I agree with that. We will be lucky to see 4Ghz chips ship at stock.
However, with the increased multipler for IB and lower power requirements, I expect to see some 6Ghz overclocks.
I was thinking 6GHz for top-end IB OC's as well...then I realized that in Dec 2006 I had my 65nm QX6700 quad at 4GHz, and now we are nearly in Dec 2011 and my 32nm 2600K quad tops out at 5GHz (I'm talking stable OC's), although we really should count that as Dec 2010 since the chips were nearly out back then an equally capable for OC'ing.
So that's 4yrs, 3 process nodes later, and 5 microarchitecture revisions...and a gain of 1GHz in the top-end clocks.
So yeah, 6GHz seems like "irrational exuberance" at this time for IB. If history is any indicator, we shouldn't be expecting 6GHz capability for 24/7 OC's until ~2015 on 14nm process tech (rockwell?).