Originally posted by: dawks
Originally posted by: AMDZen
HD-DVD.
a) Because Sony is the epitome of evil and everything they do, they do for furthering their own agenda and owning the rights on every propriatary format in the world.
b) Because the DRM scheme on BR is much more invasive and unfriendly to the consumer.
c) Because the cost of BR over HD is immense, and it will be a lot longer before BR is affordable. The manufacturers will make consumers pay for longer.
It shocks me to see that a tech board would rather see more expensive media, and more DRM in a format all for a bit more space. 15-20 GB on a disc is plenty and more then good enough for 2-3 hrs worth of HD content.
:thumbsup: for a good post.
I think it might almost become necessary for government intervention. If both players/formats start showing up on the market, this will be an absolute sh!t show. At least until we get cheap burners/players that can handle both formats with ease. Like to the point we are at now with DVD +/-. But if we continue on the path with two different formats, it will be a long and costly ride till we stabilize with multi-read/burn units.
Edit: I also thought that article was very one sided. While it stated many features of Blu-ray, it failed to mention that HD-DVD will have many of the same or similar features.
It is already guaranteed to be a sh*t show. EVERYONE is going to lose money on this. The manufacturers, the studios, the retail stores, the consumers, and all of the companies behind them.
The manufacturers will lose money because people will be loath to buy one format or the other, and the market for their product is essentially split in half for those who do buy. There are going to be MASSIVE returns for people with non-HDCP hardware.
The studios are going to lose money (arguably) by splitting their market as well. Possible backlash against the draconian security schemes. Although they have less to fear than the other players, since they just make the discs, and can switch to the winner.
The retail stores are going to take the brunt of the consumer backlash, when their dumb ass salesman dont explain it right, people cant use them properly on any HDTV etc - they are already unhappy, and are only going to sell them both because selling one or neither would be suicide.
The companies creating the format and manufacturing the tech are obviously going to lose money as they are fighting an uphill battle which is essentially unnecessary. There WILL be a price war between the two formats because for all intents and purposes, they are identical. NO ONE but the biggest geek is going to give two sh*ts of a care which has more data when BOTH hold the same movie in full high def, with PLENTY of room to spare.
The consumers are going to lose money when they are stuck with a player that doesnt work when one format eventually wins. And that will leave a VERY bad taste in their mouth for any of the studios and manufacturers who made their obsolete equipment at hundreds of dollars.
And only one of them will win. One of them HAS TO win. The market will only support one format. It only has since the beginning of time, and it only will in the future.
In the end the most important factor is price. Because for all intents and purposes, to the average consumer, they are essentially identical.
And that is why HD-DVD will win. It WILL be cheaper. Doubting this is ridiculous. Everything about it is less expensive than blu-ray. Any economy of scale that brings blu-ray down in price will do the same for HD-DVD. HD-DVD also has KILLER name recongition.
Name recognition + Happy DVD manufacturers who dont have to retool their entire factory + + Less DRM + Lower price = Win. I would bet thousands of dollars on it.
The only way blu-ray can survive is if somehow, someway, they make dual format players, which will give consumers the choice to choose between an excellent bitrate, excellently priced disc or pay more for a higher bitrate.
That being said, blu-ray is clearly the superior tech, undoubtedly, but I could not honestly care less. Dual layer HD-DVDs will hold FAR FAR MORE than enough space for tons of HD content. Id rather pay less, even if it is a dollar less.