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dug777

Lifer
Oct 13, 2004
24,778
4
0
Originally posted by: Amused
Originally posted by: dug777

then explain the international ban on CFCs, and the hundreds, if not thousands of pieces of work that found ozone layer depletion was changing in direct correlation with human activities....

i'm no parrot, and if the world's largest economy does something against the face of business economics, there's gotta be a reason...

Knee Jerk Reactionism based on bad scientific theory.

Explain the ban on Silicone breast implants and the bankruptcy of Dow over lawsuits claiming a myriad of diseases caused by them... even though it was proven to all be false?

Also, when are you going to realize that an argument to popular opinion or consensus is NOT a valid debate? Nor is it "proof."

Then why is Kyoto even an issue? Put it this way, it is not in any way as black and white as you are painting it, Knee Jerk Reactionism based on bad scientific theory is an inadeqate explanation for a global concern for our effect on the environment- you're saying that smelly hippies have a greater political clout than the world's largest corporations?
 

aidanjm

Lifer
Aug 9, 2004
12,411
2
0
Originally posted by: smc13
So what? Some UN group is saying the environment might have problems in 50 years. This is supposed to bother me?

yeah, it would be good were bothered by that
 

Amused

Elite Member
Apr 14, 2001
57,481
20,003
146
Originally posted by: dug777
Originally posted by: Amused
Originally posted by: dug777

then explain the international ban on CFCs, and the hundreds, if not thousands of pieces of work that found ozone layer depletion was changing in direct correlation with human activities....

i'm no parrot, and if the world's largest economy does something against the face of business economics, there's gotta be a reason...

Knee Jerk Reactionism based on bad scientific theory.

Explain the ban on Silicone breast implants and the bankruptcy of Dow over lawsuits claiming a myriad of diseases caused by them... even though it was proven to all be false?

Also, when are you going to realize that an argument to popular opinion or consensus is NOT a valid debate? Nor is it "proof."

Then why is Kyoto even an issue? Put it this way, it is not in any way as black and white as you are painting it, Knee Jerk Reactionism based on bad scientific theory is an inadeqate explanation for a global concern for our effect on the environment- you're saying that smelly hippies have a greater political clout than the world's largest corporations?

How did a bunch of ex-stripers and hookers bankrupt Dow Chemicals with bad science?

Environmentalism is as much religion, as it is science. And it is backed by the anti-corporate, anti-capitalist lunatic fringe.

It's spoon fed to kids in school and they ignorantly bleat it out like little sheep.

The world's largest corporations cannot overcome irrational religious and/or pseudo-scientific fervor.
 

Czar

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
28,510
0
0
both sides have a good point here

The problem with reports like this is that they give a very broad conclusion, and the doomsday conclusion, the absolute worst outcome is what makes the headlines. The headlines then stick with the people who make the most noise.

It is a fact that the envoriment comes and goes in waves, heat rises up and down, ozone layer grows and shrinks, animal and plant life expands and shrinks. There is no denying that. What has happened though that the most reports like this one point out is that the speed of the change has increased in the last 100 years.

Whats worrisome is that when the enviroment reaches its peak it swings back and when it does we will be the most effected. When it will happen is very very hard to say, could be 50 years, 200 years, 500 yeras or more.
 

aidanjm

Lifer
Aug 9, 2004
12,411
2
0
Originally posted by: Amused
Originally posted by: dug777
Originally posted by: Amused
Originally posted by: dug777

then explain the international ban on CFCs, and the hundreds, if not thousands of pieces of work that found ozone layer depletion was changing in direct correlation with human activities....

i'm no parrot, and if the world's largest economy does something against the face of business economics, there's gotta be a reason...

Knee Jerk Reactionism based on bad scientific theory.

Explain the ban on Silicone breast implants and the bankruptcy of Dow over lawsuits claiming a myriad of diseases caused by them... even though it was proven to all be false?

Also, when are you going to realize that an argument to popular opinion or consensus is NOT a valid debate? Nor is it "proof."

Then why is Kyoto even an issue? Put it this way, it is not in any way as black and white as you are painting it, Knee Jerk Reactionism based on bad scientific theory is an inadeqate explanation for a global concern for our effect on the environment- you're saying that smelly hippies have a greater political clout than the world's largest corporations?

