Immigration, Explained with Gumballs

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agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
12,203
1,243
86
I love the ignore feature on this site so I can weed through the low intellect posters who resort to personal attacks on anyone who might hold a different opinion than themselves.:D

Rather low intellect to pretend to ignore someone you just replied to, but then that's just what degenerates/conservatives do.


Lies

I bet some of these were immigrants:

t4WjMsF.jpg

Similarly low intellect to pretend that you/peers consider mexicans white, but then that's also just what degenerates/conservatives do.
 

Chiropteran

Diamond Member
Nov 14, 2003
9,811
110
106
Perhaps it's been a mistake for us to let the greediest people on the planet direct the economy for the last 35 years or so. I mean, if we don't like it we have to acknowledge that it's just the way they made it.


If you think Donald Trump isn't one of those guys along with his whole cabinet o' billionaires then it seems obvious that you need to re-evaluate.

How do you come to that conclusion? It just doesn't follow from your previous comment.

Last 35 years we had politicians making the decisions. Now we have Trump. If you think it's dumb idea to have the greedy politicians making the calls, then maybe you should actually give Trump a chance.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
26,168
15,590
136
I agree with this video. We cant help the rest of the world by opening our borders, we have to help them where they are.
I would gladly pay another 10% taxation towards elimination of dictatorships and developing foreign countries. We are one planet.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
You talk to me about pseudo-science and your great debunking source is a social justice warrior site.

*sigh*

This is like asking for men's rights from Jessica Valenti.

Will your next link be Salon or HuffPo?
Nah, it's Lynn's own words "Blacks are inferior". Pretty straight forward haha.

But I guess go ahead and keep citing Infowars equivalents, it's decent entertainment. Predictable you'd wimp out on why no serious research institutions take your 'scientific' racism seriously (because they're research dead-ends).
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
Last 35 years we had politicians making the decisions. Now we have Trump. If you think it's dumb idea to have the greedy politicians making the calls, then maybe you should actually give Trump a chance.
lol, hey guys, we've solved the issue of politicians making decisions independent of influential, wealthy billionaires for the last 35 years. Trump never donated to influence a politician, nothing to see here. :tearsofjoy:
 

HamburgerBoy

Lifer
Apr 12, 2004
27,111
318
126
I think you just proved his point.

lol, you seemingly agreed with my point in the original thread. Do you now admit that it is not a strawman?

See us way, way down at 176? We are no where near the population density level where we have to even begin to worry. Get out of the city for a minute.

WOW a list of population density, that tells everything. Everyone knows that the ability to sustain a society is defined by the number of square miles within its borders. Brilliant.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/forbrn.nr0.htm

Considering the fact that immigrants are more likely than native born to be employed and on average employ more people and pay more taxes than native born, I'd say you have it exactly backwards. They're carrying your racist, bigoted ass. Not the other way around.

At this point, you couldn't be anymore wrong, or owned, or stupid. I'd stop while I'm behind if I were you.

Seriously.

In case you didn't know, this is a result of our extremely strict immigration policy. Non-European immigrants in Europe have a roughly 50% unemployment rate after living there for 5 years.
 

theeedude

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,197
126
Wrong.

If there are 10 jobs and 10 Americans, it's all fine and good. If there are 10 jobs, 10 Americans, and 20 immigrants all trying to get the same jobs, a lot of people are going to be unemployed.

Falied zero sum game mentality that has gotten Trumpland to where it is.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
Falied zero sum game mentality that has gotten Trumpland to where it is.
Chirpy commenting on economics is cute. The fact that he really believes 30 people chasing 10 jobs somehow results in 20 unemployed people is pretty hilariously misinformed, as Econ 101 shows the demand for work and goods leads to many of the remaining 20 creating their own jobs, which itself has positive self-perpetuating positive impact on job creation. In fact, there is literally not one Western industrialized country in the world where there are triple the amount of people looking for work than actual jobs available, so the argument is lame/specious anyway.
 

