I don't really care what anyone's ideology is, I only care as to what makes the best public policy.
Which makes you a liberal.
By today's definitions.
I don't really care what anyone's ideology is, I only care as to what makes the best public policy.
eskimospy: while I usually agree with you, I think you should step back and think how someone outside this thread might view the argument:
You don't seem to be arguing against the slippery slope so much as in its favor.
Neither of those groups are in direct competition with those affected by this ban. You can't bring outside food or drinks into restaurants (with very few exceptions).
Additionally, tea is regulated the same way as soda. I don't view the giant milkshake industry as really in much competition here either. If it turns out all of NYC switches over to huge milkshakes I'd be glad to revisit this point.
As to the legal elements, very few people expect this ruling to survive on appeal. The legal arguments the judge made are awfully weak.
Actually speed limits are quite similar in their arbitrary nature. There's no need for it to be 65 exactly, it could be 64, 67, 55, etc. Its purpose is to limit driving at unsafe speeds. Similarly here it could have been 14oz, 18oz, etc. The purpose here is to limit the number of calories easily taken in in a soft drink serving. 16oz makes as much sense as any other number.
Again, the location restrictions in part come from the ability of the city to enforce it. I do not understand you keep mentioning that as being 'arbitrary'. You may not agree with that reason, but it is most certainly a rational reason, making their exclusion anything but arbitrary.
I don't think they are ridiculous examples at all, cops profile all the time to conserve resources and rightly so. Racial and religious profiling is a poor idea because it 1.) conflicts with established law in most jurisdictions so... it's illegal and 2.) studies have shown it to have dubious benefits.
If you aren't writing law based on what you can accomplish with limited resources, you're writing a bad law. I'm really shocked that this would even be a point of contention.
Yes, many things have similar (or even greater!) concentrations of calories per ounce, but we don't regulate substances solely on their calorie counts.
We regulate a substance in its totality, which is why beer is subject to numerous restrictions that go far beyond anything covering soda.
While they might share caloric content they do not share many other attributes. This is actually an excellent example of why your argument here supports my point.
I am acknowledging that there are logical further implications from this, but most of the reactions have been downright hysterical and hyperbolic, in particular the post that I initially mentioned this in reaction to.
I don't really care what anyone's ideology is, I only care as to what makes the best public policy. Really poorly thought out arguments also grate on my nerves, which is most of the reason why I involved myself in these threads to begin with.
That's not what he said and you posted a false quote, which is against the rules.
Your paraphrase did not accurately represent what he said.
No, but I am unsure why having an example of that would be relevant to my point. Is this purely an informational request?
Well that's not really accurate. There are numerous scientific studies about portion control and how smaller portions lead people to consume less. Having a specific scientific study about 16oz bottles in particular is totally unnecessary unless you believe that the average serving of soda is so far under 16oz that consumers are unlikely to ever come up against that limit. I doubt you would try to argue that though.
Also, nothing about this establishes any precedent. The trans fat ban passed by NYC several years ago did basically the exact same thing in terms of limiting personal intake of substances deemed unhealthy. In fact I would say that the scientific basis for the trans fat ban was weaker than this.
These are all very good questions, most of which could never be answered without implementing a program such as this. This is the best part of federalism, that limited areas have the freedom to experiment with new ideas.
As I alluded to above, that's simply an impossible standard to meet so basically that would mean that no law like this should ever be passed due to a lack of evidence which you cannot credibly obtain without implementing such regulation. It's a catch-22. I imagine this court ruling will be quickly overturned and we'll get to find out. I personally am unsure about its results, but the more I read about it the more likely it appears that it will have a measurable effect. If it does, other cities will follow and we'll have a nice new tool against obesity. If it proves so TYRANNICAL as everyone on here thinks, the next mayor will repeal it. Either way, no big deal.
I cannot believe you are really trying to use this as an argument.
Very well:
1. You're conflating small-scale number choices with large-scale number choices. The issue isn't why 65 instead of 67 or 16 instead of 18. It's why 65 instead of 125 or 35, and why 16 instead of 8 or 32.