How did a bunch of ex-stripers and hookers bankrupt Dow Chemicals with bad science?

Environmentalism is as much religion, as it is science. And it is backed by the anti-corporate, anti-capitalist lunatic fringe.

It's spoon fed to kids in school and they ignorantly bleat it out like little sheep.

The world's largest corporations cannot overcome irrational religious and/or pseudo-scientific fervor.

too many dumb generalizations here to make it worth responding to.
 

FoBoT

No Lifer
Apr 30, 2001
63,084
15
81
fobot.com
The MA has cost some $20m to put together. It was funded by the Global Environment Facility, the United Nations Foundation, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the World Bank and others.

this is the last paragraph, but if it was the first paragraph, then people could save 2 minutes by stop reading at that point
 

Czar

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
28,510
0
0
Originally posted by: FoBoT
The MA has cost some $20m to put together. It was funded by the Global Environment Facility, the United Nations Foundation, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the World Bank and others.

this is the last paragraph, but if it was the first paragraph, then people could save 2 minutes by stop reading at that point

why?
 

mwtgg

Lifer
Dec 6, 2001
10,491
0
0
Originally posted by: Czar
Originally posted by: FoBoT
The MA has cost some $20m to put together. It was funded by the Global Environment Facility, the United Nations Foundation, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the World Bank and others.

this is the last paragraph, but if it was the first paragraph, then people could save 2 minutes by stop reading at that point

why?

Would you believe the report if it was paid for by big corporations?
 

FoBoT

No Lifer
Apr 30, 2001
63,084
15
81
fobot.com
exactly, everybody is biased, they just won't admit it
schools/universities have a cultural bias, just like a big Corp.

i always look for the angle of whoever is trying to shovel the crap into me
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,587
10,225
126
Originally posted by: Amused
Animals have gone extinct since the start of time.
Yep. And one of the biggest causes of widespread extinctions among a population - critical resource exhaustion. We "human animals", are well along that path as well. I give us 200 years left on this planet, if that, if we continue on the present course without alteration. Some estimations don't even give us that long.
Originally posted by: Amused
And the world is in NO danger of running out of food, or the land in which to produce it. None.
Aren't you forgetting the power necessary to both ship and store that food, such that it remains in an edible/usable state? When the oil runs out, and it costs too much to ship "fresh" food from one side of this country to the other, and it costs too much to leave electric refridgerators on all of the time - what then?

Will we see a massive migration, away from the cities, and back towards the self-sustaining farm-based communities that we once saw around the prior turn of the century in this country?

This whole scenario reminds me of the Talking Heads album, 'Naked'. There's a song on there about the destruction of urbanization, and a return to a more "natural" existance.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
53,297
47,669
136
Originally posted by: VirtualLarry
Originally posted by: Amused
Animals have gone extinct since the start of time.
Yep. And one of the biggest causes of widespread extinctions among a population - critical resource exhaustion. We "human animals", are well along that path as well. I give us 200 years left on this planet, if that, if we continue on the present course without alteration. Some estimations don't even give us that long.
Originally posted by: Amused
And the world is in NO danger of running out of food, or the land in which to produce it. None.
Aren't you forgetting the power necessary to both ship and store that food, such that it remains in an edible/usable state? When the oil runs out, and it costs too much to ship "fresh" food from one side of this country to the other, and it costs too much to leave electric refridgerators on all of the time - what then?

Will we see a massive migration, away from the cities, and back towards the self-sustaining farm-based communities that we once saw around the prior turn of the century in this country?

This whole scenario reminds me of the Talking Heads album, 'Naked'. There's a song on there about the destruction of urbanization, and a return to a more "natural" existance.

Highly unlikely.

The energy situation is not nearly as dire as you represent. There are alternatives to oil and these will be utilized when the time comes.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,587
10,225
126
Originally posted by: Amused
Another hint:

We have NEVER witnessed an "intact" Ozone layer. There has, for as long as we've looked, been a hole over the South Pole during the winter months.
Yes. Except, guess what - there have been *additional* holes that have been observed, and where those holes were, were above heavily-industrialized areas. So while there may have been "natural" holes near the poles, we've gone and created more!

