Green rules seen on "chopping block" post-Rita

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zendari

Banned
May 27, 2005
6,558
0
0
Originally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911

911 - bubye privacy laws

Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules

Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rights
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: zendari
Originally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911

911 - bubye privacy laws

Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rights
Yeah...a 7-day waiting period really puts a crimp on deer season.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: Whoozyerdaddy
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: Genx87
Which is going to solve things how exactly? There's not much oil up there...and nowhere near enough to make a noticeable dent in imported oil.
If there isnt "much" oil up there then we can assume the oil companies wont spend money exploring,drilling, and extracting?
Let's see...ANWR is projected to have about 10.5 billion barrels of oil available. The U.S. consumes about 21 million barrels per day. So, if we were to tap ANWR, we'd have all of about 500 days' worth of oil. Wow...big help there.
That's the argument the greenies love to use... :disgust: Now let's look at reality. And that reality is that ANWR would produce enough oil on a daily basis to reduce our need for Middle East imports almost in HALF.

Now that's not nothing is it?

Did Prudhoe Bay dry up after 600 days? Nope. In fact it's still producing 20% of our domestic oil supply some thirty years after it started pumping. (That is 10 years past original predictions - And still going strong) ANWR is a simalarly sized field. What's more, the method for delivery of that oil is already in place.

We import about 11 million barrels a day. About 2 million of that comes from the ME. Link

ANWR at full production should produce anywhere from 800,000 - over 1,000,000 barrels a day. Link

Drilling in ANWR is good mmmkay?
<ahem>

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/usa.html
Consumption
The United States consumed an average of about 20.4 million bbl/d of oil during the first ten months of 2004, up from 20.0 million bbl/d in 2003. Of this, motor gasoline consumption was 9.0 million bbl/d (or 44% of the total), distillate fuel oil consumption was 4.1 million bbl/d (20%), jet fuel consumption was 1.6 million bbl/d (8%), and residual fuel oil consumption was 0.8 million bbl/d (4%)l. Total 2005 petroleum demand is projected to grow by just 1.4% (280,000 bbl/d), to an average 20.7 million bbl/d, in response to the combined effects of somewhat slower economic growth and relatively high crude oil and product prices. All the major products (except residual fuel oil) are expected to contribute to this growth. Motor gasoline demand is projected to increase 1.8%, to 9.22 million bbl/d. Jet fuel demand is projected to post a growth rate of 3.1% in 2005 to average 1.67 million barrels per day, still below 2000 jet fuel consumption but sharply up from post-9/11 lows it reached in 2002 and 2003. Distillate demand in 2005 is projected to grow only 1.5% year-over-year as industrial growth slows. Demand for residual fuel oil is projected to remain about flat in 2005.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/ogp/analysis_summary.html
Surveys conducted by the USGS suggest that between 5.7 and 16.0 billion barrels of technically recoverable oil8 are in the coastal plain area of ANWR, with a mean estimate of 10.4 billion barrels, divided into many fields.9

Didn't realize that the Dept. of Energy were the "greenies".
Ignoring this, Genx87?

10.4 billion total divided by 20.7 million/day = 502 days' worth of oil. An awful lot of political wrangling over not a lot of oil.

I had no idea they were planning on shutting down all of our domestic oil production and stopping the import of oil while this thing runs at full speed ahead for 502 days.

You simply contradicted yourself, get over it.

Lets use a more realistic extraction plan.

1 million barrels a day
10400 days of production=29 years of production. That is of course if their estimates fall exactly in the middle. It could be 8 billion or 16 billion. And your notion there isnt "much" oil up there was debunked by of all people yourself.
Wow...1 million barrels a day and we don't even know for sure if it's oil that can be refined here for gasoline. We also don't know how much will end up being exported.

There is no contradiction in my posts. The amount of oil in ANWR will not lessen our dependence upon foreign oil. Not one bit.
 

zendari

Banned
May 27, 2005
6,558
0
0
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: zendari
Originally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911

911 - bubye privacy laws

Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rights
Yeah...a 7-day waiting period really puts a crimp on deer season.

Yup, it would bother me a lot more than somebody looking at my library records.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: zendari
Originally posted by: OrByte
reminds me of 911

911 - bubye privacy laws

Katrina/Rita - bubye greenrules
Reagan and Brady get shot - buybye 2nd amendment rights
Yeah...a 7-day waiting period really puts a crimp on deer season.
Wouldn't have put a crimp on Reagan/Brady season either. Hinckley would have passed the Brady Bill background check.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Wow...1 million barrels a day and we don't even know for sure if it's oil that can be refined here for gasoline. We also don't know how much will end up being exported.

There is no contradiction in my posts. The amount of oil in ANWR will not lessen our dependence upon foreign oil. Not one bit.

As usual you use conjecture as fact.