2. You're mistaken even in focusing on the small-scale number differences. There are very good reasons why speed limits are multiples of 5, and good reasons why, if you want drink sizes to be about 16 ounces, you choose 16 and not 17.
3. Speed limits are based upon the characteristics of the road and the area where it is located. They aren't always perfectly matched, but there is science behind it. There is none here -- they pulled 16 ounces out of their collective legislative asses. There is not one argument you can make for 16 ounces that you can't make as readily for 12 ounces or 24 ounces. That's not generally true of speed limits.
This has been explained numerous times. Whether or not they have an excuse for arbitrarily deciding that a 32 ounce drink is banned in one establishment but not in the one next door because it falls into a different category, that choice is still arbitrary.
Here's another example of how the law is arbitrary: drinks that contain alcohol are specifically excluded. So if I have a 32-ounce soda with 400 calories, or a 32-ounce mixed drink with 600 calories, the former is banned and the second is fine. Please explain to me how that makes any sense whatsoever?
And another: the fruit juice exclusion. Processed apple juice is just as much empty calories as soda -- in fact, it is used as a sweetener in all sorts of commercial products. It has no nutritional value other than calories -- they even have to add vitamin C to it so they can pretend it is nutritious. Why is that excluded?
Now let's address your claim of practicality here. Am I really to believe there are more grocery stores than restaurants and bars in New York City? Even including 7-11s? I find that a stretch.
There are fewer than a hundred 7-11s in the New York City area. (Yes, I looked.) It's unlikely there are more grocery stores than 7-11s, and overall this is a tiny fraction of the hundreds, if not thousands of restaurants in the same region.
So that pretty much takes out every aspect of your argument against the arbitrariness of the law.
If it's "rightly so" then why is it illegal?
But that is what Bloomberg is doing here. In fact, there's even a specific calorie value that they came up with: 3.125 calories per ounce.
Where did they get that number from? I have no idea. I'll be surprised if they do, either.
Beer? At least 8 calories per ounce; that's for light beers. Most are 12 or more.
But they're excluded. Why? Because they felt like it. Who knows? Maybe Bloomberg got a big donation from Anheuser-Busch.
I've already shown that this is not true. Pitchers of beer are legal; pitchers of soda are banned. So "far beyond" is not correct, at least in that respect.
No, actually, it's not. I'm kind of disappointed that you're using this sort of wording, to be honest.
Beer is not identical to soda, but it is equal or worse in terms of caloric content. In addition to that, it is also potentially dangerous in other respects.
From a public health standpoint, a pitcher of beer is strictly more of a concern than a pitcher of soda. Therefore, there is no rational reason why it should be excluded from a law that targets obesity based on a calories-per-ounce standard. Whatever other characteristics it doesn't share with soda just make this exclusion even worse, because it would make more sense to target the beer and not the soda than the other way around.
You might want to review page one of the thread.
You wrote this: "I think the most concise way to argue this is that if you want the government to pay for your health you must accept some control by the government over your health or your pocketbook."
And that is when I brought up the slippery slope -- because that comment is an example of a slope we have already slid down. By your own admission!
Despite that, you immediately labeled it a fallacy and have continued to use the word "fallacy" ever since without showing in any way how it applies to the actual arguments being made here. This has nothing to do with "hysterical reactions", because I haven't had any -- in fact, I posted this thread in the first place, criticizing one myself.
Yet you keep tossing that word at me. A quote from the Princess Bride just popped into my brain...![]()
Well, from where I sit, your arguments have been thoroughly shredded. There is no reasonable justification for this law from a fairness or principle perspective, and it's also completely impractical and wholly unlikely to have any real effect on anything. You have absolutely nothing to hold up this law other than deciding that it's a great way to incrementally impose further restrictions on people later on.
In fact, I would argue that Bloomberg has set back the cause of fighting obesity with this law. Specifically because it is so arbitrary, poorly backed by any scientific basis, and so easily ridiculed, he has made the very valid idea of trying to get Americans to cut down on consumption into a big (if I may) fat joke. He's given people like our friends in Mississippi a reason to thumb their noses at the entire idea. And they aren't the only ones.
