I use phrases like "I personally do not believe computers should be that simplified." when I am talking about my personal taste and usage patterns. But the vast majority of my posts are talking about the "casual user", not my own personal usage. I am a game programmer, web/software desginer, 3D animator, video editor, and artist. I know for a fact my comfort level with technology and my needs from an OS aren't those of the average user. My issues with the _complication_ of the Metro/Desktop duality are not from my own personal perspective for what I want/need. I'm looking at it from a designer's point of view who is designing for the needs of a particular audience, the casual user. My personal issues with Metro with regards to my own needs are all related to functionality, flexibility, and efficiency, not complication.
Every chance I have, I watch people try Windows 8 for the first time without tutoring to see how they interact with it. I just did it yesterday when I went to Best Buy with my sister (31 y/o). She tried a touchscreen laptop, and was clueless and lost and couldn't get out of IE for at least 5 minutes straight. then took her over to an iPad which she hasn't used before either, though she does have an older Android smartphone, and she was able to navigate it after only about 20 seconds of figuring out the home button went back to the main screen. That's intuitive and meets the basic needs of the general public for the tablet/phone usage model.
True. The difference here is MS is asking people to learn not 1 but 2 interfaces and sets of conventions. Metro isn't capable of replacing Desktop for desktop/notebook usage models as even MS makes clear by their inclusion of Desktop Microsoft Office on all Windows RT tablets.
Of course they won't drop it. Windows is Microsoft's product for the masses, but Metro needs massive improvement to make it intuitive and cohesive. Metro was 1-2 years premature in its development in my opinion. They're going to have to backtrack on many of their naieve design decisions to make improvements, which will essentially amount to adding visual elements and conventions back into it that they took out for no good reason. Example I gave in another post: the Windows Store and its ludicrous lack of a primary navigation so they can preserve negative space. And graphical elements will be added back here and there instead of making users rely on invisible elements and hotkey-like conventions. Plus I also believe they will have to add small but significant differences to the UI based on the target platform because designing for the tablet as the lowest common denominator seriously wastes the potential of the desktop interface.
I've seen this happen before. An example, iOS came out with no apps. They added apps. Everyone applauded them for the simplicity. I saw it and immediately said they are going to HAVE to add folders. It was plain as day what would happen. As people downloaded hundreds of apps, the desktop became a gigantic mess. It took them until iOS 4 or something, but they eventually did add folders just like I said because they made the naieve design decision to exclude any sort of organizational system because they assumed users would only download a limited number of apps.
Android was similar. It was a severely stripped down version of the common GUI. Everyone thought this was the new wave. Fast forward 4 years and each and every version of Android has added back tried and true interaction elements that were naievely tossed out in the beginning.
I believe Metro MUST go through a similar renaissance.