Im pretty close to cancelling the preorder
not looking like I can get much out of it, if any, before the reward is cut in half
Perhaps, but everyone is mining under the same conditions. If the bounty halving makes mining unprofitable, miners will quit, and difficulty will be pushed back down.
Also, look at the scale here.
Assume for a minute 500mhash earns you $75/month at current rates. This may or may not be 100% accurate, but just for the sake of argument we need to start somewhere.
Single SC, at 40ghash, would earn $6000/month at the same current rates.
With the bounty halved, that would be $3000/month.
Obviously, with the introduction of Butterflylab's SC products difficulty will skyrocket to some degree. If difficulty doubles, and bounty halved, a Single SC would pull in $1500 net. If difficulty quadruples and bounty halves, it pulls in $750 net.
Long story short, the bounty halving is not really a factor. The difficulty changes are going to affect your income far more, as would a drop in BTC value (for example last year value dropped from peak near $30 per BTC down to 2-3 BTC per coin for a long time until it slowly built back up to the $10/BTC we see today).
The halving of the bounty is just one small piece of the puzzle, and I wouldn't make any decisions based on it alone.