The fight against obesity would be better off if this law had never been suggested, much less imposed.
You need to go look up the definition of arbitrary.
This is getting to forehead slapping levels of silliness. Of course there is an argument you can make for 16 ounces that you can't make for 24 ounces. 16 ounces has fewer calories. Similarly a lower speed limit has better reaction time/less kinetic energy. ie: both placed an upper limit on what they found acceptable.
You need to go look up the definition of arbitrary.
Doesn't fit perfectly here, but it's pretty close.
- Based on random choice or personal whim, rather than any reason or system.
- (of power or a ruling body) Unrestrained and autocratic in the use of authority.
We're going in circles now, this is getting boring.
Items are regulated in their totality, not just on one aspect. Since we can regulate substances for more reasons than just how many calories are in them, not all substances with identical calorie counts need to be regulated in the same way.
That 32oz mixed drink can also only be sold by places with certain licenses, to people over certain ages, at certain times of day, requiring photo identification to get, etc, etc.
e.g.: it has all sorts of regulations on it already.
Those mixed drinks are also not commonly consumed in 20oz+ containers, so why you are even bringing this up is beyond me.
I'm going to guess you've been to a bar before, so I can't help but feel like you are being deliberately obtuse here. Is your argument against the regulation that it isn't banning something that very rarely happens anyway? Why would controlling such rare events help with obesity in any measurable way?
Is this going to be a thing where you scour New York City for things you think should have also been included in the regulation but that weren't, thinking that if you find one it invalidates the whole principle? It doesn't.
While there might be some drinks that are at least 70 percent fruit juice which are similarly lacking in nutrition to soda, that is certainly not the case for all of them.
NYC already has inspection regimens in place for restaurants and delis... anywhere that serves food really. This simply adds a check box to inspections that are already happening.
There is not a similar inspection system for bodegas (corner grocery stores), of which there are THOUSANDS. If you were going to add them to the list you would need to vastly expand inspection resources for the city.
So not only are you not defining arbitrary correctly but you're speaking to something of which you clearly have limited knowledge. I think this has become more about pride and principle at this point, which is unfortunate.
Cops profile based on behavior, which is effective, unlike race which is not.
Obama prioritized immigration enforcement action against criminal aliens vs. non criminal ones. Now they were both guilty of the same crime, but because one was guilty of a different, unrelated issue he is now subject to having a law enforced against him that would otherwise not be. This is due to limited resources. Basically go look at any regulatory agency and you will see prioritized enforcement due to limited resources.
I'm sure they do know where they got that number from, but whatever.
You are just retreading the same old arguments here and plugging your ears to the explanation. The reason why they are regulated differently is that beer and soda are not the same thing. Grocery stores and restaurants are not the same thing, etc, etc.
Nice attempt to throw in an a wild accusation of corruption now too. This is flailing.
You're repeating yourself. Beer is subject to large numbers of regulations that soda is not subject to, and beer and soda are not the same thing (again!). Just because they share one attribute does not mean that they should be regulated in the same way.
I stand by what I've written on that. Not much else to say.
I feel like you have become personally invested in this argument and you're just repeating yourself. I'm pretty tired of it at this point. Beer, soda, wine, and liquors are not the same, nor have they ever been regulated in the same manner. They never will be.
You might want to declare that there is no scientific basis for this, but that's just false. I don't know why you would even try to make such an argument except because you're wound up about this.
The actions of stupid people in Mississippi is not a good reason to alter policy in New York.
I don't really feel like continuing this back and forth on this, so I'll let you get the last word in. Needless to say I find your arguments on this to be pretty poor.
Even if a 'milkshake' or 'tea' industry are poor examples the point still stands about potential competitive advantage and it being arbitrary. If I go to a McDonalds and can't get a big soda, but can go to a gas station/convenience store to get one the latter now has an advantage for those customers. The law is easily thwarted and becomes less about what you consume and more about where you buy.
The courts are not a second bite at the legislation apple, a chance to say 'well, I was against that law, so since it passed into law, I'll use the court to get rid of it'.
That's not what he said and you posted a false quote, which is against the rules.
