Discussion Intel Meteor, Arrow, Lunar & Panther Lakes + WCL Discussion Threads

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Tigerick

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Wildcat Lake (WCL) Preliminary Specs

Intel Wildcat Lake (WCL) is upcoming mobile SoC replacing ADL-N. WCL consists of 2 tiles: compute tile and PCD tile. It is true single die consists of CPU, GPU and NPU that is fabbed by 18-A process. Last time I checked, PCD tile is fabbed by TSMC N6 process. They are connected through UCIe, not D2D; a first from Intel. Expecting launching in Q2/Computex 2026. In case people don't remember AlderLake-N, I have created a table below to compare the detail specs of ADL-N and WCL. Just for fun, I am throwing LNL and upcoming Mediatek D9500 SoC.

Intel Alder Lake - NIntel Wildcat LakeIntel Lunar LakeMediatek D9500
Launch DateQ1-2023Q2-2026 ?Q3-2024Q3-2025
ModelIntel N300?Core Ultra 7 268VDimensity 9500 5G
Dies2221
NodeIntel 7 + ?Intel 18-A + TSMC N6TSMC N3B + N6TSMC N3P
CPU8 E-cores2 P-core + 4 LP E-cores4 P-core + 4 LP E-coresC1 1+3+4
Threads8688
Max Clock3.8 GHz?5 GHz
L3 Cache6 MB?12 MB
TDP7 WFanless ?17 WFanless
Memory64-bit LPDDR5-480064-bit LPDDR5-6800 ?128-bit LPDDR5X-853364-bit LPDDR5X-10667
Size16 GB?32 GB24 GB ?
Bandwidth~ 55 GB/s136 GB/s85.6 GB/s
GPUUHD GraphicsArc 140VG1 Ultra
EU / Xe32 EU2 Xe8 Xe12
Max Clock1.25 GHz2 GHz
NPUNA18 TOPS48 TOPS100 TOPS ?






PPT1.jpg
PPT2.jpg
PPT3.jpg



As Hot Chips 34 starting this week, Intel will unveil technical information of upcoming Meteor Lake (MTL) and Arrow Lake (ARL), new generation platform after Raptor Lake. Both MTL and ARL represent new direction which Intel will move to multiple chiplets and combine as one SoC platform.

MTL also represents new compute tile that based on Intel 4 process which is based on EUV lithography, a first from Intel. Intel expects to ship MTL mobile SoC in 2023.

ARL will come after MTL so Intel should be shipping it in 2024, that is what Intel roadmap is telling us. ARL compute tile will be manufactured by Intel 20A process, a first from Intel to use GAA transistors called RibbonFET.



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Henry swagger

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20A is not clocking as high as the 14900ks. Its only at alder lake clocks.. arrow lake 12% higher single core than 14900ks with clock regression 🤔🤨.. zen 5 will have the clock advantage witj n4p 🤨
 

uzzi38

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20A is not clocking as high as the 14900ks. Its only at alder lake clocks.. arrow lake 12% higher single core than 14900ks with clock regression 🤔🤨.. zen 5 will have the clock advantage witj n4p 🤨
Reading through the post, it looks like MebiuW actually said the following:

14900K should clock ~12% higher than 285K

285K should outperform a 14900K on single core by <12%.
 

Hulk

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If we are talking about 5.5GHz all-core max frequency for Arrow Lake and assuming a good increase in transistor density and efficiency over Intel 7, then I am impressed with Intel's first crack at 20A.

Couple of things to keep in mind. All of the ST frequencies advertised for Raptor Lake are pretty much moot outside of benchmarking. First, rarely will an application use only 1 or 2 cores and allow for these frequencies to occur outside of benchmarking. Second, for anything but a golden sample 6GHz requires 1.5V of CPU cooking high energy electrons that will degrade the CPU.

The only meaningful comparison of clock speeds among CPU's is all-core speeds. As I wrote above if ARL can to 5.5GHz all-core vs 5.8GHz for RPL then that is a win for Intel. If 5.5GHz is ST boost and nC is more like 5.2GHz then I'm not as impressed with 20A on the first effort. It would basically be ADL as noted in the article.

I don't think ARL is going to show any MT improvement (in benchmarks) over RPL. The IPC increase in Lion Cove and Skymont I predict will be about 20%, which will result in a "side grade" from RPL to ARL in benchmarking MT performance. But, in real world applications, in which only 8 or 10 cores are utilized we will see bigger gains for ARL due to the compute increase of Lion Cove. The lack of HT will compromise MT performance in perfectly multithreaded applications.

