Originally posted by: xxxxxJohnGaltxxxxx
Is this good or bad? I didn't get my copy of the Democrat's talking-points this morning, so I am not sure what to make of this.
Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Is everything a partisan battleground for you guys? Geeze, give it a rest.
Economics (generally) aren't partisan to me But their analysis may be....I just like to make fun of chicken little.Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Is everything a partisan battleground for you guys? Geeze, give it a rest.
Originally posted by: xxxxxJohnGaltxxxxx
Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Is everything a partisan battleground for you guys? Geeze, give it a rest.
I was being serious; I need to know if the sky is falling, or if everything is coming uproses...everytime I think someone is "good," I am told that it is baaahhhhhd. My fax was tied up, so I didn't get the memo and thus have no idea how to think.
Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Originally posted by: xxxxxJohnGaltxxxxx
Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Is everything a partisan battleground for you guys? Geeze, give it a rest.
I was being serious; I need to know if the sky is falling, or if everything is coming uproses...everytime I think someone is "good," I am told that it is baaahhhhhd. My fax was tied up, so I didn't get the memo and thus have no idea how to think.
You need someone to do your thinking for you? Hmmmm.
Originally posted by: alchemize
Economics (generally) aren't partisan to me But their analysis may be....I just like to make fun of chicken little.Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Is everything a partisan battleground for you guys? Geeze, give it a rest.
Here I'll post what I posted in the uber-thread also...
current period versus last period order...
Consumer Confidence Nov.* 91.7 81.7
Retail sales Nov.* 0.9% 0.0%
GDP Q3* 8.2% 3.3%
ISM Index Nov.* 62.8 57.0
Factory Orders Sept.* 0.5% -0.3%
Unemployment Rate Nov. 5.9% 6.0%
Employment situation Nov.* 57,000 137,000
Consumer inflation Nov. 1.1% 1.3%
Housing starts Nov.* 2,070,000 1,980,000
Home sales Oct.* 7,455,000 7,825,000
Scary stuff huh? We're heading off a cliff aaaaaaah!
source
Bolded the dramatic ones. All but 2 are positive changes.
Originally posted by: xxxxxJohnGaltxxxxx
Is this good or bad? I didn't get my copy of the Democrat's talking-points this morning, so I am not sure what to make of this.
For example, the confidence interval for the monthly change in total
employment from the household survey is on the order of plus or minus
290,000. Suppose the estimate of total employment increases by 100,000
from one month to the next. The 90-percent confidence interval on the
monthly change would range from -190,000 to 390,000 (100,000 +/- 290,000).
These figures do not mean that the sample results are off by these
magnitudes, but rather that there is about a 90-percent chance that the
"true" over-the-month change lies within this interval. Since this range
includes values of less than zero, we could not say with confidence that
employment had, in fact, increased. If, however, the reported employment
rise was half a million, then all of the values within the 90-percent
confidence interval would be greater than zero. In this case, it is likely
(at least a 90-percent chance) that an employment rise had, in fact,
occurred. At an unemployment rate of around 4 percent, the 90-percent con-
fidence interval for the monthly change in unemployment is about +/- 270,000,
and for the monthly change in the unemployment rate it is about +/- .19
percentage point.
Originally posted by: lozina
Originally posted by: alchemize
Economics (generally) aren't partisan to me But their analysis may be....I just like to make fun of chicken little.Originally posted by: DealMonkey
Is everything a partisan battleground for you guys? Geeze, give it a rest.
Here I'll post what I posted in the uber-thread also...
current period versus last period order...
Consumer Confidence Nov.* 91.7 81.7
Retail sales Nov.* 0.9% 0.0%
GDP Q3* 8.2% 3.3%
ISM Index Nov.* 62.8 57.0
Factory Orders Sept.* 0.5% -0.3%
Unemployment Rate Nov. 5.9% 6.0%
Employment situation Nov.* 57,000 137,000
Consumer inflation Nov. 1.1% 1.3%
Housing starts Nov.* 2,070,000 1,980,000
Home sales Oct.* 7,455,000 7,825,000
Scary stuff huh? We're heading off a cliff aaaaaaah!
source
Bolded the dramatic ones. All but 2 are positive changes.
