Obama got 3 million more votes than Bush in 2004

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Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
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Originally posted by: Sheik Yerbouti
Where's Wald... er Johnny? Woo hoo.. Johnny, you're being called out here.

FYI, he's a hit n' run troll.
 

NeoV

Diamond Member
Apr 18, 2000
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the only person spinning anything here is non-prof J

It's a rather basic/simple/elementary reaction to look at the total number of votes and say Obama barely did this or that.

Many states saw all-time highs in the number of voters registered and the number of voters that turned out - and if you can't see that or are unaware of that then troll threads like this should be kept to your closed-minded self.

Obama won every age group except for 65+ - when was the last time that happened?

How many previous elections had this many young voters actually show up to vote?

Now you are saying he was expected to be +8, and you are downplaying it by saying it's only plus 6?

More sad, pathetic, and simple-minded non-analysis from non-prof J.
 
Feb 19, 2001
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Why don't we wait till the counting is done? You're making these claims less than 24 hours after the polls have closed. You know counting takes days. CA has 3 million absentee ballots to go. In FL you can have your stuff turned in up to 10 days late. Get a grip. Electoral-Vote.com didn't release final 2004 results till December. Why don't we wait till then to talk?

Obama's at 63.5 million now. He did not UNDERPERFORM or OVERPERFORM. He performed where the polls had him. National polls are harder to run, but the electoral polls had him dead on. Well, the only difference might be Indiana, but if you looked at the futures and betting odds, In was closing more than the polls had the candidates at. The ground game told us In would likely swing Obama while the polls were locking in to dead even. Trending would tell you he had a good chance of winning, and hence the results today.
 

zephyrprime

Diamond Member
Feb 18, 2001
7,512
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Originally posted by: Evan
What is it with fringe wingnuts being allergic to research and having pride in anti-intellectualism?

The truth of the matter is, they are that way because of a LIFESTYLE choice rather than any logical reason.
 

Regs

Lifer
Aug 9, 2002
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Obviously because the 4 million more who voted for Bush are ....DEAD.
 

Insomniator

Diamond Member
Oct 23, 2002
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How is the war in Iraq Illegal? Are you assuming the US should give a rats ass about the UN?
 
Feb 19, 2001
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Originally posted by: CADsortaGUY
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
In 2004 Bush received 62 million votes

In 2008 Obama received 62.9 million votes, just over a 1% increase.

McCain on the other hand received 3+ million LESS votes than Kerry.

Suggests several things:

Turn out was lower than in 2004.

McCain lost because he lost the people who voted for Bush in 2004, and about half of those voters don't seem to have voted at all.

Despite all the talk about turn out and increased enthusiasm that doesn't seem to have shown up on election day.

Look at the total votes cast in the past three elections:
2000 105 million votes
2004 122 million votes
2008 118 million, as of 1130AM

I wonder how the media will spin this news.
I believe they are still saying this election had the highest turnout ever.

Exactly. McCain had 4 mill less votes than Bush got in '04. Yes, some switched over to BHO but with new voters as they were not all the 4 mill switched. Many stayed home or did like me and voted for neither(3rd party). Basically McCain didn't get the "base" like Bush did and he probably lost a some of the "moderates"/"independents" who Bush had.

Overall, the (R) turnout looks to be lower which is a big part of the McCain loss.

If the BASE of the GOP is 4 million voters, then you have a sad party. MOST OF THE BASE came out. Get over it. I am the base, and I voted McCain. Most of the rest of the base came out. Of course there are idiots like you who decide to stay home and then you're now crying about technicalities because the math doesn't add up.

I can guarantee you half the voters in this country vote based on hype and can be easily persuaded through misinformation.

Obama made a better candidate than Kerry, and that's how you get the rest of the moderates. It's not that moderates/centrists abandoned McCain after voting Bush in 04, it's that they find the other side more appealing. Bam, that's it.

We got crushed yesterday ok? I know it, you know it, everyone knows it. I'm still amazed at the sheer number of people who came out for McCain though. There's plenty of us looking at the popular vote, but too bad it doesn't matter.
 