Intel will most likely promote ARL based on real world applications that show nice gains over RPL and avoid Cinebench MT and such. At least until the 8+32 refresh comes out and resolves the lack of HT issue.
 

Hulk

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Also I like that Intel started their numbering scheme over with the advent of tile based CPU's. MTL are "1" series, ARL "2" series, etc... We don't need to really care about the Ultra as we know the gen/architecture from that first digit.

That as a good move on Intel's part.
 

Hitman928

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Also I like that Intel started their numbering scheme over with the advent of tile based CPU's. MTL are "1" series, ARL "2" series, etc... We don't need to really care about the Ultra as we know the gen/architecture from that first digit.

That as a good move on Intel's part.

RPL-R are 1 series as well though. . .
 
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mikk

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If we are talking about 5.5GHz all-core max frequency for Arrow Lake and assuming a good increase in transistor density and efficiency over Intel 7, then I am impressed with Intel's first crack at 20A.

It's a N3B node for the highest clocked parts. 20A 6+8 will be clocked lower.


I don't think ARL is going to show any MT improvement (in benchmarks) over RPL. The IPC increase in Lion Cove and Skymont I predict will be about 20%, which will result in a "side grade" from RPL to ARL in benchmarking MT performance. But, in real world applications, in which only 8 or 10 cores are utilized we will see bigger gains for ARL due to the compute increase of Lion Cove. The lack of HT will compromise MT performance in perfectly multithreaded applications.

Intel will most likely promote ARL based on real world applications that show nice gains over RPL and avoid Cinebench MT and such. At least until the 8+32 refresh comes out and resolves the lack of HT issue.

The early performance projection slide from igorslab doesn't seem that wrong what Exist and some others implied, in this case MT gains should be higher over Raptor Lake refresh. Geekbench ST 9-13% and MT 16-20% in this.
 

AMDK11

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Jul 15, 2019
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This prediction says absolutely nothing about Arrowlake's clock speed and is only about projected performance at 250W.
 

mikk

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This prediction says absolutely nothing about Arrowlake's clock speed and is only about projected performance at 250W.

I refer to the performance prejection from some people, they say it's roughly what we get. And the new leak says 5.5 Ghz with maybe less than 12% ST improvement which is in the same ballpark as the projected 9-13% from the early Intel projection. Maybe they projected with 5.5 Ghz from the beginning.
 
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AMDK11

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This is still just speculation. We have absolutely no hard data on the clock speed this prediction refers to.

It looks as if Intel just wanted to show the increase in performance with the same energy consumption.
 

Ghostsonplanets

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Joe NYC

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I'm not sure where to share this, but ooof


Class Action against Intel due to misleading Intel Foundry reports and claims.

I don't like class action lawsuits in general, but there are some good points in this one.

There is a line between cheerleading and misleading investors, and Gelsinger has been at or beyond that line.
 

Hulk

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It's a N3B node for the highest clocked parts. 20A 6+8 will be clocked lower.




The early performance projection slide from igorslab doesn't seem that wrong what Exist and some others implied, in this case MT gains should be higher over Raptor Lake refresh. Geekbench ST 9-13% and MT 16-20% in this.
It will be a magic trick if they can do 16% better MT for 8+16 RPL to 8+16 ARL with no HT in ARL.
 
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DrMrLordX

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I don't like class action lawsuits in general, but there are some good points in this one.

There is a line between cheerleading and misleading investors, and Gelsinger has been at or beyond that line.

The bigger issue is that Intel is pouring a ton of money into their fabs and foundry service model without having major revenue sources from the design side of the company to back it up. They're bleeding money on poor-to-non-existent margins, especially in DCG. The only thing this class action suit is really saying is "we see all this money being spent on fabs with nothing short term to show for it, and we would rather that money be spent on buybacks or dividends".

All that aside, I think maybe this topic is better situated in the cutting edge fab thread since it's an IFS issue more than a Meteor/Arrow Lake topic.
 

Hulk

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HT doesn't boost performance much on RPL and Skymont is a big jump.
HT performance boost on MT apps/benches like Blender/Cinebench/Handbrake (some settings) is significant. Like 25%. Granted those are a niche software as I noted previously but the "old" scores from RPL are still there for Intel to deal with.

Let me be specific:
Doesn't have to be a magic trick for you if Intel ARL 8+16 beats RPL 8+16 in Cinebench MT, but it will be for me! The metric is for ARL to achieve 40,000 CB R23 MT points. If that happens I will be impressed considering the clock speed regression, lack of SMT, and tile latency.
 