HamburgerBoy

Lifer
Apr 12, 2004
27,111
318
126
Chirpy commenting on economics is cute. The fact that he really believes 30 people chasing 10 jobs somehow results in 20 unemployed people is pretty hilariously misinformed, as Econ 101 shows the demand for work and goods leads to many of the remaining 20 creating their own jobs, which itself has positive self-perpetuating positive impact on job creation. In fact, there is literally not one Western industrialized country in the world where there are triple the amount of people looking for work than actual jobs available, so the argument is lame/specious anyway.

Do you have a source on people creating their own jobs when demand for work is high? I mean, that would be the intuitive idea but not necessarily true in the real world where most property is owned (or being traded by those already possessing significant wealth), or where finding the resources/means of production is difficult due to preexisting competition, or where receiving a permit to create a business can cost the equivalent of years' of salaries. The vast majority of workers work for someone else, not themselves afaik, outside of probably tribal and agrarian societies (still debatable since hierarchies of economic power still persist).

But I look forward to a future where solar energy is extremely cheap and genetically modified hyper-fruit can be grown in a few square meters to meet a person's needs.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
Do you have a source on people creating their own jobs when demand for work is high? I mean, that would be the intuitive idea but not necessarily true in the real world where most property is owned (or being traded by those already possessing significant wealth), or where finding the resources/means of production is difficult due to preexisting competition, or where receiving a permit to create a business can cost the equivalent of years' of salaries. The vast majority of workers work for someone else, not themselves afaik, outside of probably tribal and agrarian societies (still debatable since hierarchies of economic power still persist).

But I look forward to a future where solar energy is extremely cheap and genetically modified hyper-fruit can be grown in a few square meters to meet a person's needs.
My source is actual, real world countries; almost every Western industrialized society has "U6"-equivalent unemployment rates in the single digits and "U5"-equivalent (discouraged and marginally attached/part-timers) unemployment rates in the very low double digits (sub 15%-20%). There isn't a single Western industrialized country with triple the amount of people looking for work than jobs available of course, and certainly none that could finger immigrants as the cause. All of which makes intuitive sense given that anyone healthy can make money working for themselves with very little skill. We could go through all the professions if you like.
 

HamburgerBoy

Lifer
Apr 12, 2004
27,111
318
126
My source is actual, real world countries; almost every Western industrialized society has "U6"-equivalent unemployment rates in the single digits and "U5"-equivalent (discouraged and marginally attached/part-timers) unemployment rates in the very low double digits (sub 15%-20%). There isn't a single Western industrialized country with triple the amount of people looking for work than jobs available of course, and certainly none that could finger immigrants as the cause. All of which makes intuitive sense given that anyone healthy can make money working for themselves with very little skill. We could go through all the professions if you like.

That would seem to assume that all Westernized nations have unrestricted immigration/availability of labor, which is obviously false. You can't assume that a free labor market automatically reduces unemployment when free labor markets don't exist, outside of cases like Hispanic illegal immigration to America where workers and employers don't need to comply to the same labor laws. Even the most liberal nations put some caps of immigration. Is there a website that easily shows the U6-equivalents of various nations? Discouraged workers plus part-time workers looking for full-time work double the standard employment rate. Just want to make sure I'm working with consistent numbers as you before continuing on this point.

Name just three professions that you see as easy to be successfully self-employed in. Outside of freelance programming/web design/etc (which require immigrants of a certain skill level), hard for me to think of examples.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
How do you come to that conclusion? It just doesn't follow from your previous comment.

Last 35 years we had politicians making the decisions. Now we have Trump. If you think it's dumb idea to have the greedy politicians making the calls, then maybe you should actually give Trump a chance.

Yes, I'm sure that a billionaire who boasts about not paying taxes & the richest cabinet in History will really look out for the little guy. They'll accomplish that with the old trickle down economic theory that's guided us for 35 years, putting us right where we are today. But it'll only work if we cut govt benefits for the weakest among us so that they can get tax breaks & relief from the oh so oppressive regulations they have to deal with. Then they can really unleash the power of Capitalism, kinda like the Romans unleashing lions on the Christians in the Coliseum...
 
