Bail Out the Auto Industry

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Viper GTS

Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
38,107
433
136
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: Viper GTS
I don't think GM needs to die just because people just went all kinds of stupid over the high gas prices.

I voted yes too but this part is wrong. People have a rational fear of high gas prices. Toyota invested in hybrids. GM is at fault for not doing that.

Rational fear yes but no rational person thought $4 gas was going to stick around, yet you had people paying $8K for 10 year old Geo Metros and trading in SUV's for a fraction of their value to buy new economy cars when the math in no way supported it.

That is all kinds of stupid if you ask me.

Viper GTS
 

Ktulu

Diamond Member
Dec 16, 2000
4,354
0
0
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

I seriously don't understand why you everyone here seems to believe that if they got "bailed out" it would be business as usual. The big 3 just signed a huge contract last year with the UAW that will finally allow the big 3 to be profitable.

http://www.autoblog.com/2008/1...log-with-john-mcelroy/
 

WaTaGuMp

Lifer
May 10, 2001
21,207
2,506
126
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: bozack
You know, I used to only buy american, and while I had ok luck with that I was pretty peeved at the lack of service that I was offered especially when I talked to others who owned japanese cars...you'd think with how horrible the companies were doing they would do a little more for their customers.

We now own two japanese cars and the likelihood of my buying american again is really small.

LOl at least you admit it. You do seem to be the kind of person who would make a decision to "buy American." Of course Japanese cars are better. Wtf do you think anyone buys them? Because they hate America? Welcome to the global free market, where you buy what's cheaper and better. Why do people continue to thinnk that conservatives understand the free market?

american cars are as good as japanese, this isn't 1995 any more. The real crap is made in germany.

The SIX recalls of the 2008 Dodge Avenger might make you think a little different about the qaulity of american cars, lol.
 

Ktulu

Diamond Member
Dec 16, 2000
4,354
0
0
Originally posted by: WaTaGuMp
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: bozack
You know, I used to only buy american, and while I had ok luck with that I was pretty peeved at the lack of service that I was offered especially when I talked to others who owned japanese cars...you'd think with how horrible the companies were doing they would do a little more for their customers.

We now own two japanese cars and the likelihood of my buying american again is really small.

LOl at least you admit it. You do seem to be the kind of person who would make a decision to "buy American." Of course Japanese cars are better. Wtf do you think anyone buys them? Because they hate America? Welcome to the global free market, where you buy what's cheaper and better. Why do people continue to thinnk that conservatives understand the free market?

american cars are as good as japanese, this isn't 1995 any more. The real crap is made in germany.

The SIX recalls of the 2008 Dodge Avenger might make you think a little different about the qaulity of american cars, lol.

You do realize Toyota had the highest number of recalls last year.
 

JS80

Lifer
Oct 24, 2005
26,271
7
81
Originally posted by: Ktulu
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

I seriously don't understand why you everyone here seems to believe that if they got "bailed out" it would be business as usual. The big 3 just signed a huge contract last year with the UAW that will finally allow the big 3 to be profitable.

http://www.autoblog.com/2008/1...log-with-john-mcelroy/

lulz you lose
UAW says no more concessions
 

WaTaGuMp

Lifer
May 10, 2001
21,207
2,506
126
Originally posted by: Ktulu
Originally posted by: WaTaGuMp
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: bozack
You know, I used to only buy american, and while I had ok luck with that I was pretty peeved at the lack of service that I was offered especially when I talked to others who owned japanese cars...you'd think with how horrible the companies were doing they would do a little more for their customers.

We now own two japanese cars and the likelihood of my buying american again is really small.

LOl at least you admit it. You do seem to be the kind of person who would make a decision to "buy American." Of course Japanese cars are better. Wtf do you think anyone buys them? Because they hate America? Welcome to the global free market, where you buy what's cheaper and better. Why do people continue to thinnk that conservatives understand the free market?

american cars are as good as japanese, this isn't 1995 any more. The real crap is made in germany.

The SIX recalls of the 2008 Dodge Avenger might make you think a little different about the qaulity of american cars, lol.

You do realize Toyota had the highest number of recalls last year.

Nope I dont know about last years recalls, all I do know is an article yesterday on yahoo had Honda and Toyota at the top for quality if their cars, Chrysler held the bottom spots and the Avenger was mentioned. It made it veery clear that the japanese cars were much better in terms of quality.

