How much longer will Obama last?

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Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: BoberFett
Originally posted by: Vic
Landslide re-election in 2012. Taking bets now.

Yep. The idiot Republicans continue to aim at their feet and pull the trigger. If that bunch of morons would just shut the hell up the Democrats would sink themselves in a few years.

We need a new major party to replace the Republicans. They're tits on a boar.

Could not possibly agree more.
 

Tab

Lifer
Sep 15, 2002
12,145
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Originally posted by: Vic
Landslide re-election in 2012. Taking bets now.

Seconded. There's no way in hell they're going win. Their (the gop) actions over healthcare reform, Obama's education speech and their general criticism is empty and over the top.

They've got nothing.
 

JEDIYoda

Lifer
Jul 13, 2005
33,986
3,321
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Originally posted by: jpeyton
Originally posted by: mizzou
How much longer will Obama last?
His presidency will last through January 2017, after he easily gets re-elected in 2012.

I'm sure he'll have a long lasting career in politics after his presidency as well.

Then after Obama Hillary will be elected............... :)
 

Siddhartha

Lifer
Oct 17, 1999
12,505
3
81
The economy and unemployment will turn around in another six months.

The GOP, to satisfy their base, will have to choose a "we must impose our social values on everyone, cut taxes for the rich, federal government is evil, does not act too smart, and zenophobic" conservative to run for POTUS.

Since this individual can only win the POTUS if the Democrats implode, I see Mr Obama getting re-elected by a comfortable margin in 2012
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
At least through his term. Beyond that at this stage I could not even hazard a guess.
 

Druidx

Platinum Member
Jul 16, 2002
2,971
0
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Way to early to tell, we'll know more when we see how the mid-term elections start to take shape. He promised a lot, which will be stone around his neck if he fails to deliver. I can definately see several ways where his catch phrases of "Hope" and "Change" will be used against him. Much the same way Bush 41 "read my lips. no new taxes" was used so well against him.
 

MrMatt

Banned
Mar 3, 2009
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Originally posted by: Genx87
All things considered his ratings have held up. Once the economy comes around he will be on easy street.

Now his democrat buddies in congress might have a tougher time holding onto their jobs.


?? looks like his approval is on an almost constant downslope.
 

MrMatt

Banned
Mar 3, 2009
3,905
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Originally posted by: Jaskalas
Originally posted by: spidey07
He's done.

Replaced by who, Romney who signed UHC into law in Massachusetts? I guess he could run to the left of Obama by proclaiming he knows how to get the job done cause he's already gotten it done.

It's a myth that we have UHC in MA. It's conscripted healthcare basically. So people that couldn't afford it before are forced to get it. Otherwise there's huge fines and a possible witholding of your exemption on state taxes. Having said that, the state offers a bunch of programs, some through private insurers, for those without private healthcare. Some are relatively cheap, but again, if you couldn't afford it before, it's not like you suddenly could under this plan.
 

b0mbrman

Lifer
Jun 1, 2001
29,470
1
81
Originally posted by: shira
Originally posted by: Vic
Landslide re-election in 2012. Taking bets now.

I agree with you. By the time the next Presidential election rolls around, the economy will be humming and employment will be solid. The bitter-right will of course try their best to deny Obama credit, just as they try to GIVE him credit for all the bad economic news. But rightly or wrongly, Obama WILL get the credit, and his re-election will be by a landslide.

Yeah. You might almost say he's front-loading all the tough bills because people's attention will have shifted by 2012.

But one word: midterms
 

Tequila

Senior member
Oct 24, 1999
882
11
76
Way too early to tell. I think the economy will linger into 2011. Consumer and government debt is very scary. Banks are still failing and 400+ are in trouble. Midterms, I think a lot of dems will lose house seats, but as others have said there is no good republican candiate for pres. If the best republicans can do in 2012 is Sara Palin they are screwed, just like Kerry was an awful candidate for the dems in 2004.

And there are way too many yet to play out factors. China is buying a lot of gold and oil interests. Is this a prelude to dumping the dollar? Maybe..maybe not. Will we be out of Iraq Afghanistan by then? If so will it implode and the Taliban take over again in Afghanistan? Iraq could easily come under another Saddam type dictator by then and we could be back to where we started minus 1.5 trillion+ dollars.