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First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
That would seem to assume that all Westernized nations have unrestricted immigration/availability of labor, which is obviously false.

Huh? Basically all of Europe has a free flow of inside-the-EU immigrants with almost no checks/restriction. Refugees are the exception but they've been bombarded and their U5/U6 numbers are simply nowhere near dire despite their influx and inter-EU emigration.

You can't assume that a free labor market automatically reduces unemployment when free labor markets don't exist, outside of cases like Hispanic illegal immigration to America where workers and employers don't need to comply to the same labor laws. Even the most liberal nations put some caps of immigration. Is there a website that easily shows the U6-equivalents of various nations? Discouraged workers plus part-time workers looking for full-time work double the standard employment rate. Just want to make sure I'm working with consistent numbers as you before continuing on this point.

Well no, free labor markets do indeed reduce unemployment under the right conditions (ease with which to form business/corps), such as in most Western industrialized countries. It's not controversial or difficult to understand. The U.S. has a cap on immigration, and always has for very good reason, btw, as virtually no one argues unrestricted numbers of people should come in entirely unchecked, as it's just common sense not to flood cities and towns at breakneck speed.

Name just three professions that you see as easy to be successfully self-employed in. Outside of freelance programming/web design/etc (which require immigrants of a certain skill level), hard for me to think of examples.

Come on. I can literally name 7 without blinking; valet parking attendants, agriculture, housekeepers, caretakers, some construction, bellhops, taxi drivers.
 

HamburgerBoy

Lifer
Apr 12, 2004
27,111
318
126
Huh? Basically all of Europe has a free flow of inside-the-EU immigrants with almost no checks/restriction. Refugees are the exception but they've been bombarded and their U5/U6 numbers are simply nowhere near dire despite their influx and inter-EU emigration.

EU immigrants are not the same thing as immigrants from the Middle East or Africa. For one, they're not as skilled or employable in general. For unskilled EU immigrants are still able to work basically analogously to Mexicans in the USA, they move to areas with high standards of living where poor jobs still pay reasonably well, and then send a lot of the money back home. You can hear the British complaining about Poles similarly to how Americans complain about Mexicans. It's a larger, more complex system of immigration, but when it comes to people outside of the EU, it's still far from a free for all.

Well no, free labor markets do indeed reduce unemployment under the right conditions (ease with which to form business/corps), such as in most Western industrialized countries. It's not controversial or difficult to understand. The U.S. has a cap on immigration, and always has for very good reason, btw, as virtually no one argues unrestricted numbers of people should come in entirely unchecked, as it's just common sense not to flood cities and towns at breakneck speed.

I agree with all of this, though as I pointed out on page 3, we had a recent thread where people do appear to support massive resettlement for those at risk of losing lives, at any cost. Others here push the idea that America needs perpetual population growth or the country (read: the country's ability to support retirement benefits) will flatline. Immigration is great, but we should strive to take only the most capable ones rather than pull a France and have 50% unemployment rates for refugees.

Come on. I can literally name 7 without blinking; valet parking attendants, agriculture, housekeepers, caretakers, some construction, bellhops, taxi drivers.

Agriculture employment has been on the decline for several decades (correction: several centuries if Google is doing me right), so unless you find a niche selling some hippie organic food within your local commune, not much work there. Valet parking attendants and bellhops generally work through agencies or their respective hotels afaik, and even if they don't, those are extremely limited undergrad-temp-job-tier jobs. Caretakers perhaps, from what I've read it seems to be a popular way of keeping refugees busy in Europe, but those likely aren't private jobs. Only a tiny percentage of the population can afford legal housekeepers. Taxi drivers almost always work for another employer because of the cost of getting a permit. Construction employment is going to be very sensitive to business cycles, ideal for free labor markets but not necessarily closed ones with long-term immigrants, though in a boom cycle I'll admit it would probably be a good type of starting job for immigrants.
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
29,862
30,649
136
Valet parking attendants and bellhops generally work through agencies or their respective hotels afaik, and even if they don't, those are extremely limited undergrad-temp-job-tier jobs.