10.4 Billion barrels of oil is not a small amount. And if we used your reasoning skills with everything then we would probably still be using the horse and buggy and picking plants out of the fields.

Your rational that there isnt a lot of oil because if we only sucked from that field it would provide us with 502 days of oil is funny.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.

My partisan blinders? I am not the one who said ANWR doesnt have much oil when indeed if we run it as a 1 million barrel field it will provide us with a quarter century of oil.

Only a partisan hack can possibly look at the estimated oil and divide by the total amout of oil we consume on a daily rate as reasoning for their opinion.

I would really hope that we arent using oil as our basis for energy for "centuries" to come. If that is your rational for whether or not drilling for oil is worth it then unless we find another Saudi Arabia then it isnt worth it. Reasoning which is just foolish.

 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
I don't understand this logic. We need oil, but we shouldn't drill for oil? Or is it, we need oil, but we should only drill for some mythical monster strike?
It sounds like someone saying, I need money, but work pays too slowly so I just gonna play the Lotto.

A 502 day supply is monster. America currently imports 55% of its oil. So in truthful terms, ANWR represents not 502 days, but almost 3 years of complete energy independence for the US.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
I don't understand this logic. We need oil, but we shouldn't drill for oil? Or is it, we need oil, but we should only drill for some mythical monster strike?
It sounds like someone saying, I need money, but work pays too slowly so I just gonna play the Lotto.

A 502 day supply is monster. America currently imports 55% of its oil. So in truthful terms, ANWR represents not 502 days, but almost 3 years of complete energy independence for the US.
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?

3 whole years?! Wow! Kiss of Saudi Arabia!!


<3 years later>

Um...Prince? Please, sir, may I have some more?
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.

So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?

Good luck with that.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?

Good luck with that.
Uhhh....


Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
Like what? It seems to me that you have lots of condemnations, but never actual solutions.

3 whole years?! Wow! Kiss of Saudi Arabia!!


<3 years later>

Um...Prince? Please, sir, may I have some more?
The analogy was just as apt as your saying it was only 502 days (at 100% usage, which is completely unrealistic). Obviously, the oil will be recovered slowly, not all at once. A 5% reduction in foreign oil dependence is the most likely scenario. That is a bad thing to you?
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: conjur
I'm talking percentages. Geez...if you'd drop your partisan blinders for half a second you'd see that a 502-day supply is bupkis when we'll be needing oil for centuries to come.
I don't understand this logic. We need oil, but we shouldn't drill for oil? Or is it, we need oil, but we should only drill for some mythical monster strike?
It sounds like someone saying, I need money, but work pays too slowly so I just gonna play the Lotto.

A 502 day supply is monster. America currently imports 55% of its oil. So in truthful terms, ANWR represents not 502 days, but almost 3 years of complete energy independence for the US.

There isnt any logic behind it. It doesnt make any sense what so ever. He is basically saying since it wont completely wipe away our energy dependance that it isnt worth it.

He completely forgets that we have fields in this country right now that probably spit out less oil than this and for every oil barrel we pump could mean 1 less barrel purchased from a foreign country.

Does he think we will find the lottery of oil fields one day that will completely wipe away dependence on foreign oil?

Obviously the current track we are taking is proving a great one.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?

Good luck with that.
Uhhh....


Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?

That is a smart move if everything turned out perfect. Something we both know is about as realistic as pumping 21 million barrels a day out of ANWR for 502 days straight.

So in 20 years when we havent found the holy grail of energy sources yet we will have higher dependence on foreign oil. Our country will be in a nice bing.

But of course that is great for you because in 20 years you can still be on this msgboard whining about oil prices and our dependence on foreign oil.

 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?
Like what? It seems to me that you have lots of condemnations, but never actual solutions.

3 whole years?! Wow! Kiss of Saudi Arabia!!


<3 years later>

Um...Prince? Please, sir, may I have some more?
The analogy was just as apt as your saying it was only 502 days (at 100% usage, which is completely unrealistic). Obviously, the oil will be recovered slowly, not all at once. A 5% reduction in foreign oil dependence is the most likely scenario. That is a bad thing to you?
5%...AT BEST...and for a limited amount of time.

As I said here months ago:
http://forums.anandtech.com/messageview...hreadid=1490375&enterthread=y&arctab=y
I don't really have a problem with drilling in Alaska. When the Alaska pipeline went in there was a lot of concern about danger to the Alaskan landscape. Seems the pipeline has done rather well.

But, drilling there isn't going to really have much of an impact on our usage of oil. The key is to move to alternative forms of energy. So, imo, this is money wasted that should be going to moving other sources of fuel into mass production.

