Originally posted by: Killrose
NV30 might sample by late Oct., Pre-view at all the major hardware sites by late Nov. and then be released for sale by Dec., but I would'nt bet on any volume shipments/availability till the new year.
And everything has to play out perfectly for any of this to happen. IMO
For the most part I completely agree with your sentiments. It was first taped out only relatively recently, and it's generally 4-6 weeks from tape-out to A0 silicon.
I expect samples in October, a release even in extremely limited quantities is completely out of the question. If no major bugs pop up and validation progresses well they should be in a position to allow basic previews of the NV30 from select enthusiast sites by late November. They may be seeing initial production level silicon around then also if they can keep pace with the rates at which they went from AO to production silicon in the past.
This is a considerably different architecture however and their first major re-design in a few years so that is open for question.
I expect they'll pull a paper launch in early December so as to stave off buyers looking towards ATi for high end purchases in the christmas shopping rush.
I figure hardware reviews from mainstream tech sites a bit before mid December, and availablility in small quantities by the 17-20'th Dec.
Small quantities should adequate cover the very small market segment that the high end gaming cards cover.
I'm not sure initial products will be terribly overclockable, owing to TSMC's poor .13u yields, and nVidia's likely desire to push the NV30 as far as they can to trump ATi's R9700.
The NV30 will likely be a short lived part that is quickly superceded by an NV35 or something similar, once yields improve and nVidia has had adequate time to design around any critical speed path issues that may appear in the final NV30 silicon.