Actually the guys who work the front drive of a good hotel make some serious money. Its why you see people in the same position year after year. Its a job that doesn't require much in the way of education that someone with good people skills in a decent size city can make six figures at it.
 

Blue_Max

Diamond Member
Jul 7, 2011
4,223
153
106
Actually the guys who work the front drive of a good hotel make some serious money. Its why you see people in the same position year after year. Its a job that doesn't require much in the way of education that someone with good people skills in a decent size city can make six figures at it.

Which is why you can be guaranteed it's not just "some guy" running an independent operation parking their patrons' vehicles. It'll be a hotel employee.
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
29,862
30,649
136
Which is why you can be guaranteed it's not just "some guy" running an independent operation parking their patrons' vehicles. It'll be a hotel employee.

Duh.....

Just don't downplay the earning possibilities of those positions.
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
33,512
17,016
136
lol, you seemingly agreed with my point in the original thread. Do you now admit that it is not a strawman?



WOW a list of population density, that tells everything. Everyone knows that the ability to sustain a society is defined by the number of square miles within its borders. Brilliant.



In case you didn't know, this is a result of our extremely strict immigration policy. Non-European immigrants in Europe have a roughly 50% unemployment rate after living there for 5 years.

You seem to be stuck on stupid this week.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
EU immigrants are not the same thing as immigrants from the Middle East or Africa. For one, they're not as skilled or employable in general. For unskilled EU immigrants are still able to work basically analogously to Mexicans in the USA, they move to areas with high standards of living where poor jobs still pay reasonably well, and then send a lot of the money back home. You can hear the British complaining about Poles similarly to how Americans complain about Mexicans. It's a larger, more complex system of immigration, but when it comes to people outside of the EU, it's still far from a free for all.

The EU is full of countries with different currencies, customs, languages, and of course sovereign borders. To pretend like they are 'different' from Africa or ME is just a xenophobic argument, makes no sense. The degree of difference makes no actual difference to the argument that one country (say, Germany) seeing a giant influx of inter-EU and outside-EU immigrants has not materially impacted their unemployment in a significant way. That's just a fact that seems to run entirely counter to your notion that immigrant influxes are correlated with unemployment (or whatever it is you're trying to argument if it's not that).

I agree with all of this, though as I pointed out on page 3, we had a recent thread where people do appear to support massive resettlement for those at risk of losing lives, at any cost. Others here push the idea that America needs perpetual population growth or the country (read: the country's ability to support retirement benefits) will flatline. Immigration is great, but we should strive to take only the most capable ones rather than pull a France and have 50% unemployment rates for refugees.

For one, like I said, no one argues for immigration at all costs and those arguing for resettlement (for those at risk of losing their lives) at all costs are a minority opinion. It's like arguing with 9/11 Truthers; yes there are some of these conspiratorial folk, but not nearly that many to matter enough to think about. Two, refugees by definition don't have permanent/reliable housing in a new strange country, so asking them to be employed immediately is of course impractical nonsense. That's what temporary safety nets are for.

Agriculture employment has been on the decline for several decades (correction: several centuries if Google is doing me right), so unless you find a niche selling some hippie organic food within your local commune, not much work there.

Huh? There are literally tens of thousands of immigrants employed in agriculture, most of them in CA. I'm not sure what makes you think technological change in ag takes away from my point that there are tons of low skilled jobs immigrants can do (and lots of high skilled too of course) that many native-borns will not, making Chirpy's point about immigrants taking jobs just nonsense.

Valet parking attendants and bellhops generally work through agencies or their respective hotels afaik, and even if they don't, those are extremely limited undergrad-temp-job-tier jobs.

They are not limited, they are in every urban center and many of them are started by immigrants.

Caretakers perhaps, from what I've read it seems to be a popular way of keeping refugees busy in Europe, but those likely aren't private jobs. Only a tiny percentage of the population can afford legal housekeepers.

