Caravaggio,
With both sides of the dispute clearly thinking they are the victims and in the right to do what they are doing do you have any thoughts on how to realistically bring about any resolution to the dispute? If neither side is willing to take responsibility for their actions is there anything that we could, as an international community, actually do to make things better in the region?
The only form of solution that I know for people who refuse to shake hands and make up is to separate them. Yet I do not really think this falls into the category of realistic as wholesale moving of one group out of the area, even if you could convince one side to leave without fighting to the death, still leaves you with the problem of where to put them.
Caravaggio will not answer you!!
If you look, you will see that the bulk of the authors I refer to are Jewish. Many are also Israeli.Because other than his wall of anti - Israeli sources
That proves what exactly???If you look, you will see that the bulk of the authors I refer to are Jewish. Many are also Israeli.
That is a very good question, I shall try to answer it. Please let me know if you think my plan is unrealistic.
We need to begin with the realisation that the creation of Israel deprived another community of its own hope for self determination.
The United Nations have long held the view that there should be two states, an independent Palestine and a recognised Israel. After forty-five years of failure to realise this aim I believe we need to consider two things:
1) Israel has no intention of allowing any such state as a free Palestine to exist. By which I mean a state with its own army, navy and airforce. An independent entity with secure inviolable borders, able to trade with the rest of the world without begging for aid.
2) Palestinians dare not recognise Israel because to do so would be equivalent to recognising that the land they lost in 1947/8 will probably never be their's again.
Any reasonable person must see that European Jews have suffered from extraordinary hatred, prejudice and even attempts at their annihilation. But the circumstances of history (the Balfour Declaration of 1917, the Holocaust) have made the wholly innocent Palestinians pay the price for Russian pogroms of the 1880's and Hitler's genocidal plans (1942-45).
The two-state solution is a non-starter. Any Palestine with a US armed Israel as a neighbour would be unviable.
So, where do we go from here? How about a one-state solution with Jews, Arabs and Christians sharing the land to which they can claim familial links in recent memory ( not imaginary links from 3,000 years ago)?
Jews, Arabs and Christians did exactly this for hundreds of years before 1880. Modern Palestinians would probably have had Jewish ancestors many centuries ago. It is religion which loves to create difference and superiority. Religious conflicts can only be solved when peoples recognise their common humanity.
The major bank of the late Ottoman Empire had five Jewish directors. They were respected, even considered essential.
So my model for peace would be based on something like the conductor Daniel Barenboim's East-West Divan Orchestra.
The land of Israel, the West Bank, Gaza would gradually be shared. No Jews would be allowed dual nationality, no new Jewish immigrants would be allowed to enter unless their lives were in danger. Palestinians in camps elsewhere could apply for phased return to the new state if they could claim a link to a village from which they had been removed by force.
The Israeli 'law of return', which is clearly a commitment to unlimited Jewish immigration, would have to be scrapped.
And finally, the USA would be asked to stop providing Israel with free military aid as that gives Israel the basis for never having to compromise.
If Israel was a real nation, not America's 51st state, she would have to negotiate with her neighbours. Only then can peace emerge. How long do we have to wait? My guess is 50-100 years. Hope it's sooner.
Pinch yourself and wake up....I certainly like your idea of a one state solution where everyone has learned to get along and I think that is the best long term solution for human interaction in general. <--there is more to this than learning to get along! A one state solution will never ever happen!
Out of all the points you listed however, I only see one that could be instituted now by the world at large, and that would be to cut off military aid to Israel.<--- that will never happen!
I believe that at this point we have armed Israel to far for it to make much of a difference. Israel likely being a nuclear power, having enough advanced military tech combined with a large enough army to be a bully on a larger scale in the middle east than they are now could make a play for some of the large lucrative resources in the area. <--- that's just idiotic talk!! When Israel was formed within days -- The Arab-Israeli War of 1948 broke out when five Arab nations invaded territory in the former Palestinian mandate immediately following the announcement of the independence of the state of Israel on May 14, 1948. In 1947, and again on May 14, 1948, the United States had offered de facto recognition of the Israeli Provisional Government, but during the war, the United States maintained an arms embargo against all belligerents.
