Odds of Biden stepping down, being replaced. Choose.

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Odds of Biden stepping down

  • Total voters
    148
  • Poll closed .
repoman0

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
5,191
4,574
136
Pens1566 said:
Because that was roughly her probability of winning the '16 election, and we all know how that turned out.
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Yep, 30% probability events happen all the time. What is your point? 30% is better than 50+%. Biden is in a worse position than Hillary was.
 
dank69

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
37,536
33,265
136
ondma said:
Of course they do, but somehow the Reps seem to be able to turn it to their advantage, while the Dems dont.
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I bet it has something to do with people running around claiming Democrats run on identity politics even though it isn't true.
 
MrSquished

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,074
24,405
136
Pens1566 said:
That big of a % in such a divided electorate is downright impossible.
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That's because you are fine with basically the worst candidate we could put up against Trump. You literally deny how bad his numbers are and how much he is keeping Trump in the race. It's huge. You are unable to see reality. Whatever the number is it would be over 60%, because it would not be near a coin flip anymore. By the election, even better.
 
MrSquished

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,074
24,405
136
Pens1566 said:
So, like Hillary then???
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yes, this election is just like 2016 - when Trump was an x factor and the last eight years didn't happen, and Hilary had been vilified for decades by the GOP, this is exactly Harris. You idiot.

I can't take the moron Dems anymore that just want to deflect from the reality of how bad their candidate is with totally nonsensical comparisons.
 
MrSquished

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,074
24,405
136
Biden is polling worse than downballot senate candidates in multiple states. Who is dragging the ticket down folks?
 
Pens1566

Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
13,928
11,620
136
MrSquished said:
That's because you are fine with basically the worst candidate we could put up against Trump. You literally deny how bad his numbers are and how much he is keeping Trump in the race. It's huge. You are unable to see reality. Whatever the number is it would be over 60%, because it would not be near a coin flip anymore. By the election, even better.
Click to expand...

Your certitude is amusing ...
 
G

gothuevos

Diamond Member
Jul 28, 2010
3,485
2,411
136
MrSquished said:
yes, this election is just like 2016 - when Trump was an x factor and the last eight years didn't happen, and Hilary had been vilified for decades by the GOP, this is exactly Harris. You idiot.

I can't take the moron Dems anymore that just want to deflect from the reality of how bad their candidate is with totally nonsensical comparisons.
Click to expand...

Good luck dragging Harris across the finish line in PA...I don't think even Shapiro could help with that.
 
Pens1566

Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
13,928
11,620
136
gothuevos said:
Good luck dragging Harris across the finish line in PA...I don't think even Shapiro could help with that.
Click to expand...

It's not just PA. I think you can solve that by picking Shapiro as VP, but that doesn't get you MI/WI/etc. And all that assumes that they just go ahead and anoint Harris as the replacement. Which has it's own problems ... both directions.
 
dank69

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
37,536
33,265
136
Pens1566 said:
It's not just PA. I think you can solve that by picking Shapiro as VP, but that doesn't get you MI/WI/etc. And all that assumes that they just go ahead and anoint Harris as the replacement. Which has it's own problems ... both directions.
Click to expand...
The only thing certain at this time is that there is not a 60 or 70 percent chance that he steps down or is replaced.
 
repoman0

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
5,191
4,574
136
Pens1566 said:
Yep. It's very low and the public discourse is just weakening the most likely candidate.
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I agree with you here and I also think there’s no stopping it. You don’t get to have a performance like that watched by 50 million with the backdrop that people already think you’re too damn old and not have it discussed afterward. Imagine any run of the mill old guy professional giving a presentation like that. They’d be force retired or at least not asked to do anything of consequence again.
 
MrSquished

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
26,074
24,405
136
repoman0 said:
I agree with you here and I also think there’s no stopping it. You don’t get to have a performance like that watched by 50 million with the backdrop that people already think you’re too damn old and not have it discussed afterward. Imagine any run of the mill old guy professional giving a presentation like that. They’d be force retired or at least not asked to do anything of consequence again.
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Yep, exactly. Let alone to be president.

Their best argument is this is all just media driven and not based in reality. It's just getting tiring dealing with cult-like tendencies of cognitive dissonance about 'your guy' telling us to simply ignore the blatant reality staring at us in our face.
 
Pens1566

Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
13,928
11,620
136
repoman0 said:
I agree with you here and I also think there’s no stopping it. You don’t get to have a performance like that watched by 50 million with the backdrop that people already think you’re too damn old and not have it discussed afterward. Imagine any run of the mill old guy professional giving a presentation like that. They’d be force retired or at least not asked to do anything of consequence again.
Click to expand...

The problem with the "he's too old" polling results is that the answer isn't mutually exclusive with also picking him when the alternative is "guy who is legally not allowed to be a teacher in all 50 states".
 
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repoman0

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
5,191
4,574
136
Pens1566 said:
The problem with the "he's too old" polling results is that the answer isn't mutually exclusive with also picking him when the alternative is "guy who is legally not allowed to be a teacher in all 50 states".
Click to expand...
You don’t have to convince me that the alternative is worse. In fact that’s the only reason that Biden still has any path whatsoever to victory.

I just happen to also think that a fresh candidate would inject some life into this dead lifeless race against two bad candidates that nobody wants and increase the D’s chances.
 
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