 

Ktulu

Diamond Member
Dec 16, 2000
4,354
0
0
Originally posted by: JS80
Originally posted by: Ktulu
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

I seriously don't understand why you everyone here seems to believe that if they got "bailed out" it would be business as usual. The big 3 just signed a huge contract last year with the UAW that will finally allow the big 3 to be profitable.

http://www.autoblog.com/2008/1...log-with-john-mcelroy/

lulz you lose
UAW says no more concessions

You lose at reading comprehension.
 

Descartes

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
13,968
2
0
I've thought about it a lot, and the conclusion I always come to is that I just don't know. Most of us simply aren't in a position to know the effects of a bailout or if a bailout is refused. I do think the $25B-50/whatever is far too optimistic though, but I haven't looked at any financials.

My basic philosophy leans toward letting them fail. I feel like the small-medium businesses are taking too much of the free market burden; if company managers make poor decisions, they go out of business as quickly as they went in. A competitor to these big 3 won't have the luxury of being bailed out if they fail, and I think it's anti-competitive to subsidize failure in this way. So, a part of me says let them fail and let other competitors rise to the top with a leaner and more efficient business model.

The more pragmatic side of me sees the consequences. I've seen towns ruined by the closing of core businesses and the personal destruction that results. I have empathy for these people as much as I do those that would lose their jobs if the auto giants failed. I'm also merely an economic layman, and I haven't the slightest idea what consequences will ultimately befall our country if they do fail.

So, I'm in conflict. As someone so far removed from the industry, to develop an opinion would be presumptuous. If you held a knife to my throat though, I'd say bailout with serious reform; of course, I have little faith in the government's ability to execute such reform at this point.
 

woodie1

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2000
5,947
0
0
Originally posted by: Ktulu

You do realize Toyota had the highest number of recalls last year.

You do realize if you don't sell any cars then you don't have to recall any of them. ;)

 

WaTaGuMp

Lifer
May 10, 2001
21,207
2,506
126
Originally posted by: woodie1
Originally posted by: Ktulu

You do realize Toyota had the highest number of recalls last year.

You do realize if you don't sell any cars then you don't have to recall any of them. ;)

I will also add that total number of recalls doesnt tell the entire picture. If one company has 100,000 recalls of ONE model and another has 80,000 recalls over 5 models I think I would go with the compnay that had one bad model. The Toyota number could easily be a factor of selling more cars. I wish I could find the article I read on Yahoo cause they mentioned Chrysler had several models in the bad quality list.
 

Jiggz

Diamond Member
Mar 10, 2001
4,329
0
76
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

I wonder if you had followed up on the bailout or loan (whatever they call it now) extended to AIG? Remember it started off with $85B, then AIG partied the entire company in LA for a quarter $1M. The following month, the gov't extended yet another $150B to keep AIG solvent! And believe it or not AIG has not even started yet!

Sure the auto industry is only asking $25B, and believe it or not that's only a starter. The way these industries and UAW are married and operate together, I doubt they can turn around and be in the black within the next three years and most especially with only a couple of $B's of dollars.
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
Originally posted by: GTaudiophile
Let 'em die...and let better ones take their place.

Demand is there. Supply will meet it somehow.

People will still buy cars. And other companies can make those cars. But it would be 3-5 years of staggering unemployment for the situation could stabilize.

I say bailout... but not with status quo. Otherwise GM will just burn through that money and delay the inevitable.
 

Jiggz

Diamond Member
Mar 10, 2001
4,329
0
76
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: Infohawk
Originally posted by: bozack
You know, I used to only buy american, and while I had ok luck with that I was pretty peeved at the lack of service that I was offered especially when I talked to others who owned japanese cars...you'd think with how horrible the companies were doing they would do a little more for their customers.

We now own two japanese cars and the likelihood of my buying american again is really small.

LOl at least you admit it. You do seem to be the kind of person who would make a decision to "buy American." Of course Japanese cars are better. Wtf do you think anyone buys them? Because they hate America? Welcome to the global free market, where you buy what's cheaper and better. Why do people continue to thinnk that conservatives understand the free market?

american cars are as good as japanese, this isn't 1995 any more. The real crap is made in germany.

And the only reason american auto makers are asking for bailout is because american people will not buy their own products? Or maybe Toyota, Honda and Nissan are also asking for bailouts from their motherland that we are not aware of? Or maybe it's time to face reality? And that american cars are still too expensive, too big of gas guzzlers, too low of resale value and requires too much maintenance! In short, they're big outdated dinosaurs that nobody likes! That's the reason the american auto industry is asking for a bailout or loan or whatever they call it this week.

