Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ?Unsustainable?

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wwswimming

Banned
Jan 21, 2006
3,695
1
0
to keep the math simple we'll say the debt is $10 trillion.

if the government is paying 3% via their various debt instruments ...
$300 billion.

except they're borrowing $1.8 trillion this year - $300 billion of that
will go to debt service.

if that takes the national debt up to $12 trillion and the government
pays 3% interest ... $360 billion.

when you're borrowing money to pay the interest on your debt - you're
BK as in Bankrupt.

so, actually, Obama is being a bit under-stated, but he may be coming
closer to telling the truth than politicians usually do.

(politicians like Nancy go-back-to-SF-please, wontcha-oh-please-please-please
Pelosi)
 

Mursilis

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2001
7,756
11
81
Originally posted by: JS80
Obama is an effin genius.
1. Plan a $11 trillion 10 year deficit, blame bush for it
2. Come out and say US debt not sustainable
3. Cut the "deficit" in half to $6 trillion, point to how much he cut
4. Re-election in 2012 for fiscal responsibility, after all he cut $5 trillion in government spending
5. Raises taxes in second term.

mother effin genius.

I just don't see that last part happening. The Dems giftwrapped both chambers of Congress for the GOP (first time in something like 40 years) when they voted for tax increases in '94, so they've probably learned thier lesson on that one. Instead, we'll probably just head full speed off the fiscal cliff.
 

heyheybooboo

Diamond Member
Jun 29, 2007
6,278
0
0
Originally posted by: frostedflakes
Originally posted by: heyheybooboo
Originally posted by: Jaskalas
Originally posted by: misle
Obama Says U.S. Long-Term Debt Load ?Unsustainable?

Does President Obama care to explain what he is going to do about it?

One of the first things he did was present an honest budget summary.

The recovery act cut payroll taxes $397 billion dollars.

Individual and corporate tax receipts this fiscal year are equal to the revenue received in FY2000 and are at the lowest percentage of GDP since the late 1950s.

If he can slowly recover the economy without creating a bubble over the next ten years the deficit may not entirely vanish but it will come close.

The 'worst case' projection for the US GDP over the next 10 years is around $175 trillion - by 2019 GDP will be $22.5 trillion a year. I'll take $300 billion of debt that year - maybe a little more - just as long as it's not spent on elective wars and tax cuts for the uber-wealthy.

If the US Gov't sez we need a butt-load of debt to avoid a global catastrophe I don't like it but it sure beats the crap out of the alternative.
The White House's own budget projections show the deficit holding at about 5% of GDP until 2019. It seems pretty obvious to me Obama has no intention of eliminating budget deficits, much less chipping away at our public debt. As far as I'm concerned his statements are nothing more than lip service until he actually does something meaningful to deal with our debt.

I've got a little headache (so I'm too lazy to look it up) but IIRC there were 4 things that really jumped out at me:

1) It looked to me like $2 trillion +/- of the Federal Treasury is being committed to TARP, TALP, Bad Bank and possibly the Federal Reserve. It may well be in the budget but I did not initially find and revenues from repayments of any of this;

2) I've yet to pull out the numbers but $3 trillion +/- of the debt is most likely interest we pay to ourselves on the SS funds that have been 'borrowed' over the last 20 years;

3) Obama fixes the AMT and largely left the Bush tax cuts in place. He 'nicked' around the corners a wee bit but the quick numbers I ran had around $3.4 trillion left on the table; and

4) The new guys are slick. They put little piles of money that in the past have never been incorporated within standard Federal budget submissions. Example: I've never seen money set aside (in this case, $220 billion) based upon the "..statistical probability of natural disasters ... ". Obama's initial DoD budgets over the next 5 years are actually higher than Bush projected.



I think OCGuy was correct (in a brief moment of lucidity :D ). A highly bleak but generally honest picture has been painted but these guys will come off looking like winners when (if?) they right the ship over the next 2 years and begin serious efforts at attacking the debt and deficits.

 

heyheybooboo

Diamond Member
Jun 29, 2007
6,278
0
0
Originally posted by: Corn

Originally posted by: heyheybooboo
If the US Gov't sez we need a butt-load of debt to avoid a global catastrophe I don't like it but it sure beats the crap out of the alternative.

I know, it's the little things that amuse me, but I wonder, if Bush had only stated back then that the deficits were needed to stave off global catrastophe would heyheybooboo simply accepted it as fact as he does today? I'd bet "no" on that.

