We blow all this cash on obsolete hardware while China gets this idea to just double down behind a computer for cyber warfare and launch cyber attacks on old systems, probing for weaknesses in the grid. Kind of funny when you think about it.
OK, so I don't really have time to debate back in forth on this thread, but I'd like to try to drop a little experience into the discussion. Sorry I can't provide my bone fides for you all, but I've spent three decades working on most of the systems you fine people are talking about (except the subs, haven't worked subsurface stuff)...
Three things to consider in your quick analysis:
- Capital/Schedule cost to integrate/regression test; why update when the new stuff doesn't bring any additional capability? It's faster, sure. Less power, fine. But the existing equipment meets the need and updating brings risk because you have to verify you haven't broken anything that used to work with the old tech, so why invest? Applicable to most any mil-spec electronics...
- Sometimes, when a program gets cancelled, it's because the materials science isn't up to the task. Yet. Or it just doesn't work. Or is cost/benefit feasible. But sometimes, they discover something really cool and go black.
- Last point, but the one I feel most strongly about: why are you trusting an opinion from a J-school grad? How many events have you had personal involvement in, just to watch the reporting be wrong, or worse, purposefully spinned to match a narrative? What makes you think this is any different? Why?
Even the Think Tanks are full of Talking Heads who are just speculating and haven't worked on any of this stuff in the last decade or two. Would you really trust some dude offering his opinion on Win10 and Haswell who hasn't done any PC work since there was a win.ini and win.sys file to tweak?
Expanding somewhat, I know there's not a lot of trust in this world left, but...
There are a lot of people who really do care about making things work they way they should. People who care about the folks this equipment is serving, is protecting. Not everyone on these programs are MBA's worried about stock options. And if this stuff works better (or worse) than the papers are telling you, they WILL NOT CORRECT this information, as it will reveal what the capabilities and limitation might be.
/rant