Your paraphrase did not accurately represent what he said.
I'm not actually. The slippery slope fallacy isn't saying things can't have consequences down the road, it's when people take them to absurd extremes. Say... like the people earlier saying that such thinking will lead us to being forced to wear government ordered uniforms. That's absurd.
I'm sorry Charles, I find your arguments here poor. I generally agree with you, but in this thread you've based your argument on the idea that because two products share an attribute that all regulations that involve such an attribute should apply equally. I don't find that at all compelling.
If you are interested in scientific studies linking soda consumption and obesity there are many available.
I won't go around in circles again with you as I am quote sure you will just repeat the same failed arguments.
If we are bringing up what other people think about our relative positions I am also willing to take wagers on if the appellate courts will share your opinion on if the regulations are arbitrary or not. (doesn't have to be money, maybe an epic poem of how wrong the other person is!)
The is indeed absurd. However, the question must be asked of what it is, exactly, that makes banning *this* thing currently under discussion of a ban "OK" but keeps the government from banning an 8oz drink, or any regular soda, or......? Once it is deemed that a government has this power, there is no difference between banning one and banning the other, legally, just a matter of shades of gray.
Unfortunately I suspect we're ultimately going to have Hilarycare, where "go the private route" equals go to prison. Power inherently wants to be exercised and to grow, and the more power government has, the more power government wants.You were never as free as you thought you were. Our laws are based on what the majority of the people want. If you don't like the type of education the government provides then lobby for something different or go the private route. If you don't like they type of health care you have then lobby the government for the type you want, don't like government health care? the go then private route.
Unfortunately I don't think there is any way to practically remove government from health care. Even without considering the entitlement mentality now in vogue, forces such as increasing health care complexity and cost, outsourcing, and automation are increasingly lowering the number of people with acceptable health insurance furnished as part of their employment. We have record numbers of people depending on government for all their support, and the federal government now has the bit and is adding mandatory requirements for everyone. All these factors combined virtually guarantee that the private sector cannot handle health care without government, which means government WILL be in charge.SNIP
I share the lamentation to some degree, as I've posted earlier in the thread. But the thing is.. those of us who feel this way have to recognize that we don't really have a good solution either.
The only way to eliminate this situation is to keep government out of healthcare entirely. That carries with it tremendous social costs.. would you be willing to accept them?
I'm not sure I am ready to return to the days of "patient dumping". I definitely know that rolling back the clock in this area would not be supported by a majority of Americans.
This argument is especially valid given that five years ago, the ideas of government banning a certain size of soft drink or using armed drones to kill American citizens on American soil would have been laughable. I'm not a fan of the slippery slope argument, but I do recognize that all slopes are to some degree slippery and every infringement of freedom invites another, greater infringement of freedom - for our own good, of course.As Charles noted, I meant no ill will or deceptive intent. I'll reply to eskimospy's response:
The is indeed absurd. However, the question must be asked of what it is, exactly, that makes banning *this* thing currently under discussion of a ban "OK" but keeps the government from banning an 8oz drink, or any regular soda, or......? Once it is deemed that a government has this power, there is no difference between banning one and banning the other, legally, just a matter of shades of gray. This is the same reason I am always against drone strikes against american citizens who are not literally shooting at our soldiers in a shooting war: once you grant the government that power, is there any real way to decide "actually, you had that power in this *one* case, but not in *these other ones*"? Usually better, IMHO, not to go down the road to begin with.
That is why I tend to be against these laws and why *I* believe them to be "arbitrary". FWIW
My own preference would be to limit health insurance to unexpected expenses, like any insurance. That would help keep down the cost of routine care, although even then government would be free to pull its Medicare/Medicaid trick and force part of the cost it covers onto routine care. But that's all moot because a majority has decided it is entitled to health care at someone else's expense, perhaps without realizing that we are all someone else to other people.
Charles, I responded to all your points, you just didn't like the answers.
I think the difference might be that you are arguing what you think is right and I am arguing what is permissible under the law. (and what is practical to regulate). Perhaps that is the source of your confusion.