It's not so much the individual acts that are specifically a problem, of and by themselves, but the fact that they are happening globally, collectively, worldwide, due to human actions, and more-or-less continuously, rather than the rare "random" occurances of nature - doesn't that bother you? It's a matter of scale, and IMHO, pointing out that extinctions happened "naturally" in the past, is no excuse for large-scale extinctions of other species, at the hands of modern humans.

Originally posted by: Amused
And that MAKES SENSE. Why? Because it is sunlight that creates Ozone and there is NO SUNLIGHT over the poles in their winter. Add to that the fact that the South Pole gets less weather than the north (parts of the south pole are the driest on earth), and of COURSE Ozone will deplete. But you bleat their chicken little stories like a good little sheep.
So explain the holes in the ozone layer above industrialized areas, not at the poles then.

While you may disagree with the predictions, one cannot easily argue that the observations themselves are erroneous. The observations of the changes in our environment are real. The big question is - what do they mean for our collective human future?
 

BigJ

Lifer
Nov 18, 2001
21,330
1
81
If it comes down to the survival of the human race, money will be of no concern in developing new technologies that will sustain life on the planet.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
One of the biggest concerns of mine is fresh water.

Right now, there's a significant number of people living on borrowed water in the SW. It's not always going to be there. I think fresh water is almost more of a concern than fuel.

We can make energy from different sources. We CAN'T make drinkable water (at least at this point IIRC). Somebody correct me, but at this point in time we can't make sea water drinkable in any efficient way.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,587
10,225
126
Originally posted by: Skoorb
There are three groups of people:
1) .5% of the population that recognizes we're killing ourselves, and does something about it.
2) 19.5% of the population that recognizes we're killing ourselves and says "this sucks" and does nothing about it
3) 80% of the population that is moronic and thinks that we're not destroying the planet on which we live.
Why does this remind me so much of the "highway littering" thread. Basically, it seems to be a part of human nature, to take pending issues, and declare them "not my problem". That's what those 80% have done, they feel that the "minority" (so-called 3rd-world) population should take the brunt of both the blame and shoulder the costs of the things that the majority have done. Like forcing prisoners to clean up our highways through manual labor, all while those that litter continue to do so, and at the same time, declare "There is no problem - because it's not my problem." Short-sighted in the extreme.
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Actually, the saddest thing is that people pluck out cases where scientists have been wrong, and use this to indicate that they always will be. Scientists are usually wrong about things; most inventions or examples of progress are created on a pile of earlier defeat. It's no longer debatable among most of the world's scientists that we are in fact having an affect on our environment. Oil IS running out. Lakes ARE being polluted. Trees ARE being cut down.
I've seen it first-hand. I have relatives with a place in NH. A nice little place, in the woods, off of a lake. The lake is beautiful, and pristine. Unfortunately, there is very little wildlife/fish in the lake as well. Why? Because corporations dumped chemicals in the area, and it polluted the lake, and residents/gov't either did little to stop it, or looked the other way when it was happening. A large reason why is because NH is a "poor" state, more so than MA, less so than ME, and is dependent on other sources of revenue because of there not being certain taxes there. So the risk of "offending" corporations in that state, by actively enforcing environmental laws, could have a non-trivial negative effect on the state's economy. All while the wildlife near the lakes die. It really is sad. I enjoy fishing, myself, and to see such a lack of fish there was rather disappointing.
 

FoBoT

No Lifer
Apr 30, 2001
63,084
15
81
fobot.com
Originally posted by: vi_edit
Somebody correct me, but at this point in time we can't make sea water drinkable in any efficient way.

depends on your definition of "efficient" , there are very large scale desalination plants in the middle east/other places. it goes back to energy, if you have plentiful energy + technology, you can get clean drinkable water

http://www.water-technology.net/projects/israel/

In 2000, Israel launched a Desalination Master Plan to help address the country's chronic water resource problems. This policy envisaged a number of seawater plants along the Mediterranean coast, producing an annual total of 400 million m³ of desalinated water by 2005, rising to 750 million m³ by 2020, mostly destined for urban consumption. Once fully completed, this plant alone will contribute 100 million m³/year, accounting for a quarter of the 2005 target. The Ashkelon facility is the first of a series of large-scale seawater desalination units with others planned for Ashdod, Palmahim, Kishon and Caesarea.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,587
10,225
126
Originally posted by: Amused
Trees are a renewable resource, and we have MORE of them now than we did when we settled the country.
Do you have a source for that? Is it speaking in terms of numbers, of which most of those are likely to be younger trees, or in terms of overall mass of trees? Because that definately doesn't jive with what I've seen locally.

