Then there are other people who seem to think that everything has to be wrong. Both aren't very smart and neither understand the purpose of assessments.
(snipped to prevent wall of text in my reply)
This is nothing but an informational tool to be carefully considered but it is never a mandate for a particular action. If Iran seems to be willing to attack on US soil that means Iran seems to be willing to attack on US soil. What Obama or any other President does about it is completely another matter.
As far as Iraq goes that was not a failure of the intelligence agencies, but a deliberate subversion of them for political goals. Few will remember, but before the war a number of senior analysts quit. I suspect the reason is that there was a considerable effort from the top down to get a desired result. That is not how it ever was supposed to be, but sadly that happens. Now if you want to say that Obama is using the agencies to start a war with Iran that's up to you, however I do not think he is driven to start another major conflict.
I don't think I was implying that all assessments are wrong. Or that Obama a is trying to start a way...just pointing out it's basically just government PR, not anything factual. But we (as a country) have a big problem in that more and more, the government relies solely on the "anonymous gov official" to talk about "secret evidence" to advance whatever agenda they want, and the media just laps it up and passes it along, without the ability to do any real fact checking.
Once it gets on the news, a large portion of the country believes it, putting blind trust that these government officials wouldn't lie.
That is a big problem, since as we have seen time and time again, the "secret evidence" is wrong, or cherry picked, or deliberately misinterpreted to advance an agenda. but since no one calls out this BS, the government gets away with it.
The few times actual real data comes out (like post invasion of Iraq, or like the official US reports released by wikileaks) we see that a fair amount of the time, the government is lying. But most people don't care, since they have already believed the "official" government story leaked anonymously (and without any proof).
Just look at today, the ACLU is suing the government for details on the legal justification and procedure for the killing of Awlaki. The government has released no real details, no evidence, just sent forward various government officials (both anonymous and not) that just say "we have secret info saying he's guilty".
The government so far has denied the ACLU anything, saying it's classified. So on one hand, the government has full ability to lie and say whatever they want to sway public opinion, and yet cannot (so far) be compelled to release the actual documents and facts. Do you see a problem with that?
It's so secret that we can't admit we did it (or how we authorized it), but they can go on TV and say "he's guilty" by saying there is "secret evidence" and it was done legally (trust us, it was, but we can't tell you how!) to convince the population it was all legal and OK. Just don't ask for any evidence proving their case, because it's all secret!
Anyone and everyone should have huge red flags waving with this kind of behavior.