While you can correctly point out that people with degrees have a lower unemployment rate and a lifetime higher earning rate its important to compare that to the underemployment rate (almost half) and the wage:loan debt ratio. The last one is getting dangerously lopsided. Individual student loan debt rose ~70% since 2004 while wages are stagnant. Delinquency rates are increasing rapidly as well - likely signalling a difficult time paying off the loans with the job they got with their higher education. We are getting to a point where certain degrees are becoming financially irresponsible and not just the ones some would consider fluff degrees like art or drama but more mainstream ones like education and science degrees
http://chronicle.com/article/A-College-Degree-Sorts-Job/137625/#id=overview
http://newyorkfed.org/newsevents/mediaadvisory/2013/Lee022813.pdf
Good articles; thank you.
I am not trying to say that things are rosy for millenials now; just that their situation is probably substantially better than when the questionnaire that Pew survey used in OP's link (December 2011), or even BLS study I linked from October 2011.
Please remember:
1) during summer of 2011 Greece had just started to be all over our tv screens,
2) I believe inflation was spiking close to 4% (which Morningstar analyst Bob Johnson says typically triggers a recession),
3) the first debt ceiling debacle was taking place, with some wing nut Republicans in the House of Representatives seemingly intent on deliberately pushing a fragile economy back into double dip recession (despite the political rhetoric, there does appear to be some grudging cooperation in Washington to get things done now, but both sides have to make it look like they bludgeoned their political opponent, got beat up pretty badly, but ultimately have to concede a little for good of the country going forward)
4) we had an impending European Lehman Brothers apocalypse occurring at end of year (liquidity freezing up in European banking system: http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000058679) before the first Long Term Refinancing Operation agreement was reached in early Decembe 2011.
5) Occupy Wall Street occurred in September 2011, which actually seemed to correlate with start of one time surge in hiring for several months (IIRC, 350k - 400k SAAR job hiring, vs 175k/mo average we have seen since that one time surge), which Ben Bernanke postulated was a one time reversal of the massive shedding of jobs that occurred when stock market crashed in 2008 (credit totally froze up, businesses said they had absolutely no visibility about their prospects going forward, and cut back to the bone so that they didn't go out of business if they ran out of cash because bank line of credit they used was no longer there).
Even if a domestic company was doing well then and was inclined to hire to continue growing, with so much uncertainty and talk about a repeat of 2008 occurring (near depression or global recession), they probably hesitate and wait and see what happens.
Just like Ben Bernanke has said, we really need a faster growth rate of economy so that companies that see definite increases in demand can't make more money unless they start hiring more people and can't be quite as picky as they could be in past.
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