Not to mention, deforestation affecting the environment, is a world-wide problem. Not just this country, and to try to claim that it's not an issue in this country, and thus not an issue that affects you or I, is quite far from the mark. It was my understanding that a good sized chunk of the various rain-forests in parts of the world have been in a process of being cleared, to make way for cattle ranching and farming - because those things are more financially rewarding for the local residents, than mearly having a forest nearby.
Originally posted by: Amused
We'll find something else to power our stuff when oil runs out.
I find that statement even more laughable than the "the sky is falling" comments. At least those have some basis. What magic technology do we have to replace oil, that is both cheap, easily available, and readily usable?
Originally posted by: Amused
Our lakes and waterways are CLEANER than they were just a couple decades ago, and getting cleaner all the time.
Cleaner != more alive, as my comment about a NH lake showed. A dead, embalmed, person at a funeral, can appear to be "more neat and clean" than a living being can. But that's not a good thing, given the context.
Originally posted by: Amused
Can things be improved? Sure, they always can.
Do we need sensationalist chicken littles screaming about the end of the world? No.
You must understand, it's the chicken little part I disagree with. It's sensationalist crap.
Of all people, if you ride a motorcycle, then surely you must at least have some environmental concerns, even if the "sensationalist" rantings are a bit over-the-top (kind of like PETA).

 

mercanucaribe

Banned
Oct 20, 2004
9,763
1
0
I've never seen so much hot air from an everything's-okay-er in one thread! And what's more, I've never seen so much hot air without a single fact or any data to back it up!

Let's ignore climate change and habitat loss for a while, since obviously some people just don't give a damn about anything other than themselves...

The only reason we can keep producing food is fertilizers. Where do you think these synthetic fertilizers come from? What will run out in 50-100 years?

Now go down to the sea and talk to your local fishermen or shrimpers. Ask them what the trend in catches is. If they're doing okay, ask them if they're selling the same species as they did 40 years ago and which tastes better.

Then talk to your grandmother who's dying of cancer. Ask her whether there were more or less carcinogens in her parents' food.

Ask the Colombian coffee farmers what the state of coffee production is. Chances are they'll know someone who has lost a farm to a big plantation, which coincidentally cleared the land switched to "sun coffee" production, creating a diseased and dead field within a few years, and moving on.

Nevermind. All is fine sitting on your ass in front of the computer posting on Anandtech and overclocking your Athlon 64.
 

mercanucaribe

Banned
Oct 20, 2004
9,763
1
0
Originally posted by: Random Variable
So it's better if most of the world lives in abject poverty?

EDIT: And this belongs in P&N, moron.

Whoa there. Many of the causes of poverty are also causes of environmental destruction.
 

VirtualLarry

No Lifer
Aug 25, 2001
56,587
10,225
126
Originally posted by: Amused
Show me proof of the Ozone layer changing in direct correlation with human activities.
link
Scientist first suggested in 1974 that man-made chloroflourocarbons (CFCs) might cause ozone depletion. There is now conclusive proof that CFCs and similar chemicals are the cause of ozone depletion in the stratosphere, since chemicals found there could come from no other source (Russell et al., 1996).

