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Discussion ***Official*** 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

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Some key numbers for the Danish economy:
3% growth 2025
1,4% growth 2026

(could be 0,7% higher if Trump didn't do his trade war, and 0,3% lower if it continues)
1747746929872.png
Employment record high
1747747003316.png
Salaries in private sector is expected to rise:
2025: 3,5%
2026: 3,2%

Inflation:
2025: 1,9%
2026: 1,7%

So real wage growth 🙂

House prices:
2025: 3,6%
2026: 3,0%

Historically low government debt (roughly 5% of GDP):

1747747920660.png
State bank rate 1,85%
 
Last edited:
biostud said:
Some key numbers for the Danish economy:
3% growth 2025
1,4% growth 2026

(could be 0,7% higher if Trump didn't do his trade war, and 0,3% lower if it continues)
View attachment 124078
Employment record high
View attachment 124079
Salaries in private sector is expected to rise:
2025: 3,5%
2026: 3,2%

Inflation:
2025: 1,9%
2026: 1,7%

So real wage growth 🙂

House prices:
2025: 3,6%
2026: 3,0%

Historically low government debt (roughly 5% of GDP):

View attachment 124083
State bank rate 1,85%
Click to expand...
Fiscally responsible and stable governments? Must be why my VGK is turning into the best performer in my portfolio
 
So I'm dipping the toes back into "day-ish" trading.

Monday went well. Bought MSTR at 403 and ended up selling at 410. I'll take a $700 day trade any day of the week.

Yesterday not so much. D was up $2.50 a share so I bought some and it immediately fell. Oh well. It pays 5 percent dividend so I can hold until it goes back up.

Today I bought 400 shares of NET at around 58.50. When it wavered at 159 I decided to sell the 160 calls for Friday and got $800. That's decent. If it gets called away I'll clear around $1400.

I own Nebius group and senior moments abound because I can't recall buying it or ever even researching it. My history indicates I bought it a few years ago at $13 a share. Maybe I read one of those "5 stocks to buy and hold for 10 years" articles lol.

In any case - it's doing well.
 
repoman0 said:
Fiscally responsible and stable governments? Must be why my VGK is turning into the best performer in my portfolio
Click to expand...
The Danish index hasn't been doing so well, and we are only 6 mio people. Most likely it's because Germany has decided to do something about their debt brake and major investment in military/car industry which Denmark has none.

And for a long time Euro stocks has been less than ideal, so with investors diversifying away from US, will make stocks rise everywhere else.

But, as a private citizen and for companies, it's pretty nice with economic stability and fiscal responsibility.
 
FelixDeCat said:
Bought 1 share of FNMA. First time I traded this since 2008.
Click to expand...
I'm holding a few hundred shares FMCC since 2009. I had sold most of it when I hit 2x. Not sure now how long to hold. If it goes private, what kind of valuation can we expect?

EDIT: Wow there's a whole subreddit dedicated to this. Their target ranges from $20-40 if the government warrants are executed and over $100 if they aren't.
 
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JTsyo said:
I'm holding a few hundred shares FMCC since 2009. I had sold most of it when I hit 2x. Not sure now how long to hold. If it goes private, what kind of valuation can we expect?

EDIT: Wow there's a whole subreddit dedicated to this. Their target ranges from $20-40 if the government warrants are executed and over $100 if they aren't.
Click to expand...

Gotta be sitting on a ton of toxic mortgages ready to burst, no?
 
jpiniero said:
Gotta be sitting on a ton of toxic mortgages ready to burst, no?
Click to expand...
Toxic mortgages when home prices are down = terrible. Toxic mortgages when prices are way up like now = foreclose and sell at profit.

The bigger issue is that we've tried public ownership of the mortgage system before. That was an unmitigated disaster (this was a large cause of the great depression). We made Fannie and Freddie for very good reasons--to bring stability to the housing market and have 30-year mortgages instead of balloon payments that come due at any signs of economic weakness.
 
biostud said:
Some key numbers for the Danish economy:
3% growth 2025
1,4% growth 2026

(could be 0,7% higher if Trump didn't do his trade war, and 0,3% lower if it continues)
View attachment 124078
Employment record high
View attachment 124079
Salaries in private sector is expected to rise:
2025: 3,5%
2026: 3,2%

Inflation:
2025: 1,9%
2026: 1,7%

So real wage growth 🙂

House prices:
2025: 3,6%
2026: 3,0%

Historically low government debt (roughly 5% of GDP):

View attachment 124083
State bank rate 1,85%
Click to expand...

that god damn soshulism!
 
In the year 2027, Earth is finally contacted by a of race of silicon based life forms who hold the promise of cleaning the oceans of plastic, 100% recycling of all waste into energy, advanced environmental technology, cure to most human ailments, energy to matter replication, etc... all reasonably priced for a few million diamonds, they make a good snack.

Capture.JPG

Trump: '1,000% Tariffs unless they also give us star ships and weapons technology"

The aliens refuse, withdraw all offers, and leave.

Trump: "Wait! We will put tariffs on hold!"
 
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FelixDeCat said:
How about that stock market? The volatility short crowd just never quits.
Click to expand...

I got my money back and a little bit from Broadcom..

That was quite a trip for $4700.. it became $3100.. but when it became $4715.00 I cashed out..

I'm still down 10% in GOOGL/ AMZN but atleast now I'm feeling a lot better.. I am planning to go ETF's when I see an opportunity.

Learned a lot over the last 5 months.. FOMO hurts more than it helps!
 
FelixDeCat said:
In the year 2027, Earth is finally contacted by a of race of silicon based life forms who hold the promise of cleaning the oceans of plastic, 100% recycling of all waste into energy, advanced environmental technology, cure to most human ailments, energy to matter replication, etc... all reasonably priced for a few million diamonds, they make a good snack.

View attachment 124364

Trump: '1,000% Tariffs unless they also give us star ships and weapons technology"

The aliens refuse, withdraw all offers, and leave.

Trump: "Wait! We will put tariffs on hold!"
Click to expand...

Man MAGA really wanted us to forget all about TACOs and got rid of the TACO trucks everywhere.. but everyone can see the Tacos were right all along!

T rump
A lways
C hickens
O ut

(Stupid)

Oh and

T esla
A lways
C rashes
O n
S ales
 
Indus said:
I got my money back and a little bit from Broadcom..

That was quite a trip for $4700.. it became $3100.. but when it became $4715.00 I cashed out..

I'm still down 10% in GOOGL/ AMZN but atleast now I'm feeling a lot better.. I am planning to go ETF's when I see an opportunity.

Learned a lot over the last 5 months.. FOMO hurts more than it helps!
Click to expand...
Glad to hear you got your money back and did not panic sell like I probably would have. 😉 Guess its good when you buy a great company as you can just hold on to them until you break even or better. I see the same for Google and Amazon one day.
 
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