 
Oct 30, 2004
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Originally posted by: Vic
Landslide re-election in 2012. Taking bets now.

You really think so?

The biggest issue is the economy and the American job market. If people are unhappy, they're liable to foolishly vote for an awful Republican candidate in the hopes of change. Perhaps if Obama succeeds at pushing us in the direction of national health care, the increasingly needy populace will feel somewhat satisfied. (Actually, compared to what other presidents have done recently, it would be a monumental accomplishment.)

Obama's problem is that the economy is going to kill him and he isn't going to do anything about it other than to slap on touchy-feely politically correct band-aids. Just like the Republicans, he won't dare try to address foreign outsourcing, foreign work visas (such as the "my job was bombed by the H-1B" and L-1), mass immigration (both legal and illegal), and population explosion. In fact, he favors illegal alien amnesty.
 

Siddhartha

Lifer
Oct 17, 1999
12,505
3
81
Originally posted by: mizzou
I'm thinking that Obama is going to have one heck of a rough 3 years to go. We haven't even gone a year yet and it feels like an eternity.

I really hope people get tired of the insane analysis of every blink he takes. I am on Obama information overload.

I'm sick of people hoarding things I want to buy because they are afraid Obama is going to steal it.

I'm sick of people worrying that the world is going to end because Obama will "change" it.

I'm sick of people not willing to listen to something they don't want to hear. That goes both ways.

When can we wake up as a nation, turn on the TV, and not constantly hear about something Obama is/isn't doing or is going to do?


Never thought i would says this, but I kind of miss the news coverage during Bush's lame duck years.

Pretty much the same people who are piling this crap on Mr Obama piled it on Mr and Ms Clinton.

Is there a positive and effective way for Mr Obama can deal with this crap. I am not advocating that get Nixonian but there has to be something he can do about the crap being put out by the GOP.
 

boomerang

Lifer
Jun 19, 2000
18,883
641
126
Originally posted by: WhipperSnapper
Originally posted by: Vic
Landslide re-election in 2012. Taking bets now.

You really think so?

The biggest issue is the economy and the American job market. If people are unhappy, they're liable to foolishly vote for an awful Republican candidate in the hopes of change. Perhaps if Obama succeeds at pushing us in the direction of national health care, the increasingly needy populace will feel somewhat satisfied. (Actually, compared to what other presidents have done recently, it would be a monumental accomplishment.)

Obama's problem is that the economy is going to kill him and he isn't going to do anything about it other than to slap on touchy-feely politically correct band-aids. Just like the Republicans, he won't dare try to address foreign outsourcing, foreign work visas (such as the "my job was bombed by the H-1B" and L-1), mass immigration (both legal and illegal), and population explosion. In fact, he favors illegal alien amnesty.
You've touched on some of Obama's problems. Here are more from my perspective.

His past. Although he did a very good job at minimizing his radical roots (he got elected after all), his past is right up front in our faces and the majority of Americans don't like it. Before you start poo-pooing that statement, look at the turnout for recent meetings. People who have sat silent and gone with the flow for ages are standing up, attending and getting loud.

Reverend Wright - you attend a Church led by a radical, U.S. hating preacher for 20 years and none of it rubbed off on you? Who's fooled by that?
Bill Ayers - nuff said. The man wrote a book with a dedication to Sirhan Sirhan. He's a radical for whom violence is a means to an end.

His Czars, to touch specifically on a few;
Van Jones - admitted communist, founder of numerous radical organizations, hates white folks. There is a thread about him here.
Mark Lloyd - Admires what Hugo Chavez has done in regards to the media.
John Holdren - his viewpoints are similar to those of Dr. Mengele. Forced abortions, controlling reproduction, etc.
Kass Sunstein - Trees, your dog, whatever, have a right to an attorney.
Ezekial Emanuel - age based valuation on lives.
Carol Browning - one of 14 leaders of Socialist International

These are just a few low points of this man. In addition, he has shown himself to be woefully inadequate for the job at hand. He still thinks he's campaigning. Until recently, he couldn't keep his mouth shut. His complete and utter failure to explain what he actually envisions for health care reform and how he intends to do it, after more attempts at it than I can count on both hands, are telling examples. Giving both Pelosi and Reid the power he did with their radical, and in the case of Pelosi, arguably psychotic viewpoints is telling.