Saylick

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The bigger issue is that Intel is pouring a ton of money into their fabs and foundry service model without having major revenue sources from the design side of the company to back it up. They're bleeding money on poor-to-non-existent margins, especially in DCG. The only thing this class action suit is really saying is "we see all this money being spent on fabs with nothing short term to show for it, and we would rather that money be spent on buybacks or dividends".

All that aside, I think maybe this topic is better situated in the cutting edge fab thread since it's an IFS issue more than a Meteor/Arrow Lake topic.
Eh, as long as Uncle Sam is paying them gubmint subsidies, Intel will have the liquidity to keep spending on their Foundry.

HT performance boost on MT apps/benches like Blender/Cinebench/Handbrake (some settings) is significant. Like 25%. Granted those are a niche software as I noted previously but the "old" scores from RPL are still there for Intel to deal with.

Let me be specific:
Doesn't have to be a magic trick for you if Intel ARL 8+16 beats RPL 8+16 in Cinebench MT, but it will be for me! The metric is for ARL to achieve 40,000 CB R23 MT points. If that happens I will be impressed considering the clock speed regression, lack of SMT, and tile latency.
It would be a surprise to me if ARL can’t achieve 40,000 MT score in CB23. Skymont cores are supposed to be significantly improved, which ought to make up for the lack of SMT in the P cores. I also don’t expect Skymont to have a clock regression. The P cores themselves are lackluster, but even they are supposed to have a low-teens improvement. If we consider that RPL already achieves scores in the upper 30,000 range, a 10% improvement in ARL should be the minimum gain imo. Lastly, CB is not sensitive to latency if I remember correctly, so a tiled arch shouldn’t degrade the MT score.
 

Philste

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Oct 13, 2023
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considering the clock speed regression
What clock speed regression? We are talking about MT here. 13900K runs at 4.9-5.2GHz in MT. With all the stuff currently happening we should look at the lower range, so 4.9GHz for baseline 253W profile. ARL can hit those clocks in MT as well.
 

Kepler_L2

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HT performance boost on MT apps/benches like Blender/Cinebench/Handbrake (some settings) is significant. Like 25%. Granted those are a niche software as I noted previously but the "old" scores from RPL are still there for Intel to deal with.

Let me be specific:
Doesn't have to be a magic trick for you if Intel ARL 8+16 beats RPL 8+16 in Cinebench MT, but it will be for me! The metric is for ARL to achieve 40,000 CB R23 MT points. If that happens I will be impressed considering the clock speed regression, lack of SMT, and tile latency.
It's definitely not 25% boost on Intel CPUs. More like 10-15% at best.
 

uzzi38

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What clock speed regression? We are talking about MT here. 13900K runs at 4.9-5.2GHz in MT. With all the stuff currently happening we should look at the lower range, so 4.9GHz for baseline 253W profile. ARL can hit those clocks in MT as well.
I don't think anything is known about ARL's MT clocks yet. Considering these days Intel achieves as high ST clocks as it does thanks to TB3.0 and TVB, I wouldn't expect ARL to achieve the same ST clocks as MT clocks unless they cut these features entirely.

Even as a best case scenario I'd expect at minimum a ~200MHz clock deficit vs ST boost. By comparison, the 14900KS sees a ~400MHz boost between regular ST boost and TVB boost on the preferred core. MT boost will inevitably see a larger difference to ST clocks again.
 

Hulk

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What clock speed regression? We are talking about MT here. 13900K runs at 4.9-5.2GHz in MT. With all the stuff currently happening we should look at the lower range, so 4.9GHz for baseline 253W profile. ARL can hit those clocks in MT as well.
Incorrect. 13900K runs 5.5GHz stock in MT.

Furthermore it is customary to compare a new generation to the last generation, not two generations ago. 14900K will boost to 5.7GHz in stock form. As I wrote, ARL has a lot of ground to make up.

14900KS will actually boost to 5.9GHz all-core but we'll keep the ARL comparison to 14900K.
 
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Hulk

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It's definitely not 25% boost on Intel CPUs. More like 10-15% at best.
Incorrect. RPL will do 30% or more MT increase with HT in Cinebench MT.

Raptor Lake - 10/20/2022
13900K40760
Raptor Cove P Cores85.822563895.522528281651231.6%
Gracemont E Cores164.311402654.3182321140265
13600K1940(Actual)23365(Actual)
Raptor Cove P Cores65.119433815.115300255050031.2%
Gracemont E Cores83.910102593.980811010259
23381
 
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