Last Vegas strip shooting: More than 20 dead, 100 injured after gunman opens fire near Mandalay Bay

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TheVrolok

Lifer
Dec 11, 2000
24,254
4,092
136
I just posted logic above. I answered your questions, you didn't like the answers. I see your posts, I just don't take most of them seriously.
You absolutely did not answer them. You left the posts without any response whatsoever despite continuing to regurgitate your emotion laden talking points. You have consistently ignored or discounted mathematical facts, and you claim to be the logical side of this argument? Really?
 

mdram

Golden Member
Jan 2, 2014
1,512
208
106
Gun ownership as self defense is perhaps the oldest form of post-truth fantasy.

This is why everyone thinks you're arguing emotionally instead of logically.

http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/10/11/1619896114



Now that you can see it is ilkely not 'feel good do nothing nonsense' I'm sure you will change your opinion accordingly. (haha, I'm just kidding. Of course you won't)

tell these things to Carol Bowne, oh wait you cant
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
126
You absolutely did not answer them. You left the posts without any response whatsoever despite continuing to regurgitate your emotion laden talking points. You have consistently ignored or discounted mathematical facts, and you claim to be the logical side of this argument? Really?


I've answered anything of significance head on.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,761
54,788
136
tell these things to Carol Bowne, oh wait you cant

This is an emotional, not a logical argument. You are more likely to die as either a victim of homicide or suicide if you have a gun in your house than if you do not. If your safety and the safety of your family is your primary consideration for gun ownership then owning one is a bad idea for the average American.

People don't want to hear this because they buy into the myth that you will heroically protect yourself or your family with this gun. The more likely outcome is that a family member will use it to kill themselves, someone will use it when an argument escalates out of hand, things like that. I'm sure you're telling yourself right now that those things wouldn't happen to you because unlike those idiots you're a responsible gun owner. I'm willing to bet that's what lots of people killed by their own guns thought too.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
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This is an emotional, not a logical argument. You are more likely to die as either a victim of homicide or suicide if you have a gun in your house than if you do not. If your safety and the safety of your family is your primary consideration for gun ownership then owning one is a bad idea for the average American.

People don't want to hear this because they buy into the myth that you will heroically protect yourself or your family with this gun. The more likely outcome is that a family member will use it to kill themselves, someone will use it when an argument escalates out of hand, things like that. I'm sure you're telling yourself right now that those things wouldn't happen to you because unlike those idiots you're a responsible gun owner. I'm willing to bet that's what lots of people killed by their own guns thought too.


Absolutely meaningless and useless statistic.
 

mdram

Golden Member
Jan 2, 2014
1,512
208
106
This is an emotional, not a logical argument. You are more likely to die as either a victim of homicide or suicide if you have a gun in your house than if you do not. If your safety and the safety of your family is your primary consideration for gun ownership then owning one is a bad idea for the average American.

People don't want to hear this because they buy into the myth that you will heroically protect yourself or your family with this gun. The more likely outcome is that a family member will use it to kill themselves, someone will use it when an argument escalates out of hand, things like that. I'm sure you're telling yourself right now that those things wouldn't happen to you because unlike those idiots you're a responsible gun owner. I'm willing to bet that's what lots of people killed by their own guns thought too.

do you even know who she is?
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
126
It's literally the most meaningful and useful statistic possible when deciding whether or not to own a gun.

Nope. It treats ALL gun owners the same by a single data point, that they own a gun. There is so much variance in safety from one location to another, the types of company one keeps, the violence where they live vs. other areas. It is far too broad, one very over generalizing statistic.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,761
54,788
136
Nope. It treats ALL gun owners the same by a single data point, that they own a gun. There is so much variance in safety from one location to another, the types of company one keeps, the violence where they live vs. other areas. It is far too broad, one very over generalizing statistic.

No. This shows a fundamental lack of understanding of statistics and empirical research. The research on gun ownership explicitly controls for known risk factors like location, income, crime rates, etc. That's what regressions are for, after all. After controlling for those factors that you mention gun ownership is, once again, associated with significantly higher rates of death by homicide and suicide.

I mean did you seriously think all of these highly trained researchers and statisticians were just running descriptive statistics?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,761
54,788
136
I'm having a difficult time finding the study, but isn't the data in that study from 1993? The peak of gun crime violence in USA? What would it look like now?

https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/fv9311.pdf

No it's actually from dozens, maybe even hundreds of different studies, a bunch of which I linked earlier in this thread.

https://forums.anandtech.com/thread...ar-mandalay-bay.2520590/page-37#post-39102405

The findings are robust across a large range of different methodologies, areas of the country, etc. What I linked here is really only the tip of the iceberg and in many ways is common sense. If you have more lethal means around you people tend to die more.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
126
No. This shows a fundamental lack of understanding of statistics and empirical research. The research on gun ownership explicitly controls for known risk factors like location, income, crime rates, etc. That's what regressions are for, after all. After controlling for those factors that you mention gun ownership is, once again, associated with significantly higher rates of death by homicide and suicide.

