Originally posted by: EagleKeeper
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: EagleKeeper
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: yllus
I'd agree that the insurgency is fundamentally flawed.
Does that mean it's doomed? If so, would you care to predict a time when the insurgency will gone?
1) As soon as Iraq can control it's borders
2) External influences realize that their support will be determiental to their own health.
ie. Those that are aiding terror should be treated as terrorists.
Remove those two items and anything home grown will starve on the vine.
Can you give a testable time or time-range?
Regretfully no.
Item #1 is dependent on how well the Iraqi forces can be trained and deployed.
Item #2 will take political courage to back up statements made after 9/11. As supporters are identified, they should be provided one chance to recant. No recanting or slippage will mean they will be targetted for action juut like we have done against some (not enough) terror sponsors. The action will also need to be overt to get the message out.
The implimentation of item #2 will piss of some, however, when we went after Saddam, Libya wised up. The same will end up happening when we go after the other sponsors.
#2 could be accomplished with 6-12 months; We have the technology and know how; just need the political will to actually do it. Condemnation will happen - it happened with Iraq. The main thing is to generate hard evidence of support that is verifiable before action is taken. Even the implication of support should make some think twice if we follow Teddy R's slogan of speak softly and carry a big bat.
Using Syria as an example, they have the ability to close their borders and remove terror parties that reside openly within that country. They can be provided with an ultimatim of for or against us. Anyone after 6 months caught coming across the border or having ties to Syria will count as strike #1. Strike #2 would be an attack against known Syrian known locations where such people are congregating. No third chances allowed.
Using Saudi as an example, if the radical clerics continue to spew forth hatred and the cleric is tied to the #2 item above, then that cleric becomes a target. If the government will not crack down, then we will do so. The government may be in fear of being overthrown, however, supporting of terror forces the issue.
Surgical strikes at the mouth pieces of the middle/upper echolons will have an impact.
At this point, one does not need to go after governments, just the people that are supporting the insurgents.
Removing governments becomes a later issue if needed, however, most sponsors are not usually willing to sacrifice themselve for others outside their own powerbase. A sponsor government is built on mouthpieces, remove those mouthpieces and support will fade.
The main thrust is that provide a deadline to terror sponsors/supporters, back up that deadline with action if required and continue to repeat such cycle as needed.
A war was delared against terror, so fight that war on our terms, not theirs.