Some of the things I was taught as a kid come to mind in regards to this man.

You're judged by the company you keep. Well, there it is. The man associates with too many people with extreme views. He paints himself as a moderate, but his roots are as radical as they get. The bloom is off the Rose. The man behind the curtain doesn't want to help us get to Kansas, he wants to reform the country into a social model that has already failed many nations.

If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it's a duck. Well kids, Obama is a duck. His true ideals have come to light since his inauguration. His real views are so far left of mainstream America that he's set himself up for complete failure.

2010 elections will go against the Dems and Obama will essentially be neutered. The majority of those in this country are slightly right of center. Polls show this to be true. It should come as no surprise that his ideals and methods are not being embraced. The American people have learned once again why the lesser of the two evils is preferable.

It didn't have to be this way.


 
Oct 30, 2004
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I think Obama will win or lose based on what he actually does or doesn't do while in office. If he leads an economic recovery and succeeds in bringing Americans national health care, then he'll probably get reelected regardless of who he cavorted with in the past. Likewise, if the economy continues to stagnate or worsens and if he fails to make a positive change to the American health care system, then it's very possible that he could lose the next election regardless of who his friends are.

Of course, another 4 years worth of a Republican president would probably lead to a victory for the Democrats in 2016. Or maybe the economy will have deteriorated so badly at that point that Americans will be ready to kick both the Democrats and the Republicans out of Washington (or perhaps hang them from lamp posts up and down Pennsylvania Avenue) and install a third party.
 

Pliablemoose

Lifer
Oct 11, 1999
25,195
0
56
Too soon to even guess, too many variables.

I would love the economy to turn around, but I have my doubts, and the US public has the attention span of a 7 year old with ADD...
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,268
126
I can't guess about Obama, but I think the 2010 elections will see a gain by Republicans.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,233
55,781
136
Originally posted by: Hayabusa Rider
I can't guess about Obama, but I think the 2010 elections will see a gain by Republicans.

Of course they will, midterm elections nearly always bring gains for the party without the presidency.
 

DAPUNISHER

Super Moderator CPU Forum Mod and Elite Member
Super Moderator
Aug 22, 2001
32,368
33,291
146
Originally posted by: Genx87
All things considered his ratings have held up. Once the economy comes around he will be on easy street.

Now his democrat buddies in congress might have a tougher time holding onto their jobs.
Agreed. Romney is too used car salesman, and who else has a real chance?

With congress though, people are getting pretty bent, and will be willing to try another flavor.

 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
Originally posted by: DAPUNISHER
Originally posted by: Genx87
All things considered his ratings have held up. Once the economy comes around he will be on easy street.

Now his democrat buddies in congress might have a tougher time holding onto their jobs.

Agreed. Romney is too used car salesman, and who else has a real chance?

With congress though, people are getting pretty bent, and will be willing to try another flavor.

it's 3 years away. a lot can change between now and the primaries, just ask Rudy. I do not think Romney will ever win the GOP nomination.
 

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,948
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Originally posted by: dammitgibs

Originally posted by: Genx87
All things considered his ratings have held up. Once the economy comes around he will be on easy street.

Now his democrat buddies in congress might have a tougher time holding onto their jobs.


http://www.rasmussenreports.co...idential_tracking_poll

His ratings have held up in what way?

that shows like 48% and a sharp uptick. Nobody will hang out at 70%.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
88,233
55,781
136
Originally posted by: dammitgibs

Originally posted by: Genx87
All things considered his ratings have held up. Once the economy comes around he will be on easy street.

Now his democrat buddies in congress might have a tougher time holding onto their jobs.


http://www.rasmussenreports.co...idential_tracking_poll

His ratings have held up in what way?

They have declined at a faster rate than the average from about June-August. After that they've been relatively stable at a few points over 50 (depending on who you ask). Rasmussen has consistently been below the Pollster.com average for job approval... something to keep in mind.