Quite a big difference between the $320 billion surplus in the unified budget handed to Bush in FY2001 and the $800 billion+ hole (over 120 days) given to Obama on January 20th.

But you knew that and are simply trolling, aren't you?

 

bamacre

Lifer
Jul 1, 2004
21,029
2
81
Originally posted by: Budmantom
Originally posted by: ZeGermans
you can't save your way out of a depression.

Spend, borrow, tax, inflate and lie your way out of it.

Ironic, because these are all the exact things the Bush admin did.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: eleison
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: misle
Link

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama, calling current deficit spending ?unsustainable,? warned of skyrocketing interest rates for consumers if the U.S. continues to finance government by borrowing from other countries.

What the hell? This coming from the guy who is borrowing $0.46 for every $1.00 spent in his budget... Is anyone else just baffled by this?

Did you get this from The Onion? He raises deficit spending through the roof then calls it unsustainable? lmao

What did he pickup how an economy works for dummies book iin Jan and just turn to this page today and have an epiphany?!?!?!?!?!

i think one is capable of both understanding that you can't run massive deficits forever, yet still running one for a couple years.

I am currently running a massive person deficit to pay for college, yet I don't plan on doing it forever.



Yes, but I'm thinking your not running such a massive debt that people are saying that your grandchild will still be paying for it when you die. Most student loans are paid off by the original owner, not their descendants.

actually most people have debt all their lives, they just roll it over from student loans to mortgages to credit cards etc.

right now, i'm probably still 'paying' for WW2, big deal.



Also: raise taxes.

He will. Of course, it will be primarily on "rich" folks on high-cost of living blue states, so who cares?
 

Wreckem

Diamond Member
Sep 23, 2006
9,555
1,133
126
Originally posted by: ayabe
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: ayabe
He's been saying this all along, everyone knows we can't sustain this level of spending up for the long haul.

Durrrr

Change "spending" to "deficit", while watching your taxes rise with inflation.

Nah, I'll stay on the informed side of the fence, he's been saying this all along and trying to spin it otherwise is just hackery.

Hes been saying it but has gone the opposite directions in his actions.
 

Stuxnet

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2005
8,392
1
0
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: Budmantom
Originally posted by: ZeGermans
you can't save your way out of a depression.

Spend, borrow, tax, inflate and lie your way out of it.

Ironic, because these are all the exact things the Bush admin did.

Exactly, so where's the promised reform?

Bush isn't in office. Obama is. Deflecting to the former is merely a smokescreen for the obvious: same shit, different face.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,849
6,386
126
I swear some of you get all your "Ideas" from a Teleprompter surgically implanted on your eyelids and controlled by Republican Spinmeisters. What Obama stated is as obvious as hell and it's a whole lot better answer than "Deficits don't matter."

As for current spending, another big "Duh" and those continuing to dismiss it should just STFU and let the grownups deal with the current situation as needed.

Major Fuckups require Major efforts to fix. Welcome to the Real World.
 

Bateluer

Lifer
Jun 23, 2001
27,730
8
0
Originally posted by: cubeless
why the puzzlement?

how you fix this is by taxing internally, instead of borrowing externally...

No, you fix this by spending less money, not buy borrowing more or taxing more.
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
Originally posted by: cubeless
why the puzzlement?

how you fix this is by taxing internally, instead of borrowing externally...

So everyone in my house now has a tax bill of $46,000 to pay off our debt. $230,000 for my family. How much are you going to contribute?
 

JJChicken

Diamond Member
Apr 9, 2007
6,165
16
81
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: misle
Link

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama, calling current deficit spending ?unsustainable,? warned of skyrocketing interest rates for consumers if the U.S. continues to finance government by borrowing from other countries.

What the hell? This coming from the guy who is borrowing $0.46 for every $1.00 spent in his budget... Is anyone else just baffled by this?

Did you get this from The Onion? He raises deficit spending through the roof then calls it unsustainable? lmao

What did he pickup how an economy works for dummies book iin Jan and just turn to this page today and have an epiphany?!?!?!?!?!

OMFG LMFAO. But seriously, BO is a smart dude, that he said all this is unsustainable has SLIGHTLY restored my trust in him.
 