And, as I posted elsewhere up here, gas mileage for cars could be greatly increased if the automobile lobby wasn't so powerful:
1) Reduce the weight of automobiles.
2) Reduce engine sizes.
3) Alter gear ratios for more optimized gas mileage.
4) Introduce more hybrid vehicles.
5) Decrease coefficient of drag.
 

mect

Platinum Member
Jan 5, 2004
2,424
1,637
136
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
A quarter century of oil, eh? hmmm...1 million bbl/d is hardly "providing". That's less than 5% of our daily consumption. And, that assumes all oil coming out of ANWR will be used here in the U.S.
So what is your plan? To find the monster oil field that supplies us with 21 million barrels of oil a day?

Good luck with that.
Uhhh....


Originally posted by: conjur
How about we take the money and resources that would go into ANWR and work to develop something that would actually have a long-term effect?

Drilling ANWR produces mony. It does not cost resources, it would produce them. There is no reason or way that this would/should detract from research into alternative energy. Why not let the businesses decide whether or not it is a fiscally sound investment for them. I agree, the government should not subsidize a company to go in and drill, but I don't have a problem with letting a company go in there if they feel it is profitable.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: conjur
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?

Perhaps somebody should form a company and find alternative sources of energy and make those alternative sources cheap enough for the market to use? If they are years ahead of the competition it will knock the big energy companies out of the race.

The problem is right now oil is cheaper than anything else out there. Why would they want to bring a product out that the market wont embrace?

Of course we both know energy companies are searching for alternative energy sources because they all know the first to find it and bring it the market in a cheap enough fashion will cause the other companies to fall behind while they bring in wild profits.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: conjur
And, as I posted elsewhere up here, gas mileage for cars could be greatly increased if the automobile lobby wasn't so powerful:
1) Reduce the weight of automobiles.
2) Reduce engine sizes.
3) Alter gear ratios for more optimized gas mileage.
4) Introduce more hybrid vehicles.
5) Decrease coefficient of drag.
Compared with just 30 years ago, we have made tremendous progress in all 5 of those areas. And as time goes by, we will continue to make more progress. And you're blaming the wrong group. It's not the automakers that stand in the way of this, it's the auto-buying public. The automakers just want to make what they believe will sell (and not end up being ruined by overzealous legislation). The success of Toyota proves that the public is coming around.

Once again, it seems that you are arguing that if we have to do it piecemeal (as opposed to all at once), then we shouldn't do it all. That just makes no sense at all.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?
Perhaps somebody should form a company and find alternative sources of energy and make those alternative sources cheap enough for the market to use? If they are years ahead of the competition it will knock the big energy companies out of the race.

The problem is right now oil is cheaper than anything else out there. Why would they want to bring a product out that the market wont embrace?

Of course we both know energy companies are searching for alternative energy sources because they all know the first to find it and bring it the market in a cheap enough fashion will cause the other companies to fall behind while they bring in wild profits.
Thanks for illustrating my point. The oil companies aren't being given the incentive to move away from oil.
 

conjur

No Lifer
Jun 7, 2001
58,686
3
0
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: conjur
And, as I posted elsewhere up here, gas mileage for cars could be greatly increased if the automobile lobby wasn't so powerful:
1) Reduce the weight of automobiles.
2) Reduce engine sizes.
3) Alter gear ratios for more optimized gas mileage.
4) Introduce more hybrid vehicles.
5) Decrease coefficient of drag.
Compared with just 30 years ago, we have made tremendous progress in all 5 of those areas. And as time goes by, we will continue to make more progress. And you're blaming the wrong group. It's not the automakers that stand in the way of this, it's the auto-buying public. The automakers just want to make what they believe will sell (and not end up being ruined by overzealous legislation). The success of Toyota proves that the public is coming around.

Once again, it seems that you are arguing that if we have to do it piecemeal (as opposed to all at once), then we shouldn't do it all. That just makes no sense at all.
I just picked one thing as an example. Nuclear energy is another way to reduce our dependence upon foreign oil.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: conjur
Originally posted by: Genx87
Originally posted by: conjur
Because they are getting tax breaks and such for doing so. It will take away from alternative fuel research. If they're allowed to keep drilling the last vestiges of oil on earth, what incentive do they have for finding alternative sources?
Perhaps somebody should form a company and find alternative sources of energy and make those alternative sources cheap enough for the market to use? If they are years ahead of the competition it will knock the big energy companies out of the race.

The problem is right now oil is cheaper than anything else out there. Why would they want to bring a product out that the market wont embrace?

Of course we both know energy companies are searching for alternative energy sources because they all know the first to find it and bring it the market in a cheap enough fashion will cause the other companies to fall behind while they bring in wild profits.
Thanks for illustrating my point. The oil companies aren't being given the incentive to move away from oil.

The incentive is the consumer. You cant force people to buy something they arent interested in. Thus you cant force energy companies to develope energy sources nobody wants to buy. Energy companies however are in the process of trying to find the next source of energy because oil will be around for only so long.

Your point is muddled as it continues to progress in this thread after each point is talked about.