The whole thing is more complicated than I'd pretend to understand, except to say that when Repubs decided to force the issue, make it an all or nothing proposition, not wait until 2013 to sort out a decision, Obama had the balls to say "Nothing". Good for him.
Dems in general should have done things that way a long time ago, starting with the Bush tax cut extension/ unemployment extortion racket back in 2010. Make Repubs go back to their broke-ass unemployed constituencies & explain how tax cuts for the wealthy were more important than middle class cuts & extended unemployment benefits in the face of the greatest economic calamity since 1929. Let 'em explain why they raised taxes & cut benefits for middle class families.
There are other instances when Dems really should have played it that way, too.
A problem you get into is if the pollsters tell you, 'if you do that, the right will actually strengthen its number, when they see the Republicans fighting you; and your own base will turn on you over the loss of benefits, and many will actually switch to the Republicans over it - the notice the impact more than the politics.'
I'm not saying that happened this time or that you're wrong - but if it does happen, it makes the political situation a lot more difficult.
Pay a huge political price for trying to... make the Republicans pay a political price for their obstructionism, and it'll backfire. Voters do cause this sort of problem at times.
Reminds me a little of when the Marines were bombed in Lebanon under Reagan.
He had a political dilemma - he could stand by his tough rhetoric and decide to keep the Marines there, but face the political cost and risk ongoing incidents; or he could pull them out and run the political cost of looking like he had been lying in his tough talk, unlikely to get a lot of political benefit from the peace crowd who wouldn't go to his side over one issue, when they disagreed with him. So, two bad choices. What he did was, give the tough speech - he will not back down - and the almost immediately after, withdraw them.
This was the 'political' combination to do - hypocrisy wasn't the probem; it gave his 'base' the words they wanted, while forcing his opponents - who lost something to attack him for - to in effect attack him for doing what they actually wanted him to do, and his base was pretty trained to ignore those critics anyway. He may have paid the minimum political price for it.
And Obama may have as well - be seen to be 'against' the extension in a speech and by his saying 'last extension', while removing it as a political weapon for opponents for a year.
Sure, it leaves him charged with not doing enough by his base - just like Reagan's could have charged him with the hypocrisy.
But in either case, what's the base going to do - Obama's embrace Republicans who want a permanent extension? Republican base embrace Democrats who want the withdrawal?
In both cases, they did 'enough' to make them preferable to their base, but little enough not to create a larger political issue for their opponents to use.
We discuss 'what's the best policy', they also discuss 'what gets them re-elected'.
Political calculations are that 'centrists' decide the election, and as horrible as some of their opinions might be, that's who gets catered to to win much of the time.
That's less clear right now, when Republicans are ignoring the moderates to competer for the nomination, but it'll change in the general - 'I never said that'.
Of course, if it's Romney, he'll never flip flop - as a guy of strong unchanging principle - to suddenly be the centrist chameleon. (Sarcasm alert).