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Discussion ***Official*** 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

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One thing that has been talked about was the purple discoloration of Trump's hand.

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Queen Elizabeth had the same thing months before she passed away:

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Could be a cardiovascular problem. The market would be unsettled and probably crash with an uncertain future.
 
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cytg111 said:
Lets keep Trump in PN.
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Not possible.

Tariffs hit GDP which hit stock market.

And notice I made Tariff bold not Trump bold.. but he had a meltdown over Trump because he's a true believer.. in his tariffs.. while I think they're a major drag on the economy.

Not possible to detach Stock market from reality of tariffs over a long term.
 
Indus said:
Not possible.

Tariffs hit GDP which hit stock market.

And notice I made Tariff bold not Trump bold.. but he had a meltdown over Trump because he's a true believer.. in his tariffs.. while I think they're a major drag on the economy.

Not possible to detach Stock market from reality of tariffs over a long term.
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You're making things up about me to build a false narrative. One that fits your view of the world. The same worldview that will get you in trouble with options trading.

There wasn't a meltdown on my end. The emote was squarely on your end. An emotional signal that highlights the problem you would have with options trading.
 
Indus said:
Tariffs hit GDP which hit stock market.
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For the purpose of this post, I'll assume you are correct that the stock market will be hit. Assuming this is true, then please keep in mind one of the most fundamental truths to investing in a burst bubble: bubbles pop far later and far faster than you expect. Meaning even if the stock market should be hit now, it will not occur now. It'll occur much later. But, when it does occur, be ready as bubbles pop fast.
 
dullard said:
For the purpose of this post, I'll assume you are correct that the stock market will be hit. Assuming this is true, then please keep in mind one of the most fundamental truths to investing in a burst bubble: bubbles pop far later and far faster than you expect. Meaning even if the stock market should be hit now, it will not occur now. It'll occur much later. But, when it does occur, be ready as bubbles pop fast.
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Yeah and bubbles popping hit indexes hard.

People start to sell index funds as index funds bought AI stocks that weren't profitable at inflated prices. When people sell inflated index funds.. even the MAG 7 will get hit hard.

It'll be a vicious cycle..

The hardest thing for us though is the devaluation of the dollar which makes it seem we're not in a bubble.. we're just keeping up with the current inflation.. which sorta might suggest to become a true bubble.. this bubble needs to really get a lot bigger.
 
VGT over $800. #winning

Big day today. Today or tomorrow may be the last day of selling. Already have enough set aside for the new car.
 
FelixDeCat said:
Come on Powell, pull the rug out from the market. 😵
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It isn't just Powell, it is the whole federal open market committee. I cannot give much more than a remote chance of anything but a quarter point cut today. That alone should not pull the rug out.

But, going forward, without data I can see the fed pausing any more rate cuts. At least until the government shutdown ends. If so, then that announcement could possibly help pull the rug out.
 
Are we sure the Fed committee aren't a bunch of clowns??

Citing no data they made 2 big decisions..

1/4 rate cut
End to QT in Dec.

Things make no sense..
 
Indus said:
Are we sure the Fed committee aren't a bunch of clowns??

Citing no data they made 2 big decisions..

1/4 rate cut
End to QT in Dec.

Things make no sense..
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Their actions were pretty much exactly as predicted by many. Heck, just look 2 posts above yours. Or look at the stock market which is now basically flat from yesterday (as of the time of this post the S&P is down ~0.08%).

There was data up until now. There was a softening of the labor market and inflation is still okay (below historical average of 3.4% but above their goal of 2%). So, that indicates that they should lower interest rates a tiny bit (until inflation becomes worse). Makes perfect sense to me and to the stock market.

But, going forward, they will have lots less data to go on and thus they will likely do nothing unless they get data. No interest rate changes, no qualitative easing/tightening. Not until data shows that they should change course.
 
Nvidia, a 5 trillion-dollar company, is reasonably priced according to Powell.

In other more recent news, GOOG higher in afterhours. MSFT and META down initially.
 
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dullard said:
What did Powell specifically say about NVidia?
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He didn't name Nvidia directly, or any company directly. I just point out Nvidia since it crossed the 5 trillion mark. My attempt at sensationalism.
What he stated seemed more like a backtrack of his comment on AI company valuations from a while ago where it caused market fluctuations. Stating they have good earnings and sound business plans to back up their valuations.
 
This is how you attract foolish money...put Star Link in a company press release..

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From .61 cents to 6.90 in 24 hours...

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I did not trade it just enjoyed the show.
 
dasherHampton said:
I almost sold GOOGL at $150 last year.

Dunce cap averted for once.
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I didn't buy it at 150.. but when you said it's a buy after the lawsuit verdict.. I got in..

Better late than never and I figure investing in a mag 7 is way safer than investing in a no name AI company with explosive growth at the moment.

My fears caused me to not pull the trigger on NBIS at 20..
 
Well, NBIS hasn't been 20 for a long time. I don't think I started posting about NBIS until it hit like 40-50. 20 would have been a great entry.

I don't even remember why I bought it. I probably read one of those "You'll regret not investing in Nebius in 10 years!" articles. One day I scanned my brokerage account and there it was, like $50+, in all of its newfound glory.

Kind of like DAVE. One day I was randomly scanning, saw the DAVE price , and thought it was a glitch.
"when did this shit go to 170 dollars a share?!?!?!?!?".

Unfortunately DAVE reverse split so much I only have 6 shares. They are worth almost $250 a share. Definitely a lesson as far as holding on to losers instead of dumping them indiscriminately .
 
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