Fern

Elite Member
Sep 30, 2003
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Originally posted by: GoPackGo
Originally posted by: ScottyB
He won by a huge margin. Republicans lost this election big time. Get over it.


He is just trying offer some analysis.


If the data is correct, he makes an interesting point.

I agree.

I wish he (PJ) has linked us up with the data source. Until reading his post I was still under the impression that voter turnout was very high. I could've sworn I recently heard about 130M voted?

I've been looking forward to getting some numbers from someone like Chuck Todd or Karl Rove. I think it'll be interesting to how actual turnout compared to predictions. E.g., I heard earlier today that college age voters were the same proportion as the last 2 elections. If so, the predicted *boom* in their turnout once again failed to materialize.

Fern
 

deftron

Lifer
Nov 17, 2000
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Umm that's good news for Obama


If he is sucessful in his first term, his isnt going to need
record first time voters to get re-elected.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
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Originally posted by: Fern
If so, the predicted *boom* in their turnout once again failed to materialize.

Kinda tired of hearing this claim that young people haven't turned out in increased numbers recently.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27525497/
In 2004, 20.1 million 18- to 29-year-olds voted ? a 4.3 million increase from 2000, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. The turnout increase among younger voters was more than double that of the overall electorate. And in this year?s primary elections, at least 50 percent more young people voted than they did in the 2004 primary in every state except New York, which stayed flat. In some states, voter turnout among 18- to 29-year-olds doubled or tripled......

An estimated 22 to 24 million young people voted in this election, an increase in youth turnout by at least 2.2 million over 2004, according to CIRCLE.

how much more involvement can you ask of young people who are barely politically conscious? I certainly wasn't until well into my 20s.
 

Stoneburner

Diamond Member
May 29, 2003
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Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: Stoneburner
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: Stoneburner
Obama wins by 5-6 percents in the pop vote and crushes mccain in the electoral vote, he paints the map blue, and this is all Projo the clown can come up with?

The same retard who was calling the election for McCain in early september.

Do you have anything of substance to offer this thread? Or are you going to rabidly keep hitting the reply button and dish out internet tough guy assaults on the OP?


If you weren't so dense you'd realize my point is that the OP is insubstantial itself. This is a stupid thread from a confirmed clown.

"Obama's only up 8 points! OMGZ!"

For all the yapping about generic democrats, Obama overperformed expectations while the house and senate were actually dissapointing for dems.

Were you dropped on your head as a kid or did your mother mate with a tard?
Where did you get the impression this thread is about how much Obama won by? This thead is discussing the lower than expected turnout. This election has been hyped as huge and with huge new voter turnout. Yet it should be right at 2004 levels of voter turnout. I had heard a projection of 140-160 million by some analysts. Meaning projections were off. Did any of what I just wrote sink into that Neanderthal skull of yours?

Please do us a favor and dont come back. You waste everbodies time.

Everybodies? Who was dropped on their head, genius? If you a fuckin idiot you'd realize that the bolded comment is perfectly in line with the type of nonsense profjohn is still spewing.

Let me make it clear: PROJO IS AN IDIOT.

ALSO: You make that idiot look like a rhodes scholar.

Now go replace your diapers... this obama business clearly has you soiling yourself.
 

techs

Lifer
Sep 26, 2000
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WOW. You would have to read all these posts if you wanted to find the truth:

There are 3 percent of the precints still to be counted, plus many absentee ballots.
If you split them down the middle Obama gets about 65 million votes versus George Bushes 62 million. So basically Obama got as many more votes than Bush as the entire margin of victory Bush had over Kerry.
Which I believe Bush claimed gave him "political capital"
So, the title of this thread is false.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
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Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: GoPackGo
Originally posted by: ScottyB
He won by a huge margin. Republicans lost this election big time. Get over it.


He is just trying offer some analysis.


If the data is correct, he makes an interesting point.

I agree.

I wish he (PJ) has linked us up with the data source. Until reading his post I was still under the impression that voter turnout was very high. I could've sworn I recently heard about 130M voted?

