Originally posted by: Fern
Originally posted by: eskimospy
The mass bankruptcy idea is utterly insane. The entire problem we are having right now is banks that are reluctant to lend money. Do you think the total elimination of $700 billion (or whatever) worth of debt is going to make anyone ever want to lend another dollar ever? That would be an unmitigated catastrophe.
The big buga-boo is the unknow extent of crappy assets.
Banks will do retail lending to people. They won't lend to other banks, or so we hear, because they do not know to what extent the other the banks might be in trouble because of these securities. Quite likely why they won't lend to some companies either (large corps use investments like these securities in their cash management programs - many are thought to hold considerable amounts of this stuff in their porfolios).
So, the problem at the basic level is the lack of knowledge; how does throwing around $700B make the picture any clearer? It doesn't.
However, when you run these companies through bankruptcy you can fix that. They'll come out bankruptcy with this garbage stripped out; that'll make them certifiably good lending candidates.
Look, banks
need to lend money; that's how they make money. Every incentive in the world already exist to encourage them to lend, we just need to clean up the uncertainty WRT to the securities.
Fern