I'm certainly no expert but I've never been convinced by Cincinnati's schedule. Yes they beat ND but it seemed kinda weak otherwise in comparison. I guess we'll find out when they play Bama. And I don't think Michigan is going to pull off a win against freshly face-punched Georgia. The Bulldogs will be looking to prove themselves and then get a rematch with Bama
Of course the schedule isn't convincing, but if you don't play in a Power 5 conference, you can't play against the big boys in the CFP? Cincy might get rolled by Bama, but how is that different from what would have happened to ND if they had somehow snuck in?
It's noteworthy that Cincy had to post consecutive undefeated regular season campaigns, beat ND IN South Bend, and have other dominoes fall just right to sneak into the field. UCF had no such luck when they went 25-0 across 2017/2018 regular seasons. Like I said, it would have stunk if OK State had jumped Cincy by barely squeezing past Baylor.
Once they expand the field to 8 (or 12), at least a few more G5 teams will get a shot to get wrecked by Bama in the CFP. One of the beautiful things about "March Madness" are the upsets, where some mid-major knocks off one of the game's "blue bloods." It rarely ever happens in college football, but mostly because the opportunity doesn't exist.
The main reason I stopped watching college football almost completely was the stupid ranking system and lopsided games that are only fun if your school is on the winning side.
Seems like the playoff format they have now hasn't fixed anything.
The lopsided games are due to the distribution of talent. Although there are arguably a dozen (maybe more) teams that can attract top talent, it's pretty striking to compare a Nick Saban team to even a Notre Dame or other fringe top 10 team. Saban sends droves of players into the NFL draft's early rounds. And because of the development of conference sports networks, the rich keep on getting richer and that strengthens the status quo.
There's no way an expanded CFP format could ever fix that.