The hole in the ozone layer over the Antarctic reached its largest size ever in September 1998. It grew by more than 15 percent, exposing not only Antarctica but a large area of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans and the southern tip of South America to harmful ultraviolet radiation. The ozone reduction was more serious because the polar vortex of high level winds around a cold low-pressure centre was larger than usual, facilitating increased ozone destruction (WMO, 1998). Major ozone layer losses are now occurring over the northern hemisphere as well, with serious losses since the winter of 1991-92 and a record hole in 1996 lasting two months that doubled carcinogenic ultraviolet rays over an area covering Scandinavia and extending from Greenland to Western Siberia (WMO, 1996). The lowest reading over Britain in 1996 showed a 47 percent reduction from the March average (Pearce, 1996). There was a 35 percent loss over Siberia in 1995, reductions of 10-15 percent over Europe as far south as Spain (Bojkov, 1995), and a loss of 5-18 percent in the U.S. (Komhyr et al., 1994). The greenhouse effect, which causes stratospheric cooling, may be contributing to ozone hole formation, and may also slow recovery even after ozone depleting substances start declining (Pearce, 1996; MacKenzie, 1995).

link
As temperatures in the lower stratosphere cools below -80'C, Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSC's) start to form.

In the area over Antarctica, there are stratospheric cloud ice particles that are not present at warmer latitudes. Reactions occur on the surface of the ice particles that accelerate the ozone destruction caused by stratospheric chlorine. Polar regions get a much larger variation in sunlight than anywhere else, and during the 3 months of winter spend most of time in the dark without solar radiation. Temperatures hover around or below -80'C for much of the winter and the extremely low antarctic temperatures cause cloud formation in the relatively ''dry''stratosphere. These Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSC's) are composed of ice crystals that provide the surface for a multitude of reactions, many of which speed the degredation of ozone molecules. This phenomenon has caused documented decreases in ozone concentrations over Antarctica.

In fact, ozone levels drop so low in spring in the Southern Hemisphere that scientists have observed what they call a "hole" in the ozone layer. The ozone destruction process requires conditions cold enough for stratospheric clouds to form. Once these stratospheric clouds form the process can take place, even in warmer conditions.

The large size of the August-September 2003 ozone hole but its limited duration in October-November is attributed in part to meteorological conditions. A full explanation of such meteorological anomalies is not yet available. Continued monitoring and measurements, including total ozone and its vertical profile, are essential to achieving the understanding needed to identify ozone recovery.

However, less-well-known is that ozone depletion has been measured everywhere outside the tropics, and that it is, in fact, getting worse. in the middle latitudes (most of the populated world), ozone levels have fallen about 10% during the winter and 5% in the summer. Since 1979, they have fallen about 5% per decade when averaged over the entire year. Depletion is generally worse at higher latitudes, i.e. further from the Equator.
Now consider that level of ozone depletion over populated/industrialized regions of the world, with this statistic: link
The loss of stratospheric ozone means that more solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaches the Earth's surface. Since UV radiation has been linked to skin cancer, there is a significant human health risk posed by ozone depletion. It has been estimated that a one percent decline in ozone levels can lead to a two percent rise in human skin cancer cases.

Perhaps those fake commercials interspersed within the 'Robocop' movie, about the SPF3000 sunscreen, weren't so far off. :p
Originally posted by: Amused
Show me proof that the ozone layer was EVER intact over the South Pole in the winter months. If you make a claim, you must back it up. Both you, and the activists you parrot have NONE.
You're right that the changes appear to be somewhat seasonal, but the question is, how did those substances get into the upper-atmosphere to begin with? Although there are natural substances that can also cause ozone-depletion effects, a good majority of the substances appear to be man-made ones. The fact that the ozone layer has been continously in decline ("thinning") over many industrialized regions, is perhaps the more direct and concerning statistic. I may have mis-spoken that there was an actual "hole", but I do remember some news reports a few years back about some significant ozone-layer observations over populated areas. That seems to correlate with what I've linked/quoted. I'm working on ozone observation data over the South Pole; the problem is, most of this info is based on studies that were only done, after there seemed to be a "problem".

Another link, this one to the NOAA ozone-hole FAQ.
 
Aug 10, 2001
10,420
2
0
Originally posted by: mercanucaribe
Originally posted by: Random Variable
So it's better if most of the world lives in abject poverty?

EDIT: And this belongs in P&N, moron.

Whoa there. Many of the causes of poverty are also causes of environmental destruction.
So if the entire African continent had the same standard of living as North America or western Europe, environmental destruction would be less of an issue?