I mean did you seriously think all of these highly trained researchers and statisticians were just running descriptive statistics?


No, it is a meaningless stat. No matter how you frame it, the reality is that there are some 100,000,000 gun owners in this country,and statistically almost none of them will be victims of a gun. If you don't have a knife, you're less likely to get cut in your home, too. That statistic has no meaning in any practical way.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,738
31,104
146
Nope. It treats ALL gun owners the same by a single data point, that they own a gun. There is so much variance in safety from one location to another, the types of company one keeps, the violence where they live vs. other areas. It is far too broad, one very over generalizing statistic.

Which is exactly how policy works, and the only way that meaningful policy works. You're arguing to create gun owners as this super special class of people that need to handled differently from all other classifications of people when it comes to directing policy with meaningful data, and there is no factual or reasonable justification for doing so.

If it's about safety and potential to reduce harm, then you would make the same argument, for example, against standardized BAC when it comes to DUI enforcement: standardizing BAC is meaningless, because literally every single person metabolizes alcohol at different rates, based on weight, tolerance, food in their system. And even so, one with x BAC could certainly be more capable of operating a vehicle than other with the same BAC, simply due to experience. But we don't tolerate that because we recognize that this is dangerous and intolerable behavior in society.

Standards exist for a reason: safety and efficiency. You can't possibly pick and choose which special snowflake classes of people get to skirt certain laws and deserve special treatment. Hell, it expands government in terms of properly enforcing these regulations, and I know we don't want that.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,761
54,788
136
again tell that to her family

Then be sure to tell all the victims of gun homicide and suicide how owning that gun made them safer.

Anecdotal evidence is stupid as we're discussing nationwide policy. The question that matters is if owning a gun makes the average American safer. It does not, in fact it does the opposite.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
126
Then be sure to tell all the victims of gun homicide and suicide how owning that gun made them safer.

Anecdotal evidence is stupid as we're discussing nationwide policy. The question that matters is if owning a gun makes the average American safer. It does not, in fact it does the opposite.


I didn't come to this forum as much in the past, not around the election. But, I thought I read some posts, weren't you pretty sure that statistically Hillary was likely to win the election, that is what the numbers showed?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,761
54,788
136
No, it is a meaningless stat. No matter how you frame it, the reality is that there are some 100,000,000 gun owners in this country,and statistically almost none of them will be victims of a gun. If you don't have a knife, you're less likely to get cut in your home, too. That statistic has no meaning in any practical way.

So you first try to dismiss these findings as meaningless by saying they don't account for a bunch of things they in fact explicitly account for. When informed that you don't know what you're talking about you don't reconsider your position, you just shift to a different argument. This is a sign that you are arguing emotionally and not logically.

Regardless, your second point is equally wrong. The question is if purchasing a gun makes it more likely you will die and the answer is yes.
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
33,407
16,798
136
I didn't come to this forum as much in the past, not around the election. But, I thought I read some posts, weren't you pretty sure that statistically Hillary was likely to win the election, that is what the numbers showed?

Did you just conflate polling with actual studies?

Do you purposely like looking stupid? If so, it explains alot about you.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,761
54,788
136
I didn't come to this forum as much in the past, not around the election. But, I thought I read some posts, weren't you pretty sure that statistically Hillary was likely to win the election, that is what the numbers showed?

Yes, the numbers showed she was most likely to win the election. Notably however, 538 pointed out that Trump was only a perfectly normal polling error away from winning. Turned out they were right.

If you're trying to cast doubt on the entire field of statistics now I'm not interested in having that discussion.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
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Did you just conflate polling with actual studies?

Do you purposely like looking stupid? If so, it explains alot about you.

You always start with the defensive name calling when something gets a little too close to home for you, when you know something has some truth to it you don't like.
 

SlowSpyder

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
17,305
1,002
126
Yes, the numbers showed she was most likely to win the election. Notably however, 538 pointed out that Trump was only a perfectly normal polling error away from winning. Turned out they were right.

If you're trying to cast doubt on the entire field of statistics now I'm not interested in having that discussion.

I'm not throwing out all numbers. But you and I both know studies have been wrong (eat margarine, live forever, don't eat eggs) and shouldn't be taken at face value as absolute truth. When you look at the number of gun owners vs. number of gun owner deaths by firearm you're talking about factions of a fraction of a percent. It is a meaningless statistic, far too broad, and has zero practical application.

Good for 538, what about you and the statistics you backed? What about everyone else and their numbers? Point is, you've been wrong with numbers before, this is a silly meaningless statistic you're trying to push.