On November 29, 1947, the United Nations General Assembly adopted Resolution 181 (also known as the Partition Resolution) that would divide Great Britains former Palestinian mandate into Jewish and Arab states in May 1948. Under the resolution, the area of religious significance surrounding Jerusalem would remain under international control administered by the United Nations. The Palestinian Arabs refused to recognize this arrangement, which they regarded as favorable to the Jews and unfair to the Arab population that would remain in Jewish territory under the partition. The United States sought a middle way by supporting the United Nations resolution, but also encouraging negotiations between Arabs and Jews in the Middle East.
The United Nations resolution sparked conflict between Jewish and Arab groups within Palestine. Fighting began with attacks by irregular bands of Palestinian Arabs attached to local units of the Arab Liberation Army composed of volunteers from Palestine and neighboring Arab countries. These groups launched their attacks against Jewish cities, settlements, and armed forces. The Jewish forces were composed of the Haganah, the underground militia of the Jewish community in Palestine, and two small irregular groups, the Irgun, and LEHI. The goal of the Arabs was initially to block the Partition Resolution and to prevent the establishment of the Jewish state. The Jews, on the other hand, hoped to gain control over the territory allotted to them under the Partition Plan.
After Israel declared its independence on May 14, 1948, the fighting intensified with other Arab forces joining the Palestinian Arabs in attacking territory in the former Palestinian mandate. On the eve of May 14, the Arabs launched an air attack on Tel Aviv, which the Israelis resisted. This action was followed by the invasion of the former Palestinian mandate by Arab armies from Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Egypt. Saudi Arabia sent a formation that fought under the Egyptian command. British trained forces from Transjordan eventually intervened in the conflict, but only in areas that had been designated as part of the Arab state under the United Nations Partition Plan and the corpus separatum of Jerusalem. After tense early fighting, Israeli forces, now under joint command, were able to gain the offensive.
Though the United Nations brokered two cease-fires during the conflict, fighting continued into 1949. Israel and the Arab states did not reach any formal armistice agreements until February. Under separate agreements between Israel and the neighboring states of Egypt, Lebanon, Transjordan, and Syria, these bordering nations agreed to formal armistice lines. Israel gained some territory formerly granted to Palestinian Arabs under the United Nations resolution in 1947. Egypt and Jordan retained control over the Gaza Strip and the West Bank respectively. These armistice lines held until 1967. The United States did not become directly involved with the armistice negotiations, but hoped that instability in the Middle East would not interfere with the international balance of power between the Soviet Union and the United States.
With the level of high emotions involved I would not want to bet that to economically starve Israel ...that also would not happen because Israel has always had support from Arab nations and others that agree with Israel. Also who would enforce the economic embargo??would give us capitulation instead of fight response. A solution that involves a not unrealistic chance of a full scale war with Israel is not one that is reasonable to me. (you may disagree on the dangers of trying to lessen Israel's power to wage war, and I would not call myself an expert and am mostly considering how such an emotionally charged situation tends to make people do some really crazy things).<-- you lessen Israels` military power and you do NOT force these people to get along! What happened is you open the door to another war against Israel......
The true and accurate saying goes -- The Israeli`s have tanks and jets and the Palestinians have rocks yet there are still Palestinians.
If the Palestinians had the tanks and jets and the Israeli`s had the rocks, there would be no Israeli`s.
Even if we can successfully find a way to greatly reduce Israel's military power so they have to start finding ways to get a long, the estimated time frame that you give is what makes the solution one that is hard to call reasonable. Having to stand by and watch the continued killing for that much longer does not really seem that reasonable to me, perhaps in the end necessary, but not reasonable. (I hope that comment makes sense)
Pinch yourself and wake up....
As in do you consider Israel an moral and just country and a good and loyal ally to the west?
You probably said, in 2004 , that Zionist settlers would never leave Gaza.that will never happen!
What disingenuous nonsense. You really do need to read some proper history, try Gilbert 2008 , Morris 1988 and Kattan and Pappe 2006, from the list below.The Arab-Israeli War of 1948 broke out when five Arab nations invaded territory in the former Palestinian mandate immediately following the announcement of the independence of the state of Israel on May 14, 1948.
To Rebel L. Re; your posts 206 and 209.
Thanks for your comments and balanced critique.
I realise that 206 is addressed to me and 209 is meant for Yoda but I would like to comment on them both.