Stuxnet

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2005
8,392
1
0
Originally posted by: Barack Obama
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: misle
Link

May 14 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama, calling current deficit spending ?unsustainable,? warned of skyrocketing interest rates for consumers if the U.S. continues to finance government by borrowing from other countries.

What the hell? This coming from the guy who is borrowing $0.46 for every $1.00 spent in his budget... Is anyone else just baffled by this?

Did you get this from The Onion? He raises deficit spending through the roof then calls it unsustainable? lmao

What did he pickup how an economy works for dummies book iin Jan and just turn to this page today and have an epiphany?!?!?!?!?!

OMFG LMFAO. But seriously, BO is a smart dude, that he said all this is unsustainable has SLIGHTLY restored my trust in him.

What part of his budget plan that results in a decade-long fiscal tailspin was so brilliant?
 

retrospooty

Platinum Member
Apr 3, 2002
2,031
74
86
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: retrospooty

I repeat... You guys act like Obama spent all this money for the hell of it. It was neccesary given the circumstances. Your comment about nothing meaningful for 12 months is not relevant or accurate. Some of the effect was immediate, some is happening now, some will not been seen for many years.

Your boy broke, so dont bitch about the fix.

Regardless of your feeling on the stimulus bill his budgets still present a major problem. Those are long term and have little to do with preventing a great depression.

So my boy broke it, and Obama's plan is to break it bigger?

kk

Regardless of either of our opinions on what would happen if we did and didnt do it this way - we were in some deep shit, and something had to be done. Only time will tell how it will work out. Alot of reps are up in arms complaining about what they THINK will happen.... Where were they (and you) when Bush started us down this path?

No, just blame Obama, because the fix is painful - Bush gets a pass because he's not so bright.
 

cubeless

Diamond Member
Sep 17, 2001
4,295
1
81
Originally posted by: rudder
Originally posted by: cubeless
why the puzzlement?

how you fix this is by taxing internally, instead of borrowing externally...

So everyone in my house now has a tax bill of $46,000 to pay off our debt. $230,000 for my family. How much are you going to contribute?

i was merely helping the op resolve his puzzlement over how the admin will 'fix' his scenario...

i'm getting screwed by this just like (and probably more) than y'all...

 

MrMatt

Banned
Mar 3, 2009
3,905
7
0
Originally posted by: frostedflakes
wait, what? Is this a joke? :confused:

I keep on hoping that the White House has a plan, some trump card that they're waiting to pull out. Maybe they intend to inflate away our debt?

Amen. It's like they just keep taking all these unconnected steps so they can get some sort of short term fix.
 

MrMatt

Banned
Mar 3, 2009
3,905
7
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Originally posted by: sandorski
I swear some of you get all your "Ideas" from a Teleprompter surgically implanted on your eyelids and controlled by Republican Spinmeisters. What Obama stated is as obvious as hell and it's a whole lot better answer than "Deficits don't matter."

As for current spending, another big "Duh" and those continuing to dismiss it should just STFU and let the grownups deal with the current situation as needed.

Major Fuckups require Major efforts to fix. Welcome to the Real World.

no one's saying Obama's statement in the OP is wrong...it's that HE'S part of the reason we HAVE the problem now.
 

retrospooty

Platinum Member
Apr 3, 2002
2,031
74
86
Originally posted by: MrMatt
Originally posted by: sandorski
I swear some of you get all your "Ideas" from a Teleprompter surgically implanted on your eyelids and controlled by Republican Spinmeisters. What Obama stated is as obvious as hell and it's a whole lot better answer than "Deficits don't matter."

As for current spending, another big "Duh" and those continuing to dismiss it should just STFU and let the grownups deal with the current situation as needed.

Major Fuckups require Major efforts to fix. Welcome to the Real World.

no one's saying Obama's statement in the OP is wrong...it's that HE'S part of the reason we HAVE the problem now.

I think your missing the "Major Fuckups require Major efforts to fix. Welcome to the Real World." portion of the post.

Consider it this way. Cancer is an aweful disease and can kill you. Chemotherapy often fixes cancer if caught early enough... But chemo is a horrible and miserable experience itself, but the alternative is death. It seems many people , especially on the right, are blaming Obama (the chemo) and giving Bush (the cancer) a pass.

We are in a world of Shit, thanks to 8 years of Bush 6 of which he had a free pass to do anything he wanted with the reps controlling both house and senate. The cure is NOT going to be easy, and NOT going to be painless. We will hurt for a long long time because of where we are now and it is NOT Obama's fault in ANY way shape or form.
 

