Isn't the 2016 Election Outcome Already Clear?

[retrospooty]

What happened in Kentucky is their clue. Their key to take it all come election day 2016.

Good luck with that thought. Local/state elections are easy, especially in a bible belt state like KY. National elections are far different. The only thing the reps changed since 2008 and 2012 elections are that they (the vocal ignorant among them) have further antagonized gays, modern women, Latinos and science in general. That is going to be a huge problem for them, even though most of them don't think that way. It's a lot like Muslims. Most of the worlds 1 billion+ Muslims are peaceful kind people. 10% (or whatever small amount) of them are exremist nutjobs that just cant exist in modern society. That vocal, violent minority makes all Muslims look bad... The normal "sane" majority NOT aggressively speaking out against them makes it much worse.

 

[sportage]

Oh I don't know....
As the great Tim Russert use to say "Florida Florida Florida", but if Tim were still around this time he might say religion religion religion.
Do not underestimate the extreme motivation of right wing republicans this time around.
They are very pissed over same sex marriage, pissed over the court decisions, and to top it all off one of their own, a Christian, was actually tossed in the old slammer for simply what she believed.
They will be motivated into a frenzy.
I highly doubt Hillary will do the same for the democrats. Nor Bernie for that matter.

 

[Exophase]

Back in November 2007 Clinton had a big lead over Obama in the polls and a lot of people thought she was a sure thing to win the primaries. In some ways Sanders appeals to the same crowd Obama did. But it's still probably hopeless. Obama was much younger, more attractive, more charismatic and more of an aggrieved minority than Sanders is. Clinton just has way too much of an advantage among women voters. The combination of wanting the first woman president (something she campaigns with constantly) and not wanting a "grumpy" unattractive old fogey is huge. Hence why Clinton has a much bigger lead among women than men in all the polls I've seen.

Unsurprisingly, Clinton's base has now gone in for the kill by accusing Sanders of being a misogynist. http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/hillary-clinton-sexism-bernie-sanders-215375

All over comments he and his campaign manager have made that don't mention women whatsoever but his manipulative detractors have decided that they allude to sexist stereotypes. Because that's always how it works when it's convenient.

 

[Sonikku]

Oh I don't know....
As the great Tim Russert use to say "Florida Florida Florida", but if Tim were still around this time he might say religion religion religion.
Do not underestimate the extreme motivation of right wing republicans this time around.
They are very pissed over same sex marriage, pissed over the court decisions, and to top it all off one of their own, a Christian, was actually tossed in the old slammer for simply what she believed.
They will be motivated into a frenzy.
I highly doubt Hillary will do the same for the democrats. Nor Bernie for that matter.

She wasn't thrown in the slammer for what she believed in. She was thrown in the slammer for being a public servant not doing her job. (Who was additionally unwilling to resign despite not doing it) Repubs are usually so big on empowering the employer to fire an employee for any reason that you would think they wouldn't mind an employee being fired for an actual legitimate good reason; not performing the duties of the job. if Repubs don't like the idea of jail then maybe we should make gubnit "at will" employment so you just get pink slipped instead. Would work wonders for Congress.