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McCain: "I don't believe we are headed into a recession."

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Oil Hits $139/Barrel, Unemployment Jump Highest In 22 Years, DJIA Down 400 points, Foreclosures Hit Record High
McCain: "I don't believe we are headed into a recession."

It's okay because my government tells me so.

<Homer Simpson> "TV never lied to me before!"
 
McCain supporters make a big deal about experience, but to me the critical skill is sound judgment. And even though it's been over thirty years since I got my BA in economics (and I haven't used it professsionally since then) quite frankly McCain's lack of knowledge of basic economic concepts is downright scary. His lack of knowledge almost seems wilfull-for years he has repeatedly publically acknowledged "I need to learn more about economics." To make it worse, he frequently substitutes kneejerk GOP responses for any sort of reasoned approach-remember when he much-vaunted "solution" to the subprime crisis was to ELIMINATE regulation on the banking industry? (which probably came from his lobbyist/campaign co-chair, Lindsey Gramm, who is up to his eyebrows it one of the principal drivers of the subprime mess, UBS).


He's scary to me. Even GWB displays better sense on economic issues.
 
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.
 
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

 
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
This is actually a whole lot worse than the 74-78 situation because of China, deficits and the fact we are still in Iraq.

It is a recipe for worse than 1929.
LMFAO

 
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

LOL - Then I guess the sky is really falling.
 
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

LOL - Then I guess the sky is really falling.

I think it's great that you can laugh out loud and dismiss Americas economic woes so blithely.

In fact, this winter I'm converting my furnace to burn "whistling in the dark" pellets.
 
Originally posted by: jackschmittusa
maverick44

Recession real or not has nothing to with anything related to bush.

You're kidding right?

How about:

hands-off policy for the banking industry

hands-off policy regarding speculators in oil (good regulatory precedent with controls on silver for example)

multiple policies contributing to the dollar value slide

continuing to allow corporations to call a P.O. Box offshore the corporate headquarters and avoid billions in taxes, further contributing to the huge deficit spending

lack of interest in retaining jobs in the country

Just picking a few for you.

1) Should the banking industry be RUN by bush.

2) Slide of the dollar was long overdue. Trade deficit at 8-9 percent of GDP was unsustainable.

3) And what can he do about "retaining" jobs in the country. Job creation and job destruction are a natural part of the economy. True you can have government programs for temporary employment but thats about it.
 
Originally posted by: ericlp
Checked the Debt clock lately?
link
You guys really need to get a better grip on this debt thing.

Compared to GDP our debt is smaller than Norway, Sweden, England, Canada, Germany, France, Italy and Japan.
All of the worlds largest economies have a LOT more debt than we do.

To suggest that our debt is some how related to our current economic slow down is incorrect.

Most of the problem can be traced to the burst of the housing bubble and the jump in oil prices.
 
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Originally posted by: ericlp
Checked the Debt clock lately?
link
You guys really need to get a better grip on this debt thing.

Compared to GDP our debt is smaller than Norway, Sweden, England, Canada, Germany, France, Italy and Japan.
All of the worlds largest economies have a LOT more debt than we do.

To suggest that our debt is some how related to our current economic slow down is incorrect.

Most of the problem can be traced to the burst of the housing bubble and the jump in oil prices.

You think if we hadn't of invaded Iraq the oil prices wouldn't be such a concern?:evil:
 
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Originally posted by: ericlp
Checked the Debt clock lately?
link
You guys really need to get a better grip on this debt thing.

Compared to GDP our debt is smaller than Norway, Sweden, England, Canada, Germany, France, Italy and Japan.
All of the worlds largest economies have a LOT more debt than we do.

To suggest that our debt is some how related to our current economic slow down is incorrect.

Most of the problem can be traced to the burst of the housing bubble and the jump in oil prices.

You think if we hadn't of invaded Iraq the oil prices wouldn't be such a concern?:evil:

It was a concern when Iraq oil output had dropped and they were unable to have steady output. However today they are averaging 2.5M/barrels a day and planning to hit 3+M/barrels a day by year end.
 