I've been looking forward to getting some numbers from someone like Chuck Todd or Karl Rove. I think it'll be interesting to how actual turnout compared to predictions. E.g., I heard earlier today that college age voters were the same proportion as the last 2 elections. If so, the predicted *boom* in their turnout once again failed to materialize.

Fern

In response, I'm going to quote myself (because that's super fun)

The original post is inane. That's obvious to anyone who takes a second to think about the current tally numbers, one day after the election.

Originally posted by: Eeezee
Not all of the votes are in yet, so doing a number analysis of total votes for either candidate is meaningless. In 2004, 1.9 million provisional ballots were cast, of which 675k were not counted. Assuming a similar number this year, that's over one million valid votes that have not yet been counted!

Also, there are the mail-in votes from around the country and from around the world to consider. There are millions of votes out there that you're unable to include in your analysis.
 

Eeezee

Diamond Member
Jul 23, 2005
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By similar logic, I could have looked at a district that had only counted 1000 Obama votes and 1 McCain vote and said "LOOK, OBAMA HAS 1000x MORE VOTES THAN MCCAIN"

Wait until the god damned votes (provisional as well) are counted in a few weeks before you begin to say anything about actual voter turnout.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
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Topic Title: Obama barely got more votes than Bush in 2004

Um, no.

Topic Summary: Turnout looks to be lower too

Also, no.


An achievement in posting, this thread.
 

squirrel dog

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
5,564
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When you bastardize the voting process , how can that be good . How would you feel if independants were going hog ass wild with voter fraud , or repubs? Voter fraud is not good for the voting process . Your side won , good for you . Good luck with the future .
 

CADsortaGUY

Lifer
Oct 19, 2001
25,162
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www.ShawCAD.com
Originally posted by: Harvey
Originally posted by: CADsortaGUY

Uhh... why don't you try to address the topic instead of chanting and whining about the politics. The title and summary may be wrong but you've offered nothing besides vitriol...not that anyone is surprised by that.

Another pathetic, whining loser heard from. Uhh... Why don't you piss up a rope. :thumbsdown:

YOUR fucking Traitor In Chief gave us eight years of reasons for vitriol. YOUR fucking Traitor In Chief has gave us eight years of illegal war, eight years of illegal, treasonous assaults on the rights guaranteed to every American citizen under the U.S. Constitution, eight years of aiding and abetting the Wall Street and industrial criminals who raped and pillaged our financial institutions, eight years of utter incompetence in managing the business of running the nation.

YOUR jackass candidate, John McCain lost because he squandered his own honor, his own integrity and his own legacy in history to pimp your party's lies, bigotry and hatered.

The good news is, [/b]HE LOST![/b] The better news is, in winning, Obama shattered a once impenitrable color line, once and for all. We finally stepped up and something to show the world that we still take the values enshrined in our own Declaration of Independence and Constitution seriously.

That battle is not over, but it's one more step than we had ever taken in our entire history... until yesterday. :light: :thumbsup: :cool:


Hey look, trolling post by someone who should know better...


So are you going to address the points of this thread or are you going to continue to spew your usual vitriol and lies?(lies = yet again trying to claim McCain was my candidate) Has your BDS progressed that much that you can't control your outbursts anymore?
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
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Originally posted by: ProfJohn
In 2004 Bush received 62 million votes

In 2008 Obama received 62.9 million votes, just over a 1% increase.

McCain on the other hand received 3+ million LESS votes than Kerry.

Suggests several things:

Turn out was lower than in 2004.

McCain lost because he lost the people who voted for Bush in 2004, and about half of those voters don't seem to have voted at all.

Despite all the talk about turn out and increased enthusiasm that doesn't seem to have shown up on election day.

Look at the total votes cast in the past three elections:
2000 105 million votes
2004 122 million votes
2008 118 million, as of 1130AM

I wonder how the media will spin this news.
I believe they are still saying this election had the highest turnout ever.

I'm not surprised. I almost didn't vote. I decided last minute to go and vote on the props but I left the POTUS blank.