Question Intel's current woes and the low end of the desktop CPU market

mikeymikec

Lifer
May 19, 2011
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I'm surprised that Intel haven't taken a page from AMD's book, being "when they go high, you go low" (and vice versa). Yes, Intel are in trouble with regard to their higher-end products (though I don't think I've heard anything about their Xeon lines being affected by their Raptor Lake problems), but what I really don't get is that when I look at their low-end processors, it's like they've got their priorities all out of whack. I understand that low-end CPUs aren't going to fix Intel's problems, but when AMD was being trounced by Intel (ie. in AMD's FX + FMx socket era), they put a load of processors out that were very cheap and at least *sold for something*.

In my average user PC builds in recent years I've been going for for processors like the 2200G/3200G/4300G (even if lower end AM4 APUs were available). In years past, I would have expected to see Athlons, Celerons, Pentiums and i3s all competing at the same time, but for some reason this is all I can see from Intel:

Intel Core i3-12100F (4c 8t no integrated graphics so it's a total non-starter in a basic usage system given the price of GPUs): £66.99
Intel Core i3-14100F (4c 8t no igpu, slightly cheaper than the 4300G): £83.99
AMD Ryzen 3 4300G (4c 8t): £88.99
Intel Processor 300 (2c 4t, nearly a tenner more expensive than the 4300G): £95.99
(edited this because my supplier lists it as 2c 2t but Intel and TPU list it as 2c 4t)
... some more Intel cpus with no igpu ...
AMD Ryzen 7 5700G (8c 16t): £139.99
Intel i3-12100 (finally! 4c 8t with igpu): £140.99
Another supplier's cheapest Intel CPU + iGPU is:
Intel Core i5-12600K: £169.26

If it wasn't for the "Intel Processor 300", then I would have assumed that both AMD and Intel have completely abandoned their Celeron / Pentium / Athlon product lines because there's just no money in it any more (understandable given that most average people probably think a laptop/tablet is a better choice). Perhaps the 300 is just sitting there with tonnes of unused inventory, but surely Intel would have slashed the price by now?

I just don't understand why Intel basically abandoned competing with AMD at product points that clearly are profitable for AMD to produce something at, and there are plenty of people/companies out there who would buy an Intel CPU even if the Ryzen equivalent is *a bit* better, all Intel has to do is show up? Let alone bringing a 2c/2t to a 4c/8t gunfight or 4c/8t to an 8c/16t gunfight.

When I was mainly building Intel iGPU basic PCs, the Pentium for a good long time was my minimum recommendation just because it could do the job tolerably and was a good bit cheaper than the i3. These days I think it's utter madness to go for anything less than 4c (ignoring atom-type stuff) on a new PC what with Win11's needs, but my overall point is there used to be some choice, practically speaking!
 
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coercitiv

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Jan 24, 2014
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One thing to note is the prices on your side are rather high. I'm in the EU and the i3 12100 can be had for around £100 (VAT included). Meanwhile the Ultra 5 225 around £150, cheaper than the i5 12400. The old gen CPU prices are clearly affected by lower availability, the 12400 used to be much cheaper in the past.

One side-effect of AMD feeding on scraps for years is they probably learned how to sell cheap CPUs (in the sense of planning for low cost platforms). I think it makes sense for Intel to focus on being competitive down to the bottom i5 SKU, the DIY sector for quad-cores ain't exactly going to help their bottom line. Some of the prices I see for AM4 CPUs in the low-end are extremely low. (3200G at 55 Euros)

That being said, the "Intel Processor" branding is still the dumbest rebranding I've seen in years. The mind numbing names both Intel and AMD come up with lately are annoying as hell, but this "Intel Processor" idea is just plain stupid, one cannot even understand the product name when showed in a shop, it looks like a mistake or a placeholder.
 

mikeymikec

Lifer
May 19, 2011
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It doesn't really matter what the figures are but what they are relative to the AMD competition.

The 3200G's availability and bargain bucket price is probably just a case of using up the remainder of supplies as AFAIK it's not compatible with the B550 chipset (I've checked two boards: ASUS PRIME B550M-A and MSI B550M PRO-VDH), and AFAIK supplies of B450 chipset boards are pretty slim.

The Intel 300 should really be going for £60 UKP (relative to the prices I'm seeing). Sure, you can throw it into a currently-available Intel board (at least I assume you can, it's Raptor Lake gen), one might consider it an option to be replaced later as I bet that second-hand Raptor Lake CPUs are going to be as cheap as uh chips once they stop being produced. At £95 though it's almost like Intel is acting like it still rules the roost and can therefore ask for whatever they want for it.
 

hemedans

Senior member
Jan 31, 2015
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Prebuilt with i3 12100 are so cheap nowadays, which cover many average users needs.

For Enthuasist 12100f is still unbeaten value wise, even something like Rx 6400 would be better than igp in most desktop Apu, if you want to match like of 2200G and 4300G then £30 quadro P620 is enough..
 