I have REPEATEDLY addressed just that. We should not regulate milk in the same way we regulate soda just because they have similar caloric density. That would be, frankly, stupid.
I have addressed the arbitrary nature of 16oz sizes. Freedom vs. Government interest, same as speed limits. You didn't like the answer, but it was a perfectly valid comparison. Your are free to not accept it, but your reasons for rejecting it were...unimpressive.
If you have a research design for a study that would speak to the efficacy of such a ban without actually implementing one I would love to hear it.
Same argument as with birth control. I know that once or twice a year I'm going to get a cold. I know that periodically I'm going to get a physical. If I budget for those things, and pay for them, then the doctor gets his money right away and does not have to prepare paperwork, send it off, and frequently revise and resubmit it. The doctor's cost is much less and his need to finance his operations (no pun intended) in the interim is removed. Therefore the overall cost to society is lower, and since even not-for-profit insurance companies like Blue Cross Blue Shield have to at least break even and have considerable expenses, the average individual's cost for those services is lower as well. Compare it to automobile insurance; how much would that cost if all routine maintenance had to be included? If a $50 oil change had to be priced at $200 because the amount paid by the insurance company would be $60 after an average three month wait, how affordable would oil changes be to those without insurance? How affordable would oil changes be to those with insurance, since the insurance company's costs and the mechanic's extra costs must now be paid along with the cost of the actual service? Insurance is a wonderful tool for copying with risk but a horrible tool for expected expenditures, something we used to know until wage freezes made employer-provided health insurance desirable and we began to see our health care as something rightly paid by "someone else". On the other hand, I have no reason to suspect I'll have an automobile accident or a heart attack. Knowing this, the insurance companies can offer me a rate far below the cost of such an event, because they know that in any given year most people will not have an automobile accident or a heart attack.Your statements confuse me here. If health insurance only covered unexpected expenses, how would that cut down on the cost of routine care? Wouldn't it make it more expensive for people to use? And would that not increase the incidence of ailments that cause more to treat than to prevent?
SNIP
You say that NOW, but I very seriously doubt there is a single person here who believes that when government inevitably begins limiting the size or availability of whole milk to fight obesity, you will not be 100% behind that too. The concept is exactly analogous; government knows best, so government should limit our choices for our own good. In fact, one could make a much better argument for limiting the availability of whole milk; one can and is probably likely to drink the same amount of soda regardless of size limitations, but one is highly unlikely to drink the fat equivalent of whole milk if limited to skim milk.I have REPEATEDLY addressed just that. We should not regulate milk in the same way we regulate soda just because they have similar caloric density. That would be, frankly, stupid.
SNIP
Yes, I understand your position. However, "that would be stupid" is not an argument.
And that is all you have ever offered.
I compared soda to beer, not milk. Both are empty calories -- that's why I chose beer. And so you change the comparison. Not cool.
And here you ducked yet another point -- why milk but not milk substitutes? Ignoring that is really not debating in good faith.
You said speed limits were arbitrary.. and then you said they weren't. I pointed out that there was no reason to choose 16 oz over 24 oz or 12 oz, you addressed only the 24 oz part and ignored the 12 oz part.. and then ignored it again when I pointed it out.
The onus is on the party making the proposal to demonstrate why it is justified.
I really expected better than this from you. I will not be responding on this stuff again.
You say that NOW, but I very seriously doubt there is a single person here who believes that when government inevitably begins limiting the size or availability of whole milk to fight obesity, you will not be 100% behind that too. The concept is exactly analogous; government knows best, so government should limit our choices for our own good. In fact, one could make a much better argument for limiting the availability of whole milk; one can and is probably likely to drink the same amount of soda regardless of size limitations, but one is highly unlikely to drink the fat equivalent of whole milk if limited to skim milk.
Ah ah ah, in previous arguments you acknowledged differences between beer and soda, but said that because they had similar caloric density that they should be regulated on those measures similarly. Now you're putting in an exception, which is if things are nutritious in other ways... e.g: they have other attributes. You have now implicitly accepted my position that substances should be regulated on all their attributes, not just one. Thanks for finally owning up to that.