I accept that Israel has nuclear weapons but I do not think they pose any serious threat to regional peace. You might regard my argument as perverse but I would not worry if Iran had them either. In fact, one could make a case that Iran (a nation of 70 million) should have them, if a much smaller openly hostile nation, Israel (with a mere 7 million people) has been allowed to develop them clandestinely.
We see American double standards at work here, of course. America has known about Israeli nuclear ambitions since the mid 1970's but for geo-political and domestic reasons chose to turn a blind eye, while asking Israel to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (which Israel has never done).
The possession of thermo-nuclear weapons might actually lead to a more peaceful world if those nations which possess them are rational actors. I see Iran as rational. I am more worried about Pakistan having them and I would be very concerned if ISIS ever got hold of them. Given the logic of MAD, rational actors would never be first users.
Back to the peace process. You seem dismayed at the pessimism of my time scale (post 202). I hope I am too pessimistic but it has taken 66 years to reach this current nadir. I sense that you share my wish for an end to America's policy of "Free arms for Israel"? Only when an American President backs rhetoric about 'Peace' in the Middle East with actual sanctions for non-compliance with US wishes, will Israel be motivated to deal practically to establish good relations with her immediate neighbours.
The only moral responsibility a country has is towards its own citizens. No nation in the world would be "good" if judged by the standards we hold individuals to, not one.
Craig234 said:Morality is a human issue, not a national issue. While it doesn't mean you can't give priority to your own country, it also doesn't mean the rest of the world is trash you can treat immorally.
I am probably a lot more pro Israel than would be suggested by my posts on this topic so far.
I believe the attitude changes Israel needs to make to be ready for an end to the conflict are pretty minor compared to that of the Palestinian side
I believe that so long as enough of the Israeli leadership had the courage to come to an agreement with the other side, even if the general population was not thrilled about terms, the next elected government would not throw it out pretending it was not legit.
Nukes in general I don't like, MAD in some ways is a great motivation to use diplomacy I would rather see all nukes disassembled and have a few extra conventional wars as a result of the lack of MAD.
I view the Palestinian situation as more of a war against terrorism than a fight against another nation.
Now don't get me wrong, I don't condone the killing that is going on and think the strategy they employ is ineffective, I have however also not seen an effective strategy for fighting terrorists in the short term. To me the strategy Israel is currently and has been employing for a long time is to try and get the general Palestinian population to turn on the terrorists by making their lives miserable and trying to blame the terrorists.
The more ruthless dictatorships get a lot more mileage out of this strategy because if they are willing to go the distance the fear of the government can be greater than that of the terrorist group for the general population.
The alternatives to trying to be more feared than the terrorists is to be way more loved than the terrorists. This of course is also no easy task, terrorists can be seen as a bit of a Robin Hood type group in the populations they come from
If you are treating the general population that is supporting the terrorists with the same freedoms as everyone else you end up leaving yourself very vulnerable to terrorist attacks.
So to me Israel is currently employing a tactic they cannot execute to success with their value system
I have not taken the time to research the history of both sides enough to have a good enough understanding to do something like call one side an evil villain.
Far from it you have more original ideas than the delegates at the drafting of the 1993 Oslo Accords.Some might say that would disqualify me from talking about solutions
I do however know that currently only one side has the power/might/influence to actually make any meaningful gesture as an olive branch to the other as a start to a different tomorrow.
Fine, I am in the minority here, according to the poll results. You are rational and clear. If your views are informed we can debate.
I disagree. Both parties need to confront deeply unpalatable truths. Israel must accept that a Jewish State, run by Jews for the benefit of Jews is a deeply flawed model of nation-building. Pakistan is the Muslim equivalent and it has exactly the same problems of endemic racism and bullying of minorities. Defining a particular religion as naturally in the ascendant makes me concerned for the cohesion of that society. (See the recent protest by Lehava Jews at a wedding in Rishon Letzion where the Jewish bride tried to marry a Muslim groom, (see Guardian 18th August, page 14) In their turn, the Palestinians must accept that they will be unlikely to achieve a viable two-state solution.