Wrong, on all counts. I'm not sure what reality you live in, but CA just by itself employs tens of thousands of housekeepers and caretakers. It is not a "tiny" percentage by any sane definition.

Taxi drivers almost always work for another employer because of the cost of getting a permit.

Oy.

1. Uber
2. Lyft.
3. Etc.

Construction employment is going to be very sensitive to business cycles, ideal for free labor markets but not necessarily closed ones with long-term immigrants, though in a boom cycle I'll admit it would probably be a good type of starting job for immigrants.

I can't for the life of me understand what your point is here by downplaying the efficacy of these jobs that, in total, number in the millions. The fact that some industries are affected by technological change or just general competition does not take away from the core point; there is not a shortage of jobs due to immigrants, it's actually quite the opposite, their labor is badly needed due to shortages. Japan is a prime example of a xenophobic country that every economist can tell you would greatly benefit from immigrants to improve their labor pool, as there is a dramatic imbalance from their people/labor shortage.
 

alcoholbob

Diamond Member
May 24, 2005
6,387
465
126
I agree with this video. We cant help the rest of the world by opening our borders, we have to help them where they are.
I would gladly pay another 10% taxation towards elimination of dictatorships and developing foreign countries. We are one planet.

We aren't helping though. We are causing the vast amount of migration in the world. The vast number of refugees coming from Southern and Central America coming through the southern border are a direct result of the U.S. war on drugs. Not just the demand side by making it illegal in the U.S., but also the financial and military assistance we give to regimes in South/Central America to enforce our puritan "values" on drugs on South American regimes.

The vast number of refugees coming into Europe is directly caused by taking down Gaddafi and destabilizing Libya. While most of the media focus is on the war in Syria, in fact most Syrians have relocated to Jordan and Turkey. Most of the migration are actually migrants from North and Sub-Saharan African that are travelling through the open border of Libya, and have nothing to do with the war in Syria.

Either way, the direct cause is the U.S. You gladly paying more taxes is just going to be more money to funnel to the military industrial complex who is going to use that money to drum up more intervention and subverting and destabilizing foreign countries. If you want to help, then we need to cut military, CIA, and state department, and focus our diplomatic efforts through the U.N.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
26,168
15,590
136
We aren't helping though. We are causing the vast amount of migration in the world. The vast number of refugees coming from Southern and Central America coming through the southern border are a direct result of the U.S. war on drugs. Not just the demand side by making it illegal in the U.S., but also the financial and military assistance we give to regimes in South/Central America to enforce our puritan "values" on drugs on South American regimes.

The vast number of refugees coming into Europe is directly caused by taking down Gaddafi and destabilizing Libya. While most of the media focus is on the war in Syria, in fact most Syrians have relocated to Jordan and Turkey. Most of the migration are actually migrants from North and Sub-Saharan African that are travelling through the open border of Libya, and have nothing to do with the war in Syria.

Either way, the direct cause is the U.S. You gladly paying more taxes is just going to be more money to funnel to the military industrial complex who is going to use that money to drum up more intervention and subverting and destabilizing foreign countries. If you want to help, then we need to cut military, CIA, and state department, and focus our diplomatic efforts through the U.N.

Time and time again we are 'ing up the endgame. Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya.. once the direct conflict is over is when the real work begins, rebuilding and creating infrastructure for the population. We always gimp out on the last part. The mantra, propaganda, we told ourselves as well as the Iraqi with "Hearts and Minds" is what it is all about.. but you have to be willing to pay the bill.. It is this bill I have in mind when I say "10%", cause we(allies) allways gimp out.
I dont think cutting military and intelligence spending is an option, unfortunately, other players are on the rise and we have to stay vigilant.
 