Because the bottomline is about how many cars did you sell today NOT who sold the fastest muscle car today!
 

Jiggz

Diamond Member
Mar 10, 2001
4,329
0
76
Originally posted by: Farang
Anyone watch This Week today? It was an interesting discussion with two of the panelists being on the fence and supporting the bailout, and George Will opposing. I went into the show slightly opposed but I might be coming around. Krugman's argument was that in a normal market the companies would Chapter 11 and work through it, but in this market credit is frozen so they are put at a disadvantage that may warrant government intervention. Normally, he said, we should favor free market principles, but strictly acting on ideology in this crisis is a mistake.

And you got carried or influenced by Krugman's argument? Did you ever ask why other auto makers are not asking for the same bail out as the 3 US Auto maker? The answer is simple, because they are innovative and cater their products for the masses. In short, their products sell.
 

wirelessenabled

Platinum Member
Feb 5, 2001
2,191
41
91
Big Three have figured out how to give management bonuses and lose money for many years. Big change is needed and long overdue.

Want bailout? Change your ways.
 

chess9

Elite member
Apr 15, 2000
7,748
0
0
Originally posted by: BoberFett
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

Everything that's happening right now is prolonging the inevitable. The current model of the US economy is unsustainable. It will collapse, and it will be big. It's just a matter of when.

So what the hell, let the printing presses roll. Let's have a big party while we still can. It's all going down the shitter.

I'm sorry to report that I can't say you are wrong. :(

-Robert

 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: chess9
Originally posted by: BoberFett
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

Everything that's happening right now is prolonging the inevitable. The current model of the US economy is unsustainable. It will collapse, and it will be big. It's just a matter of when.

So what the hell, let the printing presses roll. Let's have a big party while we still can. It's all going down the shitter.

I'm sorry to report that I can't say you are wrong. :(

-Robert

I always laugh at such dire predictions. Had we not gotten ridiculous with mortgages this wouldn't be an issue. That isn't a fundamental weakness, it's an event driven one, and something that can be overcome given time.

The US isn't ending and our economy is still the marquee economy of the world. We produce an amazing amount of ideas and products. To say that the current model is unsustainable is to ignore everything and focus only on the current event driven problem areas.
 

boomerang

Lifer
Jun 19, 2000
18,883
641
126
Originally posted by: Zack
Originally posted by: boomerang
Originally posted by: Zack
No, the unions need to be done away with and until they go chap 11 this will never happen. Let them crash and burn.
Chapter 11 does not affect the unions. Mindless bashing does nothing for your position.

Chap 11 hopefully will give them the ability to erase their union contracts and start fresh, and how is this mindless bashing? if it weren't for union deals the costs for the companies would be much much less, sure corporate made some questionable product decisions but the reality is that things need to change, and dumping the unions is a smart move.

Honestly I am surprised so many are ready and willing to bail out these failed companies, as others have said this is only a band aid solution that will prolong the inevitable.
I only had a minute to post there. I apologize, because it certainly didn't make my thoughts clear. From your reply, I think you might know what I was alluding to which is that under Chapter 11, there is no guarantee that union contracts will be voided. It's a possible scenario is all.

IMO, Chapter 11 is not an option for them for several reasons;

Chapter 11 requires investors willing to put big bucks on the line to finance the pullout. In the economy we're in, who has that money or who is willing to commit that money? Nobody but the government. We've already seen that the banks are cherry-picking whom they're lending to. The government doesn't have the money either but is willing to lend it. But ......

I just don't see people buying cars from a bankrupt company. Who's going to service it? Where are the parts coming from? Etc., etc.

I've read figures as high as 10 to 12 million unemployed as the effects ripple out across the country. I've read that this would occur within 60 days of a bankruptcy filing. How long do you want this recession to go on? Do you want a full-blown depression? How long are you willing to wait for your 401K to start recovering? 3 years - does 10 sound better?

How long before the unemployment runs out for the millions that lose their jobs? How long before they lose their homes, their cars? College dreams just evaporated for their children. Their health care gone, how much more crowded will the emergency rooms become? This is health care that is paid for by the taxpayers. Do we really want all this?

These loans were originally intended for the entire auto industry and their suppliers. Everyone concentrates on GM and their need is the most urgent. I'll go with that.

Rick Wagner is the CEO of GM. His background is in bean counting. He's a financial guy. He's been at the helm for approximately 8 years. So, what can we determine from these facts? He's not very good at his job. He's got to go. The BoD supported him all these years - they've got to go. The bottom line is new management is needed.

