A left leaning super PAC (Meidas Touch) talking to a left leaning think tank (https://www.influencewatch.org/non-profit/new-democrat-network-ndn/) doesn't give me much confidence.
Yes, basing analysis on early voting data is a bad idea.
K1052
Elite Member
- Aug 21, 2003
- 46,024
- 32,994
- 136
About as bad as using polling data. Are there states releasing actual vote counts?
No, polling data is generally pretty good. Using incomplete vote counts and trying to read the tea leaves is highly likely to lead you astray.
I hope the polls are wrong and the democrats win as much as the next guy but there’s no way to determine if that’s a possibility using the early vote.
No, they don't release vote counts. It's people forecasting voting trends from their own polling data and where the early votes are coming in from. Actual vote counts are not being released.
Hehe
But why are the middle aged suburbanfeeling (edit) fleeing the Dems?
But why are the middle aged suburban
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Captante
Lifer
- Oct 20, 2003
- 30,272
- 10,777
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sportage
Lifer
- Feb 1, 2008
- 11,493
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I STILL hold hope that the threats to abortion choice will make the difference. I still think that women are really pissed and, so are many men. When we hear that voting is way up considering this is only a midterm, and we also hear republicans are more energized than democrats, I wonder if that energy and motivation with republicans might be republican women turning out to vote down these republican pro-lifers with no exceptions who are running for office???
Wouldn't it be amazing if republican women and even men are speaking their mind at the ballot box on how they feel about government controlling a woman's body? Remember, Barbara Bush was a pro-choicer and I have a feeling there are a lot of Barbara Bush's in the republican party.
I could be wrong, but if it ends up a democrat blowout come Tuesday, I won't be surprised. Wouldn't THAT be one of those things that go down in history as a total unexpected?
Wouldn't it be amazing if republican women and even men are speaking their mind at the ballot box on how they feel about government controlling a woman's body? Remember, Barbara Bush was a pro-choicer and I have a feeling there are a lot of Barbara Bush's in the republican party.
I could be wrong, but if it ends up a democrat blowout come Tuesday, I won't be surprised. Wouldn't THAT be one of those things that go down in history as a total unexpected?
I don't watch CNN, but John Malone, a Trump donor, is on the BoD. No one should be surprised by their shift to the right.
Fenixgoon
Lifer
- Jun 30, 2003
- 31,548
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i'm not so certain. i think there are going to have to be lots of horror stories of dead women and babies being stillborn before there are a enough votes to change.
and at the same time, dems need to tie all that 100% to republican policies. if they don't, Roe might get reinstated by law - again - but it's not going to get codified in law by a dem majority legislature. the national level will remain a stalemate at best.
sportage
Lifer
- Feb 1, 2008
- 11,493
- 3,159
- 136
They follow the money.
To predict doom and gloom for democrats is good for ratings thus equals money. Plus, when these republican MEGA loons get in office AND when Donald Trump then announces, that will be a huge ratings draw for all news media. If there were money and ratings in Adolf Hitler, CNN would hire Kanye West as a new anchor tomorrow.
Jaskalas
Lifer
- Jun 23, 2004
- 33,426
- 7,485
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There's an old scapegoat for that. Women. Blame the victims and all is right with the world.
Fenixgoon
Lifer
- Jun 30, 2003
- 31,548
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FelixDeCat
Lifer
- Aug 4, 2000
- 29,160
- 2,034
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IronWing
No Lifer
- Jul 20, 2001
- 69,007
- 26,887
- 136
Braznor
Diamond Member
- Oct 9, 2005
- 4,497
- 349
- 126
This guys keeps pumping hopium via early voter data, but I’m not yet convinced these numbers are truly indicative of anything other than voting method preferences.
I don't know if it's suppressing their vote as much as maybe they all decided to just vote in person on election day instead of using other means.
Interesting but just as silly as when some right wing commentator said if only land-owning males aged 35-60 voted, the country would be "all red." Or something to that effect.
Indus
Diamond Member
- May 11, 2002
- 9,892
- 6,470
- 136
Always good to remind people that Republicans actually are shit people, not just words!
Yeah when right leaning people complain, hey don’t lump us with the MAGAtards!!! If you’re not doing what Liz Cheney is doing and attempting to actually purge the scum, you’re just as repugnant by sitting idly by letting your party turn into a swamp. Same goes with independent voters being selfish over their pocketbooks than democracy
iRONic
Diamond Member
- Jan 28, 2006
- 6,853
- 2,138
- 136
Ron also forgot to mention they will also control most state legislatures and governor's mansions. Most Sec of States too?
How did our leaders allow themselves to get so badly outplayed? We saw this GOP strategy of "from the ground up" start in the 90s, and Dems did....what exactly? Yes, gerrymandering, etc etc all play a huge role.
But our leaders have let us down.
How did our leaders allow themselves to get so badly outplayed? We saw this GOP strategy of "from the ground up" start in the 90s, and Dems did....what exactly? Yes, gerrymandering, etc etc all play a huge role.
But our leaders have let us down.
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