HamburgerBoy

Lifer
Apr 12, 2004
27,111
318
126
The EU is full of countries with different currencies, customs, languages, and of course sovereign borders. To pretend like they are 'different' from Africa or ME is just a xenophobic argument, makes no sense. The degree of difference makes no actual difference to the argument that one country (say, Germany) seeing a giant influx of inter-EU and outside-EU immigrants has not materially impacted their unemployment in a significant way. That's just a fact that seems to run entirely counter to your notion that immigrant influxes are correlated with unemployment (or whatever it is you're trying to argument if it's not that).

Do you really think Germany and Syria have as much in common with each other as Germany and Estonia or Germany and Spain? But whatevs, this ignores the more important distinction which is that the EU operates as a two-way street. A Pole can work in the UK and make better money, a Brit can buy a vacation home in Poland for cheap. Anyone in a third-world country can come to America and improve their life dramatically, no Americans can try the same buying up dirt-cheap assets in Africa.

The difference between immigrants inside of and outside of the EU makes all the difference. EU citizens and nationals generally have very similar employment rates.That's intuitive since they always have the freedom to move back home or to another country when they can't find work. Non-EU citizens are always significantly less employed, and the gap is particularly strong in the most industrialized nations.

Though I will admit that Germany is something of a model nation. They've gradually incorporated Turks into their workforce for decades now, have an incredibly low unemployment rate and highly productive/industrial economy, and they've managed to avoid the kind of nationalism you see rising in nearly every other nation in Europe. I'd personally credit a superior brand of socialism within their nation for keeping them above most of the peers (plus their general position/power in the EU which makes them exporter-in-chief to all the poorer nations), and blame other nations for far less efficient governments that make work not worth it.

For one, like I said, no one argues for immigration at all costs and those arguing for resettlement (for those at risk of losing their lives) at all costs are a minority opinion. It's like arguing with 9/11 Truthers; yes there are some of these conspiratorial folk, but not nearly that many to matter enough to think about. Two, refugees by definition don't have permanent/reliable housing in a new strange country, so asking them to be employed immediately is of course impractical nonsense. That's what temporary safety nets are for.

There are some that have said so on this forum who are posting in this very thread.

If it was just immediate unemployment I'd agree, but it persists for many years. Even non-ethnic French (e.g. Algerians) face far worse employment prospects, even as second generation citizens, approximately double the unemployment rate (which is already quite high to begin with).

Huh? There are literally tens of thousands of immigrants employed in agriculture, most of them in CA. I'm not sure what makes you think technological change in ag takes away from my point that there are tons of low skilled jobs immigrants can do (and lots of high skilled too of course) that many native-borns will not, making Chirpy's point about immigrants taking jobs just nonsense.

Who work sub-minimum wage, or more than 40 hours a week, or without employers having to file as much paperwork, or without paying a federal income tax (withholdings possibly aside), or any other number of things that make them easier to employ and easier to make a living.

They are not limited, they are in every urban center and many of them are started by immigrants.

The BLS apparently says there are 40k valets in the USA. There are only so many openings for jobs built around driving the cars of middle and upper-class travelers/vacationers a couple hundred feet into a parking garage.

Wrong, on all counts. I'm not sure what reality you live in, but CA just by itself employs tens of thousands of housekeepers and caretakers. It is not a "tiny" percentage by any sane definition.

Correct, illegals. Joe making $100k/yr can afford to pay Maria and her daughter to dust the house for $20 and a few hours' work and come out feeling like a powerful man with servants, he probably can't afford to pay them at American prices. For that, Joe needs to be a 1%er. Californians live in a bubble, and a lot of that money goes back to family in Mexico.

Oy.

1. Uber
2. Lyft.
3. Etc.

OK, got me there. ;)

I can't for the life of me understand what your point is here by downplaying the efficacy of these jobs that, in total, number in the millions. The fact that some industries are affected by technological change or just general competition does not take away from the core point; there is not a shortage of jobs due to immigrants, it's actually quite the opposite, their labor is badly needed due to shortages. Japan is a prime example of a xenophobic country that every economist can tell you would greatly benefit from immigrants to improve their labor pool, as there is a dramatic imbalance from their people/labor shortage.

Japan is another extreme, wouldn't want to emulate them either.