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
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It doesn't really matter what the figures are but what they are relative to the AMD competition.
The absolute price affects where the line gets drawn when building on a fixed budget. If we have the same budget and you can fit the i3 12100 while I can fit the Ultra 5 225, then I no longer see Intel's pricing problem in the same way as you do (it's still there, but I'm less affected by it). Not only does it change my perspective when looking at Intel alone, but also when comparing Intel vs. AMD because their 6+ core offering is in a much better spot relative to the competition.

Having said that, I think it's important to reiterate that Intel is currently capacity constrained on their Intel 7 node. Everything that is Alder or Raptor will be considerably more expensive going forward, and I think their entire low-end lineup is based on this older node.
 
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Doug S

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Newer more expensive processes like N2/18A and A14/14A won't support the existence of a low end, at least not as low as it is today. When a 100 mm^2 chip costs $50 from the foundry there isn't much room to have a market of CPUs selling for $50. By early next decade that chip might be close to $100 on the then leading edge process.

So either you have to leave N3/N5 class products on your price list essentially forever (will AM5 still be around in 2040?) or you have to abandon the existence of what we currently know as the low end. People who want "low end" will probably be buying used and that market will want to see fewer old CPUs/boards sent to the recycler and more into a refurbishment economy for a second life.
 

dullard

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May 21, 2001
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The industry is both fab constrained and wafer constrained right now. AI is taking all the resources. If you are going to be limited on the number of chips you make because you don't have enough wafers, then you certainly aren't going to make the lowest end processors with the lowest profits.

That said, Intel did finally release one cheaper Arrow Lake: the 205. It isn't on your list. It also is not likely to be a DIY either though.
 

dullard

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So either you have to leave N3/N5 class products on your price list essentially forever (will AM5 still be around in 2040?) or you have to abandon the existence of what we currently know as the low end.
That is not necessarily a bad thing. For many, many purposes CPUs are fast enough as-is. My parents browsing the internet and working on genealogy reports have no need for anything powerful. Same goes with many office workers who push paper.
 
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DrMrLordX

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The industry is both fab constrained and wafer constrained right now.

For Intel (wrt desktop chips) the situation is also complicated by their "cheap"/old process being relatively expensive (namely, Intel 7). Normally process costs go down over time, but Intel 7 prices still seem to be relatively high, making it difficult for them to get any kind of margins on low-end CPUs they produce on Intel 7. They're definitely capacity-constrained on Intel 3 and 18a.
 

Mopetar

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Jan 31, 2011
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That is not necessarily a bad thing. For many, many purposes CPUs are fast enough as-is. My parents browsing the internet and working on genealogy reports have no need for anything powerful. Same goes with many office workers who push paper.

If you don't need x86 or Windows, a Raspberry Pi is probably good enough for a lot of people.

A lot of people just use their phones for everything and barely touch a desktop outside of a few cases.
 
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Joe NYC

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Having said that, I think it's important to reiterate that Intel is currently capacity constrained on their Intel 7 node. Everything that is Alder or Raptor will be considerably more expensive going forward, and I think their entire low-end lineup is based on this older node.

And pretty significant step up in cost from Intel 7 processors monolithic to 2.5D packaged chiplet based CPUs.

So, product availability and pricing of Intel chips on the low end is not going to improve.
 

Joe NYC

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Jun 26, 2021
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The industry is both fab constrained and wafer constrained right now. AI is taking all the resources. If you are going to be limited on the number of chips you make because you don't have enough wafers, then you certainly aren't going to make the lowest end processors with the lowest profits.

Exactly. Lower cost processors should be moving to N4, but majority of AI bubble is still on N4.
 

Josh128

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Oct 14, 2022
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The industry is both fab constrained and wafer constrained right now. AI is taking all the resources. If you are going to be limited on the number of chips you make because you don't have enough wafers, then you certainly aren't going to make the lowest end processors with the lowest profits.

That said, Intel did finally release one cheaper Arrow Lake: the 205. It isn't on your list. It also is not likely to be a DIY either though.
Adroc Thurston claims otherwise.
 

511

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Jul 12, 2024
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Newer more expensive processes like N2/18A and A14/14A won't support the existence of a low end, at least not as low as it is today. When a 100 mm^2 chip costs $50 from the foundry there isn't much room to have a market of CPUs selling for $50. By early next decade that chip might be close to $100 on the then leading edge process.

So either you have to leave N3/N5 class products on your price list essentially forever (will AM5 still be around in 2040?) or you have to abandon the existence of what we currently know as the low end. People who want "low end" will probably be buying used and that market will want to see fewer old CPUs/boards sent to the recycler and more into a refurbishment economy for a second life.
tbh there will be something cheaper in that era like WCL on Desktop ...
 

DAPUNISHER

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If you don't need x86 or Windows, a Raspberry Pi is probably good enough for a lot of people.

A lot of people just use their phones for everything and barely touch a desktop outside of a few cases.
A $100-$150 mini PC is all most need for a daily driver.
 
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511

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N100 is still the bare minimum to be the basic daily driver