Originally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911
911 - bubye privacy laws
Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rights
Originally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911
911 - bubye privacy laws
Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Yeah...a 7-day waiting period really puts a crimp on deer season.Originally posted by: zendari
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rightsOriginally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911
911 - bubye privacy laws
Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Wow...1 million barrels a day and we don't even know for sure if it's oil that can be refined here for gasoline. We also don't know how much will end up being exported.Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
Ignoring this, Genx87?Originally posted by: conjur
<ahem>Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
That's the argument the greenies love to use... :disgust: Now let's look at reality. And that reality is that ANWR would produce enough oil on a daily basis to reduce our need for Middle East imports almost in HALF.Originally posted by: conjur
Let's see...ANWR is projected to have about 10.5 billion barrels of oil available. The U.S. consumes about 21 million barrels per day. So, if we were to tap ANWR, we'd have all of about 500 days' worth of oil. Wow...big help there.Originally posted by: Genx87
If there isnt "much" oil up there then we can assume the oil companies wont spend money exploring,drilling, and extracting?Which is going to solve things how exactly? There's not much oil up there...and nowhere near enough to make a noticeable dent in imported oil.
Now that's not nothing is it?
Did Prudhoe Bay dry up after 600 days? Nope. In fact it's still producing 20% of our domestic oil supply some thirty years after it started pumping. (That is 10 years past original predictions - And still going strong) ANWR is a simalarly sized field. What's more, the method for delivery of that oil is already in place.
We import about 11 million barrels a day. About 2 million of that comes from the ME. Link
ANWR at full production should produce anywhere from 800,000 - over 1,000,000 barrels a day. Link
Drilling in ANWR is good mmmkay?
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/usa.htmlConsumption
The United States consumed an average of about 20.4 million bbl/d of oil during the first ten months of 2004, up from 20.0 million bbl/d in 2003. Of this, motor gasoline consumption was 9.0 million bbl/d (or 44% of the total), distillate fuel oil consumption was 4.1 million bbl/d (20%), jet fuel consumption was 1.6 million bbl/d (8%), and residual fuel oil consumption was 0.8 million bbl/d (4%)l. Total 2005 petroleum demand is projected to grow by just 1.4% (280,000 bbl/d), to an average 20.7 million bbl/d, in response to the combined effects of somewhat slower economic growth and relatively high crude oil and product prices. All the major products (except residual fuel oil) are expected to contribute to this growth. Motor gasoline demand is projected to increase 1.8%, to 9.22 million bbl/d. Jet fuel demand is projected to post a growth rate of 3.1% in 2005 to average 1.67 million barrels per day, still below 2000 jet fuel consumption but sharply up from post-9/11 lows it reached in 2002 and 2003. Distillate demand in 2005 is projected to grow only 1.5% year-over-year as industrial growth slows. Demand for residual fuel oil is projected to remain about flat in 2005.
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/ogp/analysis_summary.htmlSurveys conducted by the USGS suggest that between 5.7 and 16.0 billion barrels of technically recoverable oil8 are in the coastal plain area of ANWR, with a mean estimate of 10.4 billion barrels, divided into many fields.9
Didn't realize that the Dept. of Energy were the "greenies".
10.4 billion total divided by 20.7 million/day = 502 days' worth of oil. An awful lot of political wrangling over not a lot of oil.
I had no idea they were planning on shutting down all of our domestic oil production and stopping the import of oil while this thing runs at full speed ahead for 502 days.
You simply contradicted yourself, get over it.
Lets use a more realistic extraction plan.
1 million barrels a day
10400 days of production=29 years of production. That is of course if their estimates fall exactly in the middle. It could be 8 billion or 16 billion. And your notion there isnt "much" oil up there was debunked by of all people yourself.
Originally posted by: conjur
Yeah...a 7-day waiting period really puts a crimp on deer season.Originally posted by: zendari
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rightsOriginally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911
911 - bubye privacy laws
Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Wouldn't have put a crimp on Reagan/Brady season either. Hinckley would have passed the Brady Bill background check.Originally posted by: conjur
Yeah...a 7-day waiting period really puts a crimp on deer season.Originally posted by: zendari
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rightsOriginally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911
911 - bubye privacy laws
Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Wow...1 million barrels a day and we don't even know for sure if it's oil that can be refined here for gasoline. We also don't know how much will end up being exported.
There is no contradiction in my posts. The amount of oil in ANWR will not lessen our dependence upon foreign oil. Not one bit.
Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
I don't understand this logic. We need oil, but we shouldn't drill for oil? Or is it, we need oil, but we should only drill for some mythical monster strike?Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?Originally posted by: Vic
I don't understand this logic. We need oil, but we shouldn't drill for oil? Or is it, we need oil, but we should only drill for some mythical monster strike?Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
It sounds like someone saying, I need money, but work pays too slowly so I just gonna play the Lotto.
A 502 day supply is monster. America currently imports 55% of its oil. So in truthful terms, ANWR represents not 502 days, but almost 3 years of complete energy independence for the US.
Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
Uhhh....Originally posted by: Genx87
So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
Good luck with that.
Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
Like what? It seems to me that you have lots of condemnations, but never actual solutions.Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
The analogy was just as apt as your saying it was only 502 days (at 100% usage, which is completely unrealistic). Obviously, the oil will be recovered slowly, not all at once. A 5% reduction in foreign oil dependence is the most likely scenario. That is a bad thing to you?3 whole years?! Wow! Kiss of Saudi Arabia!!
<3 years later>
Um...Prince? Please, sir, may I have some more?
Originally posted by: Vic
I don't understand this logic. We need oil, but we shouldn't drill for oil? Or is it, we need oil, but we should only drill for some mythical monster strike?Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
It sounds like someone saying, I need money, but work pays too slowly so I just gonna play the Lotto.
A 502 day supply is monster. America currently imports 55% of its oil. So in truthful terms, ANWR represents not 502 days, but almost 3 years of complete energy independence for the US.
Originally posted by: conjur
Uhhh....Originally posted by: Genx87
So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
Good luck with that.
Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
5%...AT BEST...and for a limited amount of time.Originally posted by: Vic
Like what? It seems to me that you have lots of condemnations, but never actual solutions.Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
The analogy was just as apt as your saying it was only 502 days (at 100% usage, which is completely unrealistic). Obviously, the oil will be recovered slowly, not all at once. A 5% reduction in foreign oil dependence is the most likely scenario. That is a bad thing to you?3 whole years?! Wow! Kiss of Saudi Arabia!!
<3 years later>
Um...Prince? Please, sir, may I have some more?
I don't really have a problem with drilling in Alaska. When the Alaska pipeline went in there was a lot of concern about danger to the Alaskan landscape. Seems the pipeline has done rather well.
But, drilling there isn't going to really have much of an impact on our usage of oil. The key is to move to alternative forms of energy. So, imo, this is money wasted that should be going to moving other sources of fuel into mass production.
1) Reduce the weight of automobiles.
2) Reduce engine sizes.
3) Alter gear ratios for more optimized gas mileage.
4) Introduce more hybrid vehicles.
5) Decrease coefficient of drag.
Originally posted by: conjur
Uhhh....Originally posted by: Genx87
So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
Good luck with that.
Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
Originally posted by: conjur
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?
Compared with just 30 years ago, we have made tremendous progress in all 5 of those areas. And as time goes by, we will continue to make more progress. And you're blaming the wrong group. It's not the automakers that stand in the way of this, it's the auto-buying public. The automakers just want to make what they believe will sell (and not end up being ruined by overzealous legislation). The success of Toyota proves that the public is coming around.Originally posted by: conjur
And, as I posted elsewhere up here, gas mileage for cars could be greatly increased if the automobile lobby wasn't so powerful:1) Reduce the weight of automobiles.
2) Reduce engine sizes.
3) Alter gear ratios for more optimized gas mileage.
4) Introduce more hybrid vehicles.
5) Decrease coefficient of drag.
Thanks for illustrating my point. The oil companies aren't being given the incentive to move away from oil.Originally posted by: Genx87
Perhaps somebody should form a company and find alternative sources of energy and make those alternative sources cheap enough for the market to use? If they are years ahead of the competition it will knock the big energy companies out of the race.Originally posted by: conjur
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?
The problem is right now oil is cheaper than anything else out there. Why would they want to bring a product out that the market wont embrace?
Of course we both know energy companies are searching for alternative energy sources because they all know the first to find it and bring it the market in a cheap enough fashion will cause the other companies to fall behind while they bring in wild profits.
I just picked one thing as an example. Nuclear energy is another way to reduce our dependence upon foreign oil.Originally posted by: Vic
Compared with just 30 years ago, we have made tremendous progress in all 5 of those areas. And as time goes by, we will continue to make more progress. And you're blaming the wrong group. It's not the automakers that stand in the way of this, it's the auto-buying public. The automakers just want to make what they believe will sell (and not end up being ruined by overzealous legislation). The success of Toyota proves that the public is coming around.Originally posted by: conjur
And, as I posted elsewhere up here, gas mileage for cars could be greatly increased if the automobile lobby wasn't so powerful:1) Reduce the weight of automobiles.
2) Reduce engine sizes.
3) Alter gear ratios for more optimized gas mileage.
4) Introduce more hybrid vehicles.
5) Decrease coefficient of drag.
Once again, it seems that you are arguing that if we have to do it piecemeal (as opposed to all at once), then we shouldn't do it all. That just makes no sense at all.
Originally posted by: conjur
Thanks for illustrating my point. The oil companies aren't being given the incentive to move away from oil.Originally posted by: Genx87
Perhaps somebody should form a company and find alternative sources of energy and make those alternative sources cheap enough for the market to use? If they are years ahead of the competition it will knock the big energy companies out of the race.Originally posted by: conjur
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?
The problem is right now oil is cheaper than anything else out there. Why would they want to bring a product out that the market wont embrace?
Of course we both know energy companies are searching for alternative energy sources because they all know the first to find it and bring it the market in a cheap enough fashion will cause the other companies to fall behind while they bring in wild profits.
