We definitely have a problem, as the 7 battlegrounds have been locked in a virtual tie for at least a month. Although the 538 averages certainly aren't good, not a whole lot has changed. But the underlying problem is that people's vibes are mostly baked in at this point. The dumb asses who still yearn for a Trump economy aren't gonna be convinced in the final 4 weeks that Democrats are better at pocketbook issues. CNN's data analyst puts it out there for us:
CNN Reporter Warns Kamala Harris Campaign Looks ‘Like a Loser’
Given one key polling metric, a win for Harris would be “historically unprecedented,” CNN’s Harry Enten said.
Rubbish opinion. Biden's campaign was sunk, and best case scenario he had about a 25% chance of winning. This is not because he had a real chance of winning, but because both candidates have their large bases so you're never really at 0%.
Harris at age 22 was more knowledgeable than Trump has ever been in his lifetime, and he's now a bumbling fool at 78.
Some of us did warn that you're asking a lot of the American electorate to choose the first woman AND woman of color (+ SF liberal) for POTUS. So yeah that's part of what we're seeing now in the coin flip.
Biden was on track to lose by worse than 2016 margins. Dems could have lost both the Senate and the House in a complete bloodbath.
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