That's all well and good but how bout our dollar?
"At the margin it is a positive for U.S. growth. Over time, it should benefit the U.S. economy," said Jade Zelnik, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets Inc. "It should be helpful, given that we have had a long period of a strong dollar."
Originally posted by: alchemize
Truth is a low dollar is going to add jobs. Is that a bad thing to you?
You say that as if it is fact, but it's only an opinion- a forecast. As you mentioned, our treasuries are at risk. As the dollar gets weaker foreign countries which have US dollars & treasuries in reserve may sell them off and switch to Euro. Also, if oil producing countries start pricing their il to the Euro it will also be catastrophic. This is also an opinion.
Originally posted by: lozina
Originally posted by: alchemize
Truth is a low dollar is going to add jobs. Is that a bad thing to you?
You say that as if it is fact, but it's only an opinion- a forecast. As you mentioned, our treasuries are at risk. As the dollar gets weaker foreign countries which have US dollars & treasuries in reserve may sell them off and switch to Euro. Also, if oil producing countries start pricing their il to the Euro it will also be catastrophic. This is also an opinion.
One of the reasons we attacked Iraq is because Saddam converted to the Euro.. we needed to convert it back.... (lets see what that claim gets me
Originally posted by: dahunan
Originally posted by: lozina
Originally posted by: alchemize
Truth is a low dollar is going to add jobs. Is that a bad thing to you?
You say that as if it is fact, but it's only an opinion- a forecast. As you mentioned, our treasuries are at risk. As the dollar gets weaker foreign countries which have US dollars & treasuries in reserve may sell them off and switch to Euro. Also, if oil producing countries start pricing their il to the Euro it will also be catastrophic. This is also an opinion.
One of the reasons we attacked Iraq is because Saddam converted to the Euro.. we needed to convert it back.... (lets see what that claim gets me
Sure, that's another good motive isn't it? There's no reason that should be disregarded... in a typical investigation Police will consider all suspects and motives
If it's so "DUH", then why don't you back it up with some links?Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
Originally posted by: Ultra Quiet
Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
HEY STUPID THE NUMBERS ARE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. GET A FRIGGIN CLUE.
Originally posted by: dahunan
Originally posted by: Ultra Quiet
Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
HEY STUPID THE NUMBERS ARE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. GET A FRIGGIN CLUE.
GROW UP SUPER NOISY!! ARE YOU PROUD OF YOUR PERSONAL ATTACKS??
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: dahunan
Originally posted by: Ultra Quiet
Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
HEY STUPID THE NUMBERS ARE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. GET A FRIGGIN CLUE.
GROW UP SUPER NOISY!! ARE YOU PROUD OF YOUR PERSONAL ATTACKS??
They're a lot more than just "seasonally" adjusted.
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: dahunan
Originally posted by: Ultra Quiet
Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
HEY STUPID THE NUMBERS ARE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. GET A FRIGGIN CLUE.
GROW UP SUPER NOISY!! ARE YOU PROUD OF YOUR PERSONAL ATTACKS??
They're a lot more than just "seasonally" adjusted.
What should the numbers be?
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: charrison
Originally posted by: dmcowen674
Originally posted by: dahunan
Originally posted by: Ultra Quiet
Originally posted by: dahunan
Hey Dubya Lovers.. Doesn't this happen evey year AT THIS TIME... DUH!!!
Why is this even news??
This is the same as
"Temperatures fell Sharply in December"
HEY STUPID THE NUMBERS ARE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. GET A FRIGGIN CLUE.
GROW UP SUPER NOISY!! ARE YOU PROUD OF YOUR PERSONAL ATTACKS??
They're a lot more than just "seasonally" adjusted.
What should the numbers be?
The numbers should be a lot more Good jobs being created than being LOST.