Hurricane Katia!

[IronWing]

I think after the recent events, Kahdaffi would have a hard time riding in on a crack whore, let alone a krakken...

See above. We have proof now. Thanks xanis!

 

[zinfamous]

 

[Arcadio]

Recent forum threads and posts remind me of the fact that most people consider themselves above average....

 

[Balt]

Turn north and not hit anything in the United States. Weather Underground has some models already http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201192_model.html .

 

[thescreensavers]

Turn north and not hit anything in the United States. Weather Underground has some models already http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201192_model.html .

yea... its still anyones guess

 

[LOL_Wut_Axel]

Turn north and not hit anything in the United States. Weather Underground has some models already http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201192_model.html .

Too many factors to take into account still. What if a high-pressure area prevents it from going north?

 

[Balt]

Too many factors to take into account still. What if a high-pressure area prevents it from going north?

Yeah I know I'm just purely speculating. Just seems like last year and mostly this year that seems to be the pattern, though. Obviously Irene didn't turn north as quickly as the others.

 

[Soundmanred]

Recent forum threads and posts remind me of the fact that most people consider themselves above average....

Insecurity always has been your M.O., why are you surprised?

 

[fjmeat]

it's gonna hit nawlins.

 

[Soundmanred]

it's gonna hit nawlins.

That would be horrible!
I hope the instruments will be ok...

 

[sao123]

well since im going to the bahamas immediately after labor day... most likely its going to hit there...

vacationus interruptus.

 

[CZroe]

I thought that many hurricanes never make landfall while still hurricanes, so we seem to be making a big assumption here.

 

[AnonymouseUser]

Well I can't say where it will hit, but I can say where it won't make a direct hit:

Cuba

 

[CZroe]

I thought that many hurricanes never make landfall while still hurricanes, so we seem to be making a big assumption here.

So my answers are null, null.

 

[DrPizza]

What was going to be Katia fizzled

Fizzled? During the course of this evening, the NHC upgraded it from 70% probability to becoming a tropical cyclone to "near 100%."

 

[dmcowen674]

Fizzled? During the course of this evening, the NHC upgraded it from 70% probability to becoming a tropical cyclone to "near 100%."

It's not very organized but is big and pretty far south in the trade winds.

It is the peak time for the Atlantic basin development so have a week for anything to happen.

I'll be in New York for the Labor Day weekend so hopefully if anything blows in it will be after I leave

 

[WelshBloke]

Well I can't say where it will hit, but I can say where it won't make a direct hit:

Cuba

God likes Cigars and rum as well?

 

[GregGreen]

God likes Cigars and rum as well?

And classic American cars.

 

[Linflas]

Well, since so many of you are so much smarter than those who called for evacuations for Irene, let's see how you do on this one.

Where's Hurricane Katia going to hit, and what will be the intensity when it does hit. (My prediction: it'll actually become a hurricane.)

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml (tropical depression #11, not the remnants of tropical depression #10)

Not smarter, just no interest in sensationalizing well known weather events that should be known to anyone that has lived in the areas where hurricanes have been making landfall for the entire recorded history of the western hemisphere. Unless you live on a beach or barrier island subject to storm surge or next to a body of water subject to flash flooding you will likely survive a hurricane with little more than the inconvenience of losing your power for a period of hours to days.

 

[AeroEngy]

Fizzled? During the course of this evening, the NHC upgraded it from 70% probability to becoming a tropical cyclone to "near 100%."

Maybe I fail at using your link ... but I don't even see tropical depression 11 anymore. All I see is Jose and TD 12 ...

TD 12 looks to be shaping up however. I really hope not though since I have a house rented in the outerbanks next week. I don't want to have to cut my vacation short.

 

[DrPizza]

Yep, it's 12; I missed 11 which formed somewhere else and was gone before I saw it. NHC hadn't put a number on 12 yet at the time, but now it's officially 12, 35mph sustained winds, and expected to be named tropical storm Katia tonight. There's some upper level wind sheer which has kept it from organizing better, but that's expected to dissipate within a day or so.

 

[Aharami]

I just hope it doesn't come here. We just had Irene pass directly through us a week ago as a 70MPH TS and we didn't have electricity for two-and-a-half days and we had many of fallen trees and power lines. Classes at the university were cancelled for three days, too, so now we have a lot of work (which I already did in Friday, but still).

/rant

I hope it doesnt either!
<-- scheduled to be in Antigua 9/3 - 9/10 :|

 

[HardcoreRobot]

Here you go:

awesome

 

[shocksyde]

Of course the models start showing a more west solution (as opposed to the storm recurving north before getting to the states). Keep in mind the models for Irene first showed her going into the Gulf of Mexico, then Miami, then SC, then NC, then curving north before the states, then back to NC, then to NC to Long Island.

So, basically, take any info you see in weather models with a grain of salt this far out.

Great resource for seeing what the weather models are up to. It's a discussion board where people post the latest models and discuss their thoughts. It can get kinda snippy at times, but there are smart people on there.

 

[DrPizza]

NHC adjusts track westward.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2011/graphics/al12/loop_5W.shtml
predictions of 918mb pressure