Xellos2099

Platinum Member
Mar 8, 2005
2,277
13
81
No matter what anyone say, Obama is not the cure. He fucked up Chrysler secured creditor and basically bow down to the union and give them w/e what want. It is most disheartening since it is union overhead cost that cause the uaw in the first place.
 

BarrySotero

Banned
Apr 30, 2009
509
0
0
The Chinese might help by not giving up the money Obama would like them too


China has 'canceled US credit card': lawmaker

Apr 30, 2009

WASHINGTON (AFP) ? China, wary of the troubled US economy, has already "canceled America's credit card" by cutting down purchases of debt, a US congressman said Thursday.

China has the world's largest foreign reserves, believed to be mostly in dollars, along with around 800 billion dollars in US Treasury bonds, more than any other country.

But Treasury Department data shows that investors in China have sharply curtailed their purchases of bonds in January and February.

Representative Mark Kirk, a member of the House Appropriations Committee and co-chair of a group of lawmakers promoting relations with Beijing, said China had "very legitimate" concerns about its investments.

"It would appear, quietly and with deference and politeness, that China has canceled America's credit card," Kirk told the Committee of 100, a Chinese-American group.

"I'm not sure too many people on Capitol Hill realize that this is now happening," he said.


http://www.google.com/hostedne...SYeFBIII9kezxnP4jgoGZQ
 

Stuxnet

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2005
8,392
1
0
Originally posted by: retrospooty
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: retrospooty

I repeat... You guys act like Obama spent all this money for the hell of it. It was neccesary given the circumstances. Your comment about nothing meaningful for 12 months is not relevant or accurate. Some of the effect was immediate, some is happening now, some will not been seen for many years.

Your boy broke, so dont bitch about the fix.

Regardless of your feeling on the stimulus bill his budgets still present a major problem. Those are long term and have little to do with preventing a great depression.

So my boy broke it, and Obama's plan is to break it bigger?

kk

Regardless of either of our opinions on what would happen if we did and didnt do it this way - we were in some deep shit, and something had to be done. Only time will tell how it will work out. Alot of reps are up in arms complaining about what they THINK will happen.... Where were they (and you) when Bush started us down this path?

No, just blame Obama, because the fix is painful - Bush gets a pass because he's not so bright.

Wow... you are TOTALLY missing the point and the obvious: you can yack all you want about what Bush did, but no one is having that argument with you. Why? Because it's fucking irrelevant. The idea TODAY is to not take an EXISTING problem - which many will concede were due to countless instigators/events, one of which was Bush - and make it WORSE.

So let's get this out of the way right here and now so you can move past your issues with Bush and start dealing with what's happening TODAY, not what happened in the past: Bush contributed to making an unavoidable market correction WORSE.

There. Happy?

Now can we deal in the present and concern ourselves with the terrible economic missteps being taken by TODAY'S president, or is your best solution - one so characteristic of your party's history - to live in the past and play an inconsequential blame game?
 

Tom

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
13,293
1
76
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: ayabe
Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: ayabe
He's been saying this all along, everyone knows we can't sustain this level of spending up for the long haul.

Durrrr

Change "spending" to "deficit", while watching your taxes rise with inflation.

Nah, I'll stay on the informed side of the fence, he's been saying this all along and trying to spin it otherwise is just hackery.

And so what is the dear leader doing to counteract the situation? Starting more government programs? Nationalizing healthcare? Maybe he should talk to someone with the power in the government like the President... oh wait..

Obama isn't nationalizing healthcare, which is a shame because it would save a lot of money. The only real argument against nationalized healthcare is it limits access, not that it costs more.
 

Stuxnet

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2005
8,392
1
0
Originally posted by: Tom
The only real argument against nationalized healthcare is it limits access, not that it costs more.

It limits access because it tears down the incentives to become a doctor in the first place. It limits access AND it reduces the quality of care. I'm sure Obama thinks that doctors should just be doctors out of the kindness of their hearts and not because it's so lucrative, just like he thinks people should just give to charities because it's nice and not because there's a tax incentive, but that's how things work in Fantasy Land, not in the real world.

The man's heart is in the right place, but he's fighting human nature and it's not a battle he or any other socialist has ever won or ever will win.