The UAW has made major concessions lately. They're going to take over the health care of their members, no pensions for new hires, $14 hr. for new hires, just to hit the highlights. Do they need to give more - yes. They should be required to make some sacrifices the same as mangement should.

There are a number of well thought out opinions in this thread. And there are the typical mindless posts, those with an ax to grind. Those that want millions out of work at the worst possible time in recent history.

We have to consider the whole big picture, not what will put a grin on the face of the disgruntled.
 

chess9

Elite member
Apr 15, 2000
7,748
0
0
Originally posted by: Ktulu
Originally posted by: chess9
I've changed my mind on this issue. Initially I was opposed, but after considering some of the consequences to our economy and tax base, to say nothing of the pain to the 3 million workers involved, I think we should give them a hand.

The problem with a bailout is properly managing it. Without concessions by labor and management, a viable business plan, and completely new management, I don't think a bailout would do anything but prolong the inevitable. I would give it ONE try.

-Robert

I seriously don't understand why you everyone here seems to believe that if they got "bailed out" it would be business as usual. The big 3 just signed a huge contract last year with the UAW that will finally allow the big 3 to be profitable.

http://www.autoblog.com/2008/1...log-with-john-mcelroy/

I know all of that. Here are 5 problems that vitiate that analysis:

1. If something can go wrong it will go wrong, particularly for USA auto manufacturers.
2. Management is the same management that brought GM to this point. What is it about this management that should engender trust?
3. Assuming GM does everything right, if the credit markets don't free up cars will not be bought. People won't buy Toyotas either. So far, the bailout of Wall Street has not resulted in anything more than some slight increase in INTERBANK lending. Credit card rates are through the roof! And lending standards are very tough.
4. I would NEVER bet on history repeating itself. GM is not Chrysler and this is not 1979.
5. If we bailout GM, will we bailout the airlines? What about Disney? LOL! The joke here about getting in the bailout line is NO JOKE.

Someone asked what the chances are that this bailout would work. Given the infirmities in our credit markets especially, I'd say the chances are no better than 50%, and I'm being wildly optimistic since I worry about the economic impact of losing so many jobs and taxpayers.

Yes, the SUV is outta' gas-surprise, surprise-and stuck on the edge of a cliff. But, this time, we won't have to tow it or pull it back because events will probably conspire to push it over the cliff once it gets out of REVERSE with the accelerator mashed to the floor.

-Robert

 

Blain

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
23,643
3
81
This is great...
The UAW leadership got uber-sweet contracts in the 80's.
Now those contracts are helping to bury the very companies that their members work for.

If the Teamsters only had such good leadership. :laugh:

I can hear Merle singing now... "Are the good times really over for good..."
 
Feb 16, 2005
14,079
5,450
136
Yes, only because of the state of the economy right now. The auto industry is too integral to our economy to allow it to fail, especially the big 3. Normally I would say let them eat cake, but I think if they went bankrupt it would thrust us deeper into a recession if not an all out depression. I heard something on NPR that made me solidfy this, would you buy a car from a bankrupt auto company? Sure, you'd fly on a bankrupt airline, but that's a trip, not a viable important part of your day to day life that you may be totally dependent on.
You buy a Ford, Chevy, etc, and they go under, who's covering your warranty?
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
They need to file bankruptcy and reorganize on their own. Having the govt(taxpayers) continue their pain is curel and unusual punishment for everybody involved.
 

Genx87

Lifer
Apr 8, 2002
41,091
513
126
Originally posted by: Farang
Anyone watch This Week today? It was an interesting discussion with two of the panelists being on the fence and supporting the bailout, and George Will opposing. I went into the show slightly opposed but I might be coming around. Krugman's argument was that in a normal market the companies would Chapter 11 and work through it, but in this market credit is frozen so they are put at a disadvantage that may warrant government intervention. Normally, he said, we should favor free market principles, but strictly acting on ideology in this crisis is a mistake.

Sure except didnt we just hand 700 billion to the credit industry for this very reason? So companies like GM can get a loan? The dirty secret is I doubt GM could get a loan in a good market situation.

And this isnt a crisis, unless you consider 30 years of failed business model a crisis. This has been going on for as long as I have been alive. The Big 3 have some serious business model issues. That isnt going away even if we bail them out. You think a govt mandated and run restructuring is going to cut out the biggest contributors to DC(unions)?