yllus
Elite Member & Lifer
Not to be a downer to my friends on the liberal left (of which I am a member), but I'd suspect that Trump's "extreme vetting" policy is extremely popular with the general public. You won't hear as much publicly as most know they'll be called xenophobic or a racist or stupid for doing so (a problem in itself), but it's almost assuredly a big win.
I think that in a lot of people's minds, letting tens of thousands of displaced and otherwise needy refugees into their country equates to tens of thousands of jobs potentially being taken away from them and/or tens of thousands of new applicants for welfare. The more complex truth of immigrants and refugees being a hugely positive gain to a national economy and the economy not being a zero-sum game is harder to explain, and thus has less emotional heft that the simple math that first pops into most people's heads.
When it comes time to convince Trump voters to this time vote against him, talking about how America needs to be a moral actor and do its part in helping the displaced of the world is the exact wrong strategy. Appealing to morality will actually only strengthen their resolve that Trump is the right way to go ("if those rich coastal liberals want to take in refugees, let 'em all move to NYC"). That's not to say that Trump voters aren't moral, but America First is very appealing - their fiscal and security concerns first, for the first time in a long time.
Convincing people that his actions actually hurt the fiscal and security outlook of America is the only thing that will defeat him in 2020. And he will be there in 2020; I wouldn't hold my breath on a corruption or procedural issue taking him out of office before that because that means getting Republicans to take part.
I think that in a lot of people's minds, letting tens of thousands of displaced and otherwise needy refugees into their country equates to tens of thousands of jobs potentially being taken away from them and/or tens of thousands of new applicants for welfare. The more complex truth of immigrants and refugees being a hugely positive gain to a national economy and the economy not being a zero-sum game is harder to explain, and thus has less emotional heft that the simple math that first pops into most people's heads.
When it comes time to convince Trump voters to this time vote against him, talking about how America needs to be a moral actor and do its part in helping the displaced of the world is the exact wrong strategy. Appealing to morality will actually only strengthen their resolve that Trump is the right way to go ("if those rich coastal liberals want to take in refugees, let 'em all move to NYC"). That's not to say that Trump voters aren't moral, but America First is very appealing - their fiscal and security concerns first, for the first time in a long time.
Convincing people that his actions actually hurt the fiscal and security outlook of America is the only thing that will defeat him in 2020. And he will be there in 2020; I wouldn't hold my breath on a corruption or procedural issue taking him out of office before that because that means getting Republicans to take part.