Originally posted by: feralkid
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

LOL - Then I guess the sky is really falling.

I think it's great that you can laugh out loud and dismiss Americas economic woes so blithely.

In fact, this winter I'm converting my furnace to burn "whistling in the dark" pellets.

Sounds like you're a member of the society of entitlement.

The USA has been warned for years and years that depending on outside suppliers for our energy needs was a reckless policy. And what have we done? Increased our energy dependence. Now we are going to pay for our lack of action. Historically Congress has not had the fortitude or foresight to do much. If we're lucky that might change ... but don't count on it. Our economic woes have been on the horizon for years. We just thought that ignoring them would somehow make them go away. Didn't work.

 
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: feralkid
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

LOL - Then I guess the sky is really falling.

I think it's great that you can laugh out loud and dismiss Americas economic woes so blithely.

In fact, this winter I'm converting my furnace to burn "whistling in the dark" pellets.

Sounds like you're a member of the society of entitlement.

The USA has been warned for years and years that depending on outside suppliers for our energy needs was a reckless policy. And what have we done? Increased our energy dependence. Now we are going to pay for our lack of action. Historically Congress has not had the fortitude or foresight to do much. If we're lucky that might change ... but don't count on it. Our economic woes have been on the horizon for years. We just thought that ignoring them would somehow make them go away. Didn't work.

Huh? So now you are saying that our economic woes are real?

I was responding to your post that implied you thought it was laughable "chicken littles" that were falsely predicting gloom and doom.


Please clarify.

Thanks.
 
Originally posted by: feralkid
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: feralkid
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

LOL - Then I guess the sky is really falling.

I think it's great that you can laugh out loud and dismiss Americas economic woes so blithely.

In fact, this winter I'm converting my furnace to burn "whistling in the dark" pellets.

Sounds like you're a member of the society of entitlement.

The USA has been warned for years and years that depending on outside suppliers for our energy needs was a reckless policy. And what have we done? Increased our energy dependence. Now we are going to pay for our lack of action. Historically Congress has not had the fortitude or foresight to do much. If we're lucky that might change ... but don't count on it. Our economic woes have been on the horizon for years. We just thought that ignoring them would somehow make them go away. Didn't work.

Huh? So now you are saying that our economic woes are real?

I was responding to your post that implied you thought it was laughable "chicken littles" that were falsely predicting gloom and doom.


Please clarify.

Thanks.

They are real but not catastrophic like some would have you believe. I don't see any doom and gloom from where I sit. Chicken Little thought the world was coming to an end. Not today. Reread what Red Dawn said. We've made it through hard times before.

 
Its game over for the U.S. economy... the massive debt and wasteful consumer mentality has driven us to the end of the road. Hyperinflation and lost faith in the currency is what will happen next.
 
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: feralkid
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: feralkid
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

LOL - Then I guess the sky is really falling.

I think it's great that you can laugh out loud and dismiss Americas economic woes so blithely.

In fact, this winter I'm converting my furnace to burn "whistling in the dark" pellets.

Sounds like you're a member of the society of entitlement.

The USA has been warned for years and years that depending on outside suppliers for our energy needs was a reckless policy. And what have we done? Increased our energy dependence. Now we are going to pay for our lack of action. Historically Congress has not had the fortitude or foresight to do much. If we're lucky that might change ... but don't count on it. Our economic woes have been on the horizon for years. We just thought that ignoring them would somehow make them go away. Didn't work.

Huh? So now you are saying that our economic woes are real?

I was responding to your post that implied you thought it was laughable "chicken littles" that were falsely predicting gloom and doom.


Please clarify.

Thanks.

They are real but not catastrophic like some would have you believe. I don't see any doom and gloom from where I sit. Chicken Little thought the world was coming to an end. Not today. Reread what Red Dawn said. We've made it through hard times before.


Certainly "WE" as a nation have made it through the worst of times...that doesn't help the individuals who ARE being financially destroyed, does it?

I'm real, real happy that it's all peachy from where you sit.

