans starting November 1st

* Restart nuclear testing

* Ground attacks in Venezuela any moment now, no formal Congressional approval or even ask as Constitutionally required

* Broken government, want to be dictator in power

What will the market do next? Up or down?

Edit..Another Fed governor confirms Dec rate decision uncertain
 
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FelixDeCat said:
Let's see..

* Longest government shut down ever on the table

* Starving Americans starting November 1st

* Restart nuclear testing

* Ground attacks in Venezuela any moment now, no formal Congressional approval or even ask as Constitutionally required

* Broken government, want to be dictator in power

What will the market do next? Up or down?

Edit..Another Fed governor confirms Dec rate decision uncertain
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Know any soup kitchen stocks/ etfs??

And I don't mean PFCB
 
You know we say how AI is a bubble.. well the finance industry is in a bigger bubble than AI.

They seem to have a ton of toxic debt again and no liquidity.

 
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FelixDeCat said:
That was shocking, a 500 lb deer being chased through a small window by a 1200 lb brown bear and a struggle for life and death ensues.

But the question is... who puts cameras in a bathroom ....aimed square at a toilet? 😱


And look, here is another:

www.facebook.com

Fat Bear Week | Okay. I gotta ask… | Facebook

Okay. I gotta ask…. Who has a camera in their bathroom aimed at the toilet? Anybody????
www.facebook.com www.facebook.com

A pandemic of bears chasing deers through windows!

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I'm not sure if this is AI..

 
The vines were ripe for profit taking the past few weeks. Would like at least a 7% pullback on top of the pullback today. 10% would be great. 15% might be a bit too much.
 
It's amazing how people like Michael Burry make money just by being the ones setting things in motion. Sits by and watches the world follow.
 
AdamK47 said:
It's amazing how people like Michael Burry make money just by being the ones setting things in motion. Sits by and watches the world follow.
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It wasn't necessarily Bury.

Palantir was the canary in the coal mine that may be signaling a top in AI spending for now.

Plus the damn shutdown.
 
Futures down 1%, might recover or get ugly

Trump officials warn of chaos and further travel delays 🙄 So far its been nothing but one chaotic thing after another.

Cutting government spending? Fine

Eliminating government departments and excess waste? Fine

Securing the borders and cracking down on crime and drugs? Fine

But the rest? No.

I mean seriously, can't you be normal for once, share power and do things with consensus? 😐
 
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FelixDeCat said:
Futures down 1%, might recover or get ugly

Trump officials warn of chaos and further travel delays 🙄 So far its been nothing but one chaotic thing after another.

Cutting government spending? Fine

Eliminating government departments and excess waste? Fine

Securing the borders and cracking down on crime and drugs? Fine

But the rest? No.

I mean seriously, can't you be normal for once, share power and do things with consensus? 😐
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Republican mantra: Compromise is for pussies.
 
FelixDeCat said:
Futures down 1%, might recover or get ugly

Trump officials warn of chaos and further travel delays 🙄 So far its been nothing but one chaotic thing after another.

Cutting government spending? Fine

Eliminating government departments and excess waste? Fine

Securing the borders and cracking down on crime and drugs? Fine

But the rest? No.

I mean seriously, can't you be normal for once, share power and do things with consensus? 😐
Click to expand...

Wonder how the markets would react to a sudden Vance presidency... Would he cancel all the tariff bs day one?
 
cytg111 said:
Wonder how the markets would react to a sudden Vance presidency... Would he cancel all the tariff bs day one?
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Hard to say how they react, but cancel tariffs? Not likely. In fact some will outlive Republican presidency.

If you recall Biden kept most from first Trump term and added more under pressure from special interests like 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs because we cannot have affordable transportation when unions demand six figure salaries for average member.

Free market capitalism my ass.
 
FelixDeCat said:
Hard to say how they react, but cancel tariffs? Not likely. In fact some will outlive Republican presidency.

If you recall Biden kept most from first Trump term and added more under pressure from special interests like 100% tariffs on Chinese EVs because we cannot have affordable transportation when unions demand six figure salaries for average member.

Free market capitalism my ass.
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Yea. But. "Its the economy ******" .. Vance is not looking at EOL and he might wanna swing for a second term and thus prop up the economy. Shrugs.
 
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