The current leadership does certainly seem to lack the courage, that previous leaders have had it is a good indicator that as a country they are ready to move in helpful direction. Does Israel have strong radical factions? I certainly think they do, but I also think that they can only slow down forward progress rather than stop it.The existing leadership lacks this courage, but earlier Jewish leaders have made such attempts at dialogue. Netanyahu seems happy to scupper talks. Obama calls for a halt to West Bank settlement building, Netanyahu speeds it up. Hardly a recipe for compromise.
The trouble with disassembly is that something cannot be un-invented. And disassembled weapons can be screwed back together. There is a sort of bizarre balance of power if rational people with opposing ideologies have nukes.
US General Curtis Le May (Memoirs 1965, page 561) wanted to nuke Russia in 1949 before Russia had the H-bomb. After Russia had its own stockpile of nukes that no longer made sense. (MAD intrudes on the dynamic). If you inhabit a morality-free headspace like General Le Mays there is a certain logic to that. But as you say, we need to watch-out for the Crazies.
I suppose the term terrorist would bring up the same defensiveness on the Palestinian side that the term war criminals brings up for the Israeli side. Its been my go to word for any sort of unconventional fighting but you are right that its not helpful to use, it is in general way to emotionally charged implying the people are evil, only useful for a PR campaign and I will stop using it.I view the Palestine situation as a gross injustice yet to be remedied. Talk of terrorism is unhelpful in this context since the birth of Israel was itself the result of a very brutal and successful terrorist campaign waged by the Jewish Irgun, Lehi and Haganah organisations. The decisive terrorist attack at Deir Yassin, a month before Israel declared itself the exclusive state controlling the whole Mandate, was a brutal sustained murder-spree. (see Wiki Deir Yassin Massacre)
I agree, the endless repetition of the same strategy is not working. Israel drops more bombs, builds higher dividing walls (twice the height of the Berlin Wall) kills another 2,000 Gazans. It is hated more by the Palestinians, the tourist trade is in tatters and Jews get beaten-up in the suburbs of Paris for being associated with their co-religionists in Israel. The local military battle is invariably won (except in Lebanon, 2009) but the propaganda war is usually lost. (Obama has admitted, off air, that he hates getting calls from Netanyahu. Hardly a successful campaign?)
That reminds me of Big Brother in George Orwells 1984. That was an imaginary state which boosted domestic morale with rumours of Endless War. I doubt that any Israeli politicians, not even those in SHAS or Likud want to be feared that much.
Agreed. But prior to love there must be trust and we are many years away from that in Israel/Palestine.
True, a failed bid for peace through trust will make the cynics call you a sucker. But the alternative is endless war. Not all Israelis have that ambition. War is also very expensive and disrupts the economy of both winner and loser.
Yes, I am sure that modern Judaic values extend beyond the horribly bleak eye for an eye (or 50 eyes for an eye?). Although there are clearly others who take the notion literally.
I believe the average joe Israeli would like nothing more than to see and end to the conflict. Its just hard to tell them that there is likely going to be more than usual short term casualties involved. Like I had said they are pursuing a loosing strategy but its the one that is easiest to run a political campaign on... "look we are protecting you", its a great way to get support. And the costs of the strategy are not so apparent (aid makes economic problems less or non existent). Hatred around the world is easy to PR spin into national identity. That is why I think your idea of cutting off military aid is a good one, if they can no longer avoid the problems of their loosing strategy it will hopefully make it easier to consider another without it being political suicide. Its hard to find a politician who is willing to sacrifice his own career for the sake of the country, so if being courageous is a politically viable strategy that can only help.Moshe Dayan went one step further by arguing that conquest of Arab lands is a goal that is Never complete.
I spent some time last night thinking about countries under occupation. Most of the time it is a pretty bad failure. Take Iraq and Afghanistan for instance. It seems like we offered the people an opportunity for change, but they did not want it. Then I look at Germany, a country that was carpet bombed by the people who occupied it. Germany certainly took more damage than Iraq, yet with the help of the US rebuilt and prospered. (sometimes I see a bit of irony in that Germany is the economic leader in Europe now, and gets to boss around other countries because of that... their conquering Europe is almost complete 😉. What is the difference that makes US country rebuilding sometimes successful and sometimes not. Does it have more to do with countries they occupy or has the US approach changed since Germany. And if there is any good answers to those question can any of them help with the Israeli/Palestinian situation?
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Then give your land back to the Indians.