And where did that "entitlement" comment come from?


 
recession or not I don't see anything positive happening in the US in the near future, economy wise.

it might as well be a recession, like I give a sh!t what its called ultimately it really is a bad economy for America.

Unless you are a CEO or something...

And McCains comments seem to put him in an alternate reality to most of us Americans...

we certainly aren't "headed" to an economic upswing anytime soon...he shouldn't be saying things like he said.
 
Originally posted by: GrGr
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78. Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine. We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

Ain't that the truth. Love all this, "The sky is falling" crap being posted.

The US got out of that mess by going into DEBT. It is exactly this mountain of debt built up since the 70's/80's that is now crashing down to earth. How do you 'adjust' when you can no longer go into debt?

Actually debt was the diease back then, not the cure. LBJ and Nixon financed the Vietnam War by running up our debt (the famous guns AND butter era), by the mid-70's inflation was rising rapidly and seemed permanent.

I graduated from school and started my career in that era, I'm extremely familiar with what it was like. Today is different, perhaps worse, perhaps better. Personally I was hoping (without a rational basis, probably) that we would avoid big unemployment this time around, but that prospect appears to be dimming.

If we can keep the dollar weak, and if our exports continue to thrive, and if the upcoming financial shocks to our system (auto financing crisis & credit card crisis-both essentially the same as the subprime mortgage mess are expectd by me within the next year) and if no major unpreditable major bad event happens (like a Katrina wiping out our refineries or Gulf of Mexico oil rigs, Pakistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia or Iraq going crazy, etc.) then we can probably muddle through this, eventually, with intelligent leadership. There are a lot of what-ifs still left to happen.
 
Originally posted by: sammyunltd
That is why Obama must be president.

There are many reasons for voting for Obama, fixing the economy isn't one of them. What's he going to do, tax the country to prosperity?
 
Originally posted by: ProfJohn
Originally posted by: ericlp
Checked the Debt clock lately?
link
You guys really need to get a better grip on this debt thing.

Compared to GDP our debt is smaller than Norway, Sweden, England, Canada, Germany, France, Italy and Japan.
All of the worlds largest economies have a LOT more debt than we do.

To suggest that our debt is some how related to our current economic slow down is incorrect.

Most of the problem can be traced to the burst of the housing bubble and the jump in oil prices.

But when you throw in private debt, our % of GDP is about 350%..

Edit: here is a link, knew i saw it somewhere recently Text
 
maverick44

1) Should the banking industry be RUN by bush.

No, but the policy of non-regulation and willful ignorance is the fault of this Administration. Bush and his minions did the same with banking that they did with the intel for the Iraq war. They ignored all of the warning signs, disregarded any info that might have adversely affected profits. You don't really think the mortgage lending bubble and credit crisis surprised everyone and appeared overnight do you?

2) Slide of the dollar was long overdue. Trade deficit at 8-9 percent of GDP was unsustainable.

Even if balance-of-trade were the only issue affecting the dollar value, please point out the Administration's masterful efforts to correct the imbalance. What trade policies and agreements have they come up with that were effective?

3) And what can he do about "retaining" jobs in the country. Job creation and job destruction are a natural part of the economy. True you can have government programs for temporary employment but thats about it.

There are actually a large number of things that any Administration does that have an impact on the number and quality of jobs. Selectively guiding all actions to preserve high corporate profits at all costs is not a policy that is good for employment.

This Administration has done everything it could (often boldly, as in appointing industry insiders to run regulatory agencies, removing science from environmental reports, etc.) to further the cause of high profit, with little regard for the impact on the workers.
 
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: Red Dawn
Been there done that back in 74-78.

Americans adjusted and we eventually came out fine.

We'll just have to tighten our belts and lower our expectations for the near future.

That's the point. Bernake, McSame and the GOP continue to say we are not in 74-78 mode.

This is actually a whole lot worse than the 74-78 situation because of China, deficits and the fact we are still in Iraq.

It is a recipe for worse than 1929.

Nope, not even close.
 
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